Severe Thunderstorm Warning 17, NWS Wilmington, NC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT NC
200 PM EST THU MAR 23 1995

FOR CWF: FRNT REMAINS TO S WITH THE CNTR OF LOW BETWEEN CLT AND AVL.
LOW AND FRONT WILL GRAD SLIDE OFF CST TONIGHT WITH N WINDS DEVELOPING
AND INCREASING. WILL LEAVE SCATTERED SHOWERS PSBL TSTMS IN FOR EVENING
AS EXPECT SOMETHING TO DEVELOP WITH THE APPROACH OF VORT MAX TO N. PLAN
TO SPLIT AT CAPE LOOKOUT WHERE WINDS MAINLY NE. AS LOW PULLS OUT AND CAA
STARTS TONIGHT FEEL WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 KTS LATE AND WILL GO WITH
SCA. S OF CAPE LOOKOUT WILL GO VARIABLE BECOMING N AT 20 KTS.

FOR ZFP: ADAP SHOWS UNSTABLE TO S AND W. CAP STILL HOLDING BUT EXPECT
IT TO BREAK SOMEWHERE LATE THIS AFTN. APPEARS ANY SVR THREAT WOULD BE
CONFINED TO S NEAR FRNT. AS VORT APPROACHES TO THE NORTH MAY PRODUCE
JUST ENUF LIFT DOWN HERE TO SET THINGS OFF. ONCE LOW MOVES OFF TONIGHT
N WINDS WILL PICKUP WITH STRG CAA. DRIES OUT QUICKLY WITH MSUUNY SKIES
EXPECTED FRI. TEMPhS WILL HOLD IN 50S N TO 60S S.

.MHX...SCA CAPE LOOKOUT N.      WL SND WRKCWF BY 315

FREDERICK