Severe Thunderstorm Warning 3, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

SOUTHEAST TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
235 PM CST THU JAN 12 1995

ACTIVITY ALREADY BEGINNING THIS AFTERNOON AS PRE-FRONTAL TROF IS KICKING UP
SOME RATHER HEALTHY STORMS IN WRN COUNTIES.  HOWEVER..MAIN THREAT REMAINS W
WITH THE COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROF. FAVORABLE POSTION OF THE INCOMING UPPER
JET WITH DISTURBANCES CURRENTLY ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROF ALL PT
TO A STORMY NIGHT WHEN COMBINED WITH THE OTHER INGREDIENTS ALREADY IN PLACE.
LATEST WORD FROM SELS (VIA SAT) IS THAT THE TOR WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED EAST
LATER TONIGHT. LOOKING AHEAD..MODELS ARE CONSISTENT WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF
A SFC LOW BY 24H OVER SE TX AND MOVING IT E ALONG THE COAST TO LA. OVtERRUN-
NING CLOUDS AND RAIN MAY LINGER UNTIL LATE FRI NIGHT FOR E/NERN PORTIONS OF
OUR FA AS HINTED AT BY ALL THREE PROGS. WL NOT DEVIATE MUCH FROM MOS TEMPS.
..FORTY-ONE..

TXZ164-177>179-199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-122350-

SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
1030 AM CST THU JAN 12 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT INCREASING INSTABILITY AND THE CHANCES OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND ONE INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF TWO TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.  THE GROUND IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS IS STILL SOME
WHAT SATURATED FROM RAINS IN DECEMBER AND EARLIER THIS MONTH AND MANY STREAMS
AND RIVERS ARE STILL FULL.  RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OR SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND COULD CAUSE SOME RIVERS TO RISE OUT OF
THEIR BANKS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS.  ALL RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY ABREAST OF THE CURRENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND LIMIT THEIR TRAVEL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.  EMERGENCY
MANAGERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPARDNESS PLANS AND STAFFING
LEVELS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AS WELL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

TXZ164-177>179-199-200-210>214-226-227-235>238-122350-

SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
1030 AM CST THU JAN 12 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OVER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT AND THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.  SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT INCREASING INSTABILITY AND THE CHANCES OF
SEVERE WEATHER AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE AROUND ONE INCH WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF TWO TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.  THE GROUND IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS IS STILL SOME
WHAT SATURATED FROM RAINS IN DECEMBER AND EARLIER THIS MONTH AND MANY STREAMS
AND RIVERS ARE STILL FULL.  RAINFALL OF THIS AMOUNT COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED
FLOODING OR SMALL STREAM FLOODING AND COULD CAUSE SOME RIVERS TO RISE OUT OF
THEIR BANKS.

IN ADDITION TO THE HEAVY RAIN...THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS.  ALL RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO STAY ABREAST OF THE CURRENT WEATHER
CONDITIONS AND LIMIT THEIR TRAVEL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.  EMERGENCY
MANAGERS IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS SHOULD CHECK THEIR PREPARDNESS PLANS AND STAFFING
LEVELS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY AS WELL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR OTHER NEWS SOURCES FOR THE LATEST
UPDATES CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

TXZ163-164-176>179-195>199-210>212-130240-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON TX
136 PM CST THU JAN 12 1995

TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWEST PORTION OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS
VALID TILL 8PM TONIGHT. THE WATCH INCLUDES THE AREA GENERALLY NORTH AND
WEST OF A LINE FROM WOODVILLE TO CONROE TO COLUMBS. THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES ARE INCLUDED IN THE WATCH AREA HOUSTON, TRINITY, POLK, SAN
JACINTO, TRINITY, POLK, MONTGOMERY, WALKER, MADISON, BRAZOS, GRIMES
BURLESON, WASHINGTON, WALLER, AUSTIN, AND COLORADO.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALREADY FORMING OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUHEAST
TEXAS AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD TO THE EAST DURING THE AFTERNOON.

IF YOU PLAN TO BE OUTDOORS THIS EVENING...CHECK THE LATEST WEATHER
INFORMATION AND KEEP A WEATHER EYE ON THE SKY.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF A TORNADO...THE SAFEST PLACE IN A HOME OR
BUSINESS IS AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE.  AVOID
WINDOWS.