Severe Thunderstorm Warning 89, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
217 PM MDT (317 PM CDT) THU JUN 8 1995

LOW CLOUDS HAVING A HARD TIME BREAKING WITH CONTINUED UPSLOPE FLOW...
WHICH SHOULD INHIBIT CONVECTION SOMEWHAT...AT LEAST UNTIL BEST
DYNAMICS MOVES IN LATER TONIGHT. GLD WSR-88D INDICATES CLOUD DECK IS
FAIRLY THIN AND WOULD EXPECT JUNE SUN TO EVENTUALLY POKE SOME HOLES
IN OVERCAST...BUT WILL LIKELY BE TOO LITTLE TOO LATE TO INFLUENCE
PRE-DYNAMIC CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL.

AVN SEEMS TO MISS MAIN FEATURE MOVING IN FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO...
WHILE ETA/NGM IN PRETTY DECENT AGREEMENT WITH TIMING AND STRENGTH.
BIGGEST DIFFERENCE IS LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS WITH NGM...AS USUAL...
MUCH STRONGER WITH WAA PATTERN. WITH SHALLOW NATURE OF AIRMASS...AND
18Z TEMPERATURES SUBSTANTIALLY BLO FWCS...FAVOR COOLER ETA.

THOUGH PRECIP LOOKS A GOOD BET OVERNIGHT...COOLER AND WEAKER ETA
WOULD SUGGEST BEST PUNCH TO BE FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST AND WOULD
RECOMMEND LEAVING MENTION OF SEVERE OUT OF ZONES AT THIS TIME. UA
DIAG FROM 12Z INDICATE FAIRLY DECENT 700 MB THETA-E RIDGE IN PLACE
SO HEAVY RAIN MAY BE A CONCERN GIVEN GOOD OVERUNNING. MAY BE WORTH
MENTIONING HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT. WITH DYNAMICS INCREASING THROUGH
THE NIGHT EVENT MAY BE RATHER LONG LIVED AGAIN WARRENTING MENTION OF
HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE.

BOTH ETA AND NGM BRING IN DOWNSLOPE LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW AS
SURFACE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST AWAY FROM CWA. TEMPS SHOULD RECOVER
NICELY WITH PLENTY OF SUN INDICATED BY MODELS BY AFTERNOON. DROP IN
RH MAY BE A LITTLE OVERDONE GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR INSTABILITY TYPE
CLOUDS AS COLDEST 500 MB TEMPS ARE PROGGED TO MOVE THROUGH DURING
THE DAY.

BARKER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
228 PM MDT (328 PM CDT) THU JUN 8 1995

TIME (MDT) ...CITY LOCATION...     STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION.

 2130      10 SW RUSSEL SPRINGS      KS   NICKEL SIZED HAIL
 6/7/95    LOGAN

 2330      3 N ANGELUS               KS   GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL
 6/7/95    SHERIDAN

 2330      8 N BETHUNE               CO   TORNADO/ROOFS DAMAGED
 6/7/95    KIT CARSON                     SHED CAST INTO TREES
                                          VEHICLES DAMAGED

 2330     14 N ARAPAHOE              CO   DIME SIZED HAIL/COVERED
 6/7/95   CHEYENNE                        GROUND

 0000     14 S WESKAN                KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   GREELEY

 0000     10 NW SHARON SPRINGS       KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   WALLACE

 0000     3 N RULETON                KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   SHERMAN

 0015     17 S WESKAN                KS   GOLFBALL SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   GREELEY

 0200     13 S OAKLEY                KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   LOGAN

 0200     17 SW RUSSEL SPRINGS       KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   LOGAN

 0230     1 SW GOVE                  KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   GOVE

 0258     3 NE TRIBUNE               KS   TORNADO/BRIEF
 6/8/95   GREELEY                         TOUCHDOWN

 0300     10 SW RUSSEL SPRINGS       KS   QUARTER SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   LOGAN

 0400     13 S OAKLEY                KS   QUARTER SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   LOGAN

 0530     1 SE GOVE                  KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   GOVE

 0600     1 SE GOVE                  KS   DIME SIZED HAIL
 6/8/95   GOVE

KWIATKOWSKI