Severe Thunderstorm Warning 352, NWS Fort Worth, TX

NORTH TEXAS SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1125 AM CDT SUNDAY 7 MAY 1995

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT OVER A LARGE PART OF NORTH TEXAS GENERALLY WEST OF A PARIS
TO TYLER TO WACO TO LAMPASAS LINE. A HIGH RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS IS CONFINED TO THE EXTREME NORTHWEST PART OF NORTH
TEXAS LOCATED WEST OF A MONTAGUE TO BRECKENRIDGE LINE. THE RISK OF A
SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL INCLUDE ALL
BUT EXTREME EASTERN PORTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS.

THIS IS POTENTIALLY A DANGEROUS SITUATION WHERE DAMAGING WINDS...
LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.  THE GREATEST
RISK OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES...LARGE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IS OVER NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE NORTH
TEXAS FROM ABILENE NORTHWARD.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES
NEAR MIDDAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH ARE BRINGING IN
VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE GULF AIR NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.
THE RIGHT REAR QUADRANT OF THE UPPER LEVEL JET IN COMBINATION WITH
STRONG SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST TURNING OF THE WIND THROUGH THE
VERTICAL WIND PROFILE SHOULD INTERACT WITH THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS OVER
THE REGION...CAUSING INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

THE POTENT SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE ENHANCED BY AN INTRUSION
OF WARM DRY AIR MOVING INTO WEST TEXAS AND COLD AIR ALOFT. LARGE AND
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP OVER
NORTHWEST PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS WHERE THE DRY AIR ENCOUNTERS MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INTO SUPERCELLS
WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A FEW TORNADOES IN ADDITION TO
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS OF NORTH TEXAS BY
LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

IN ADDITION...MANY RIVERS REMAIN SWOLLEN FROM PREVIOUS RAINS OF THE
PAST WEEK. HEAVY RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL ENHANCE THE LIKELIHOOD OF FLASH
FLOODING LATER TODAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL
OF NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN PARTS
TONIGHT.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT DIRECTORS AND STORM SPOTTER GROUPS SHOULD BE
IN A HIGH STATE OF READINESS FOR ACTIVATION THE REMAINDER OF TODAY
rAND TONIGHT.