Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Binghamton, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
110 PM EDT TUE AUG 15 1995

LOOKS LIKE THE MOST INTERESTING PART OF THE FCST IS THE REMAINDER OF
THIS AFTN AND EVNG. WEAK CDFNT WILL WASH OUT AS IT MOVES ACRS CNTRL NYS
LTR TNGT AND WED MRNG. BUBBLE HIGH BEHIND THIS FRONT WILL BRING IN SOME
RELATIVELY DRIER AIR FOR WED. THIS BEST ILLUSTRATED IN THE BNDRY LYR
AND 850 MB THETA-E FIELDS...ALSO IN THE HUGE DROP IN FCST K/S. ALTHO
SOME WEAK INSTABILITY MAY PERSIST NEAR THE NYS/PA BORDER AND NE PA
(SPCLY ERLY ON WED)...LOW LVL WIND FIELDS ARE DIVERGENT WITH NO LOW LVL
FOCUS FOR CONVECTION. WILL GO WITH PARTLY SUNNY AND A BIT LESS HUMID
FOR NYS ZONES (XPCT M60 TD/S VS. THE M70/S WE ARE CURRENTLY "ENJOYING").
DON/T SEE MUCH OF A FALL OFF IN TD/S ACRS NE PA UNTIL LATE WED. XPCT
TEMPS TO REMAIN IN THE WARM TO HOT RANGE (A90) MOST SECTIONS. COOLER ON
THU AS NE LOW LVL FLOW BCMS BETTER ESTABLISHED AND UPR LVL TROF
AMPLIFIES OFF THE NEWFOUNDLAND CST.

IN THE SHORT TERM PREFRONTAL TROF ACRS CNTRL NYS WITH DECENT MSTR
CONVERGENCE MAX. NUMEROUS CELLS FIRING MAINLY ACRS THE CNTRL SRN TIER.
XPCT ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE WELL INTO THE EVENING HOURS AND WILL INDICATE
SUCH IN ZONES. AGAIN MAIN THREAT WILL BE FOR HEAVY RAINS. ATTM NO
ORGANIZATION TO DVLPNG CELLS SO FFA NOT NEEDED BUT SITUATION WILL
OBVIOUSLY NEED TO BE MONITORED...ANY STRONG STORMS WILL BE ABLE TO DROP
A HUGE AMT OF RAIN IN A SHORT PERIOD. WILL MENTION FOG FOR TNGT...AREAS
WHICH DO GET RAIN COULD SOCK IN PRETTY GOOD.

ZONES ASAP AS RADAR LOOKING "BUBBLY". HAVE A GOOD ONE.

.BGM...NONE.

BRADY