Severe Thunderstorm Warning 124, NWS Amarillo, TX

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
305 PM CDT TUE MAY 30 1995

STLT WATER VAPOR LOOP SHOWS UPR LO OVR CNTRL CO MOVG SLOWLY EWD.
NGM AND ETA FCST ONE VORT LOBE TO SWING AROUND THE LO AND ACRS
PNHDLS THIS EVE AND ANOTHER LOBE LATE TNGT INTO TMW.  SHWRS/TSTMS
LIKELY TO DVLP AS FEATURES COME ACRS.  LO LVL WINDS WILL BE
VRBL AND LIGHT TNGT AS WK SFC LO TRACKS ACRS PNHDLS SO MSTR WILL NO
LONGER FEED ABUNDANTLY INTO THE AREA.  HWVR...DEW POINTS RMN HIGH
AND SUFFICIENT FOR ISOL HVY RAIN.  THIS MAKES IT DIFFICULT TO NOT
ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOAKED COUNTIES OF THE SRN TX
PNHDL.  IN FACT...FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR DEAF SMITH COUNTY IS A
SCANT 0.8 INCH SO ANY MDT TO STRONG TSTM CAN CAUSE A PROBLEM.
AS FAR AS SVR POTENTIAL...WARMER SFC TEMPS HAVE HELPED TO
DESTABILIZE AMS THIS AFTN.  LIFTED INDEX ALREADY DOWN TO MINUS 4
AND ARE FCST DCR EVEN MORE TNGT AS UPR COLD POOL REACHES AREA.
FEEL THREAT OF ISOL SVR IS THERE SO WILL MENTION PSBL SVR IN ALL
ZONES TNGT.  FOR LATER PERIODS...A FEW TSTMS WILL LINGER TMW AS
SYSTEM PULLS AWAY WITH BEST CHC FOR RAIN IN THE ERN ZONES.  DRY TMW
NIGHT AND THU AS RDG BUILDS INTO AREA.

AMA 50/75/51/82 640

.AMA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TNGT FOR ZONES 011>020.
.OK...NONE.

SP