Severe Thunderstorm Warning 4, NWS Wakefield, VA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1008 AM EST WED MAR 8 1995

SAT PIX SHWG SOME BRK IN CLOUDS OVR SC.  TEMPS ALRDY IN LWR 70S IN SC.
CURRENT RW/TRW OVR ERN VA/NERN NC MAY BE ASSOC WTH DEW PT LN AS DEW PTS
RISE INTO 60S BEHIND THE LN.  DEW PTS IN MID 60S OVR SRN NC AND SC.
QUESTION IS...WL THESE CONDS ADVECT TO VA/NERN NC?  THNK THERE WL BE A
BRF PD THS AFTN WHEN THERE WL BE A FEW BRKS IN THE CLOUDS TO ALLOW SOME
HTG...ESPCLY JUST BEFORE TRW ASSOC WTH FRNT APPCHS.  12Z SNDGS INDCT
MRGNL INSTBLTY BUT LI OF 0 TO -1 SHUD BECOME -2 TO -3 WTH SFC TEMPS
ARND 70 FOR RIC AND LWR 70S FOR ORF/ECG.  HELICITY VALUES OF @180 TO
@280 ACROSS CAROLINAS/VA DECENT AND AREA VWP FROM KRAX...KAKQ...KINS
AND KLTX SHWS BEST SPD AND DRCTNL SHEAR OVR ERN VA/NC.  ADAP SHWG 0 TO
-1 OVR NC/SRN VA NOW IN SSL BUT STILL 0<= IN SSU.  12Z H8 PLOT SHWS LLJ
WL NOT MV OR WKN AHD OF THE FRNT AND H3 PLOT SHWS DIFFLNC AS WELL AS
RRQ OF UPR JET.  SFC GEOS VORT CHART SHWS STG MAX OVR GA WTH GUD LOBE
INTO WRN VA...THIS WL BE THE ONLY TRIGGER FOR CNVCTN AND PTNL SVR WX.
THNK ONLY CHC FOR SVR OVR AKQ CWA WUD BE VRY ISOLD STG WND ASSOC WTH
DOWNWARD TRNSFR OF MOMENTUM IN RW+/TRW+.  THNK GDNC SLGTLY TOO COOL FOR
RIC TDY BUT A LTL TOO WRM FOR ORF/ECG. WL WE GET A VRY BRF MIX AS PRECIP
ENDS TNGT? WON'T MK A COMMITMENT TIL 12Z RUNS ANALYZED. MUST FOCUS ON
TDYS WX FOR NOW. KP TDY'S FCSTS AS IS.  ON CSTL WTRS...I QUESTION THE
GALES BEHIND THE FRNT BASED ON CURRENT BNDRY LYR WNDS BEHIND THE FRNT
OTRW...KP FCST AS IS.  WUD CHECK 12Z GDNC BEFORE CHG GALES FCST FOR LT
TNGT AND TMRW.

RIC 69/36/42 783   ECG 71/40/44 994
ORF 71/40/44 994   SBY 68/34/42 993

NS

NCZ012>017-030>032-102-501-502-504-MDZ501-081945-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD   VA
1249 PM EST WED MAR 8 1995

...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA UNTIL 6PM...

EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN
AND NORTHEAST PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA.  THE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO
AFFECT ROANOKE RAPIDS AND MURFEESBORO BY 2PM.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE IN ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

AT SIGNS OF AN IMPENDING STORM...TOWERING THUNDERHEADS...DARKENING
SKIES...LIGHTNING AND INCREASING WINDS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.
TUNE IN NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RAHDIO OR TV STATION FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

NS

VAZ048-049-060>063-082140-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD  VA
335 PM EST WED MAR 8 1995

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WATCH IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL VIRGINIA
                  UNTIL 9 PM...
...LINE OF STRONG THUDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 3:30 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
DEVELOPING LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR
CHARLOTTESVILLE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD THHROUGH FLUVANNA...BUCKINGHAM AND
PRINCE EDWARD COUNTIES TO NEAR SOUTH HILL VIRGINIA.

THIS DEVELOPING LINE IS MOVING NORTHEAST AROUND 40 MPH AND WILL MOVE
ACROSS LOUISA...FLUVANNA...GOOCHLAND...CUMBERLAND...POWHATAN AND PRINCE
EDWARD COUNTIES THROUGH 5 PM. VERY HEAVY RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. THIS LINE IS
INTENSIFYING AND WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED AS THE LINE CONTINUES
NORTHEASTWARD.

IF YOU LIVE IN CENTRAL VIRGINIA...BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER
CONDITIONS. IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

SAMMLER