Severe Thunderstorm Warning 261, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OKLAHOMA
400 PM CDT WED APR 27 1994

12Z UA ANAL INDCS STG WAA/ISENT LIFT COMBINED WITH RRQUAD OF JET STREAK
AT 25H AND TOUCHED OFF TRW OVR AREA TDY...NOT TO MENTION CHOICE SFC
BNDRY IN SE OK AND N TX. RW/TRW WL CONT THIS EVENING AS NEXT STG UA SYS
MOVS NEWD OVR AREA.

MODELS AGREE IN BRINGING THIS NEXT UA SYS THRU FA BY AFTN ON THU. THEY
ALSO AGREE ON TRACKING SFC LOW NEWD THRU SWRN...CNTRL...NERN OK. FEELING
IS THAT THIS IS TOO FAR NORTH. LOOKS LIKE FRONT HAS STALLED THIS AFTN IN
SE ZNS AND EXPECT THE SFC LOW TO FORM IN SW TX AND TRACK NE THRU N TX
AND INTO SE OK ZNS AS WDSPRD SHWRS AND TRW MOVE OVER AREA WITH STG ISENT
LIFT AND ASSOC UA DYNAMICS. THINKING LARGE PRES FALLS IN SCNTRL AND SERN
KS AT 18-19Z CORRESPOND TO RISES INDUCED EARLIER BY TRW.

WITH THIS IN MIND...TEMPS THIS AFTN ARE ALREADY BLO MOS FCST MINS FOR
TONITE IN CNTRL AND WRN OK AND MUCH OF N TX PTN OF FA. RMNDR OF TEMP
FCST WL BE ON COOLER SIDE OF MOS WITH EXCEPTION OF SE OK. NOT MUCH DOUBT
ABT RAIN IN ALL AREAS OF FA TONITE WITH LCLLY HVY AMTS PSBL IN SE OK.
PLAN TO ISSUE FFA FOR THIS AREA FOR TONITE. SLEET FELL OVR NW ZNS THIS
MORNING AS COLD AND DRY AIR COOLED TO WET BULB. THIS IS A FACTOR TNGT IN
THAT AREA BUT FEELING IS MID 30S DWPTS IN CNTRL KS THIS AFTN WL KEEP
PRECIP LIQUID TONITE AS AMS CONTS TO MODIFY. WL KEEP POPS IN ERN ZNS FOR
THURS WHILE DRY SLOT WORKS INTO WEST. NEXT SYS WORKS INTO WRN ZNS THURS
NITE AND REST OF FA ON FRI. COORD W/TUL.

FCSTID=#22/BT

HBR   40  61  45  65 / 70  0   30  50
OKC   40  61  45  65 / 70  0   30  50
SPS   45  65  50  70 / 70  0   30  50
GAG   34  60  41  60 / 70  0   30  50
PNC   38  60  41  61 / 70  0   30  50
DUA   51  70  55  75 / 100 30  30  50

.OKC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR ZONES 32, 41, 42, 43, 45, 46, 47,
48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53.

.TX...NONE.

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
1205 PM CDT WED APR 27 1994

TIME                 COUNTY              LOCATION/EVENT

720 AM               FOARD               DIME TO NICKEL HAIL 18NW OF
                                         CROWELL.

800 AM               JACKSON             NICKEL HAIL IN ELMER.

1005 AM              KIOWA               NICKEL HAIL IN HOBART.

1010 AM              KIOWA               DIME HAIL IN HOBART.

1050 AM              WASHITA             DIME HIAL 7S OF COWDEN.

1140 AM              BRYAN               GOLF BALL HAIL AT FORT WASHITA

1200 PM              JOHNSTON            DIME HAIL 3E NIDA.

1240 PM              MAJOR               QUARTER HAIL 3S CEDAR SPRINGS.

110 PM               ALFALFA             DIME HAIL IN GOLTRY.

130 PM               GRANT               NICKEL HAIL IN JEFFERSON.

140 PM               GRANT               QUARTER HAIL IN MEDFORD.

145 PM               ATOKA               DIME HAIL 5SW OF DAISY.

210 PM               GRANT               DIME HAIL COVERING GROUND 3E OF
                                         RENFROW.

SC

LOCAL STORM REPORT...DELAYED FROM 26TH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
240 PM CDT WED APR 27 1994

TIME/DATE                 COUNTY              LOCATION/EVENT

1045 PM/26TH         MARSHALL            GOLFBALL TO BASEBALL SIZE HAIL
                                         COVERING GROUND IN LITTLE CITY.

1050 PM/26TH         JOHNSTON            GOLFBALL HAIL IN NIDA.

SC

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
250 PM CDT WED APR 27 1994

TIME/DATE              COUNTY              LOCATION/EVENT

928 AM                 CADDO             DIME HAIL 3W ANADARKO.

SC

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
432 PM CDT WED APR 27 1994

TIME/DATE              COUNTY              LOCATION/EVENT

1100 PM/26TH           ATOKA               DIME HAIL COVERING GROUND
                                            NEAR FARRIS.

1140 AM                MARSHALL            DIME HAIL IN LITTLE CITY.

1235 PM                NOBLE               DIME HAIL COVERED GROUND
                                            IN MARLAND.

1235 PM                KAY                 PEA TO DIME HAIL IN PONCA
                                           CITY. REPORTED BY CO. C.D.

1230-1235 PM           KAY                 PEA TO DIME HAIL 8 MILES
                                            SOUTH OF PONCA CITY ON HWY
                                            177.

100 PM                BLAINE              DIME HAIL IN LONGDALE.

121 PM                GARFIELD             PENNY SIZE HAIL 2 MI NORTH
      &                                      AND 1 MI WEST OF HILLSDALE.

419 PM                BLAINE               DIME HAIL 10 MILES WEST AND
                                            5 SOUTH OF WATONGA.
 KJ