Severe Thunderstorm Warning 112, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
205 PM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

ETA ONLY MDL TO REALLY HOLD ONTO WEAKNESS OVER FL AT 50H AND ACTUALLY
TRIES TO CUTOFF SYSTEM IN ERN GULF. AVN AND NGM MUCH LESS IMPRESSIVE
AND WILL GO TOWARD THEIR SOLUTION. SFC HIGH OVER SE US WILL INCREASE
ENE LLVL FLOW BUT BEST MRH IS GRADUALLY SHUNTED SOUTH. DEEPER BUT NOT
VERY STRONG ESTRLY FLOW WILL BE IN CONTROL THRU 48 HR. WAVE MOVING
TOWARD FL STRAITS MAY INCREASE DRYING OVER CNTRL FL AS WELL AND WILL
LEAN TOWARD NGM POPS. TMPS PERSISTENCE. TSTSM PM INTERIOR AN MAINLY
AM EAST CST.

@1...LAKE ORANGE SEMINOLE OSCEOLA
@2...VOLUISA BREVARD
@3...INDIAN RIVER ST LUCIE MARTIN OKEECHOBEE

MCO 72/90/73/90 3423
DAB 74/88/74/88 2424
MLB 74/88/74/88 2424

RES

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-241505-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM AROUND HOBE SOUND...

AT 955 AM A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS
WAS ALONG THE COAST NEAR HOBE SOUND AND EXTENDED NORTH TO ST LUCIE
INLET AND SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET. THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING
SOUTH AT 5 MPH AND WILL AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL AND COASTAL WATERS
BETWEEN ST LUCIE AND JUPITER INLETS FOR THE NEXT HOUR. MARINE
INTERESTS SHOULD TRY TO AVOID THIS THUNDERSTORM IF POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS AND LOW VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS STORM.

ELSEWHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE JUST OFFSHORE
FROM FT PIERCE AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS 25 TO OVER 50 MILES
EAST FROM EDGEWATER TO SEBASTIAN. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
THROUGH NOON.

RES

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-241505-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM AROUND HOBE SOUND...

AT 955 AM A THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS
WAS ALONG THE COAST NEAR HOBE SOUND AND EXTENDED NORTH TO ST LUCIE
INLET AND SOUTH TO JUPITER INLET. THIS THUNDERSTORM WAS MOVING
SOUTH AT 5 MPH AND WILL AFFECT THE INTRACOASTAL AND COASTAL WATERS
BETWEEN ST LUCIE AND JUPITER INLETS FOR THE NEXT HOUR. MARINE
INTERESTS SHOULD TRY TO AVOID THIS THUNDERSTORM IF POSSIBLE. LOCALLY
ROUGH SEAS AND LOW VISIBILITY CAN BE EXPECTED IN THIS STORM.

ELSEWHERE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE JUST OFFSHORE
FROM FT PIERCE AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS 25 TO OVER 50 MILES
EAST FROM EDGEWATER TO SEBASTIAN. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE
THROUGH NOON.

RES

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-241630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT...DRY AIR ALOFT AND WEAK WIND FIELDS COULD LEAD TO
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
BEING OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LAKE KISSIMMEE TO VERO BEACH.

IN ADDITION WITH THE LIGHT WIND FIELDS AND GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS...BUT ONCE AGAIN PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE VERO BEACH AREA.

LATE MORNING RADAR PICTURES SHOWED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
MARTIN COUNTY. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO
FORM INITIATING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INLAND ALONG THE
COASTAL COUNTIES. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY INLAND BY
MID AFTERNOON.

WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
EXCEED 1 TO 2 INCHES ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY. HOWEVER MARINE
INTEREST AND PILOTS ARE REQUESTED TO RELAY REPORTS OF WATERSPOUTS TO
THEIR RESPECTIVE AUTHORITIES AND HAVE THEM RELAYED TO TH~E NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SJH

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-241630-

EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1130 AM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALOFT...DRY AIR ALOFT AND WEAK WIND FIELDS COULD LEAD TO
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES
BEING OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LAKE KISSIMMEE TO VERO BEACH.

IN ADDITION WITH THE LIGHT WIND FIELDS AND GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS...BUT ONCE AGAIN PRIMARILY SOUTH OF THE VERO BEACH AREA.

LATE MORNING RADAR PICTURES SHOWED NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER
MARTIN COUNTY. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED TO
FORM INITIATING SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INLAND ALONG THE
COASTAL COUNTIES. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN MOVE SLOWLY INLAND BY
MID AFTERNOON.

WITH THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS...RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD
EXCEED 1 TO 2 INCHES ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE
REGION. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF STRONG GUSTY WINDS
AND DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY. HOWEVER MARINE
INTEREST AND PILOTS ARE REQUESTED TO RELAY REPORTS OF WATERSPOUTS TO
THEIR RESPECTIVE AUTHORITIES AND HAVE THEM RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

SJH

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-242005-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
303 PM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INTERIOR OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...

AT 300 PM A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS FROM MASCOTTE TO LAKE
APOPKA AND ORLANDO...EXTENDING SOUTH TO ST CLOUD...LAKE KISSIMMEE
AND DEER PARK. SMALL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN AZALEA PARK WITH A
THUNDERSTORM JUST BEFORE 3 PM.

SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL...WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A
STORM APPROACHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POOR
VISIBILITIES DURING HEAVY RAIN. SOME STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

ELSEWHERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE SCATTERED FROM BASINGER TO SOUTH
OF LAKE KISSIMMEE...WITH SHOWERS SCATTERED FROM SEBASTIAN TO
NORTHEAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN ISOLATED SHOWER WAS SOUTH OF
SANFORD...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM UMATILLA TO LAKE GEORGE
AND OCALA.

RES

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-242005-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
303 PM EDT WED AUG 24 1994

...SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INTERIOR OF CENTRAL
FLORIDA...

AT 300 PM A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS FROM MASCOTTE TO LAKE
APOPKA AND ORLANDO...EXTENDING SOUTH TO ST CLOUD...LAKE KISSIMMEE
AND DEER PARK. SMALL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN AZALEA PARK WITH A
THUNDERSTORM JUST BEFORE 3 PM.

SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTAIN SMALL HAIL...WINDS
GUSTING TO 40 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A
STORM APPROACHES. MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POOR
VISIBILITIES DURING HEAVY RAIN. SOME STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

ELSEWHERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE SCATTERED FROM BASINGER TO SOUTH
OF LAKE KISSIMMEE...WITH SHOWERS SCATTERED FROM SEBASTIAN TO
NORTHEAST OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE. AN ISOLATED SHOWER WAS SOUTH OF
SANFORD...WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM UMATILLA TO LAKE GEORGE
AND OCALA.

RES