Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
230 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

MIDWEST TROF HAS BEGUN TO TAKE RMNTS OF BERYL N AWAY FROM AREA.
GRIDDED DATA SHOW LLVL RDG AXIS BLDG SLOWLY N IN ITS WAKE FROM STRAITS
TO S CNTRL FL BY THU. HIEST DEEP MSTR WL PULL N BUT 70 PCT MRH FCST TO
ELONGATE E/W RUFFLY ALG AND N OF H2 ACYC SHEAR AXIS ACRS N CNTRL FL.

NGM/ETA SHOW H5 TROF AXIS SLGTLY FARTHER W THAN AVN...WHICH ALLOWS FLO
TO BCM MORE ACYC THRU PD...SPCLY ACRS SRN PTNS OF FA. WND PROFILE WL
FINALLY WKN AS BERYL EXITS...INCLUDING UPR LVLS WHERE STG ACYC OUTFLOW
HAS BEEN LEADING TO SBSDNC AND SUPPRESSED CNVCTV ACTVTY OVR ABT THE S
THIRD OF THE PEN. THERE4 XPC GROUP 2 TO BEGIN HAVING MORE AFTN CNVCTN
THAN PAST FEW DAYS...BUT WL STICK WITH POPS NR GUIDANCE IN ACCORDANCE
WITH ETA/NGM MID LVL TROF PSTN.

FOR GROUP 1...XTNSV AREA OF CNVCTN CURRENTLY OVR ERN GLFMEX...SO WL GO
WITH GOOD CHC POPS TIL ARND MIDNITE IN FIRST PD...THEN KEEP GOOD CHC
POPS FOR NEXT 2 AFTNS.

@1...LAKE ORANGE SEMINOLE VOLUSIA
@2...BREVARD INDIAN RIVER OKEECHOBEE MARTIN ST LUCIE OSCEOLA

MCO TT 073 090 072 091 5525
DAB TT 073 090 071 090 5525
MLB BB 073 089 073 090 2424

.MLB...SCEC.

RL

FLZ038-040-501-161945-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND RADAR SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
240 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA
UNTIL 500 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

...A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF NORTH
FLORIDA UNTIL 400 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
AND OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN EDGEWATER AND FERNANDINA BEACH. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED NEAR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST BETWEEN CEDAR KEY
AND TARPON SPRINGS...ALL WITHIN A LARGE AREA OF RAIN THAT BLANKETED
MUCH OF NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA WEST OF A LINE FROM TAMPA TO
OCALA TO JACKSONVILLE.  MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS
AND ALSO CREATE ROUGH SEAS FOR BOATERS. RESIDENTS AND MARINERS
ALIKE SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO
OCCUR. BE READY TO MOVE TO SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR
AREA.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING OF STREAMS AS WELL AS POORLY
DRAINED URBAN AREAS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO TH>E POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE WATCH AREA. NEVER DRIVE INTO A FLOODED STRETCH
OF ROAD. THE DEPTH OF WATER MAY BE ENOUGH TO FLOAT YOUR VEHICLE.

FLZ038-040-501-162040-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND RADAR SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
340 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA
UNTIL 500 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

...A FLOOD WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR A LARGE PART OF NORTH
FLORIDA UNTIL 400 PM THIS AFTERNOON AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING OVER THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
AND OFFSHORE WATERS BETWEEN CAPE CANAVERAL AND BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
A LARGE AREA OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS COVERED
MUCH OF NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA WEST OF A LINE FROM TAMPA TO
LEESBURG TO JACKSONVILLE.  MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS
AND ALSO CREATE ROUGH SEAS FOR BOATERS. RESIDENTS AND MARINERS
ALIKE SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO
OCCUR. BE READY TO MOVE TO SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR
AREA.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT FLOODING OF STREAMS AS WELL AS POORLY
DRAINED URBAN AREAS IS POSSIBLE DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL IN THE WATCH AREA. NEVER DRIVE INTO A FLO.ODED STRETCH
OF ROAD. THE DEPTH OF WATER MAY BE ENOUGH TO FLOAT YOUR VEHICLE.

FLZ038-040-501-162145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND RADAR SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
445 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA
UNTIL 500 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

A NARROW BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXTENDED FROM 15 MILES OFFSHORE NEW SMYRNA BEACH TO MELBOURNE
SOUTHWARD TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING
FROM JUST EAST OF TAMPA TO NEAR LEESBURG...ALL WITHIN A LARGE AREA
OF RAIN THAT COVERED MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA BETWEEN CROSS CITY AND
JACKSONVILLE AND EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO LAKELAND AND SARASOTA.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS
AND ALSO CREATE ROUGH SEAS FOR BOATERS. RESIDENTS AND MARINERS
ALIKE SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO
OCCUR. BE READY TO MOVE TO SHELTER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR
AREA.

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FLZ038-040-501-162145-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND RADAR SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DAYTONA BEACH FL
445 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF NORTH FLORIDA
UNTIL 500 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...AND INCLUDES MARION COUNTY...

A NARROW BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...
EXTENDED FROM 15 MILES OFFSHORE NEW SMYRNA BEACH TO MELBOURNE
SOUTHWARD TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING
FROM JUST EAST OF TAMPA TO NEAR LEESBURG...ALL WITHIN A LARGE AREA
OF RAIN THAT COVERED MUCH OF NORTH FLORIDA BETWEEN CROSS CITY AND
JACKSONVILLE AND EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO LAKELAND AND SARASOTA.
MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

RESIDENTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL FLORIDA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER THIS AFTERNOON. VERY HEAVY RAIN...DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING AND STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS
AND ALSO CREATE ROUGH SEAS FOR BOATERS. RESIDENTS AND MARINERS
ALIKE SHOULD STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST
WEATHER INFORMATION.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS THAT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN
AND NEAR THE WATCH AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY ALSO
OCCUR. BE READY TO MOVE TO SHELTnER IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR
AREA.

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-162220-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
515 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FROM PONCE INLET TO MELBOURNE BEACH UNTIL
545 PM...

AT 510 PM A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS FROM 15 MILES OFFSHORE
OF PONCE INLET TO PLAYALINDA BEACH AND OVER PORT CANAVERAL. THESE
STORMS WERE MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH AND WILL MOVE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PONCE INLET TO COCOA BEACH THROUGH 6 PM.
WIND GUSTS OF 60 AND 75 MPH WERE REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS AT
THE SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY DURING THE LAST HALF HOUR.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER VIERA AND ALONG THE OSCEOLA AND
BREVARD COUNTY LINE. THESE STORMS WERE ALSO MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH...AND COULD AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH
TO MELBOURNE BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR.

MARINE INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY SEAS. INSURE THAT ALL
PERSONS ON BOARD ARE WEARING PERSONAL FLOTATION DEVICES.
DISCONTINUE IN-WATER ACTIVITIES IMMEDIATELY.

RES
&

FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-501-162220-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
515 PM EDT TUE AUG 16 1994

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FROM PONCE INLET TO MELBOURNE BEACH UNTIL
545 PM...

AT 510 PM A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS FROM 15 MILES OFFSHORE
OF PONCE INLET TO PLAYALINDA BEACH AND OVER PORT CANAVERAL. THESE
STORMS WERE MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH AND WILL MOVE OVER
THE COASTAL WATERS FROM PONCE INLET TO COCOA BEACH THROUGH 6 PM.
WIND GUSTS OF 60 AND 75 MPH WERE REPORTED WITH THESE STORMS AT
THE SHUTTLE LANDING FACILITY DURING THE LAST HALF HOUR.

OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER VIERA AND ALONG THE OSCEOLA AND
BREVARD COUNTY LINE. THESE STORMS WERE ALSO MOVING NORTH NORTHEAST
AT 20 MPH...AND COULD AFFECT THE COASTAL WATERS FROM COCOA BEACH
TO MELBOURNE BEACH DURING THE NEXT HOUR.

MARINE INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD PREPARE FOR WINDS OF 40 TO
50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY H"EAVY SEAS. INSURE THAT ALL
PERSONS ON BOARD ARE WEARING PERSONAL FLOTATION DEVICES.
DISCONTINUE IN-WATER ACTIVITIES IMMEDIATELY.

RES
&