Severe Thunderstorm Warning 115, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
320 PM CDT WED JUN 29 1994

BOTH ETA/NGM ARE SIMILAR WITH TRACK OF TNGTS MCS AS INDC BY RH BULLSEYE IN
GRIDDED DATA.  BUT IN THE SHORT RUN...TSTMS ALREADY DVLPG IN NCEN KS ALG
LEADING EDGE OF RTNG MOIST.  COMBINATION OF WAA AND MOIST ADVCTN SHUD KEEP
THESE GOING INTO THE EVENING.  WATER VAP PIX INDC A SML S/W OVER SE
MT...AHD OF THE MAIN S/W.  THIS WAS NOT PICKED UP BY EITHER MDL.  ROUGH
XTRAP WOULD PUT IT IN SRN NE ARND MIDNGT.  THIS WOULD LIKELY BE THE TRIGGER
FOR TNGTS MCS...DEP ON WHAT HAPPENS THIS AFTN.  BARRING THE EFFECTS OF AFTN
CONV...A BIG ASSUMPTION...THE TRACK WOULD LKLY XTEND FROM CEN KS TOWARDS
COFFEYVILLE.

TMRW IS UP FOR GRABS...DEP ON WHAT HAPPENS OVRNGT. WOULD XPCT SOME CLDS
LINGERING OVR SCEN KS AND PCPN IN SE KS.

RSL 68/95 52  SLN 67/95 52
HUT 69/96 53  ICT 68/95 53
CNU 70/90 44

HOWERTON

KSZ032-047>053-067>070-082-083-091>093-300130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
621 PM CDT WED JUN 29 1994

...TORNADO WATCH #520 IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM RUSSELL SOUTH
THROUGH GREAT BEND TO PRATT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF
SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 45 MILES AN HOUR ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MILES
AN HOUR AS THEY MOVED ACROSS HIGHWAY 183 EARLIER.

THIS AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 MILES AN HOUR...WITH
THE LEADING OR EASTERN EDGE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS 35 MILES WEST OF
HUTCHINSON.

HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME OF
THESE STORMS AS THEY PUSH DEEPER INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY THIS EVENING.

J.CHRISTENSON

KSZ032-047>053-067>070-082-083-091>093-300130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
621 PM CDT WED JUN 29 1994

...TORNADO WATCH #520 IS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM RUSSELL SOUTH
THROUGH GREAT BEND TO PRATT. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE HAD A HISTORY OF
SUSTAINED WINDS ABOVE 45 MILES AN HOUR ALONG WITH GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MILES
AN HOUR AS THEY MOVED ACROSS HIGHWAY 183 EARLIER.

THIS AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 MILES AN HOUR...WITH
THE LEADING OR EASTERN EDGE OF THE THUNDERSTORMS 35 MILES WEST OF
HUTCHINSON.

HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SOME OF
THESE STORMS AS THEY PUSH DEEPER INTO CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS
EARLY THIS EVENING.

J.CHRISTENSON