Severe Thunderstorm Warning 218, NWS Tulsa, OK

FPUS3 KTUL 142007

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
307 PM CDT MON JUN 14 1993

SFC FNT AT 19Z LOCATED FROM NW ARK TO S OF OKC TO NR LTS. BEST
CONVERGENCE ALG FRONT IS OVR WRN/CNTRL OK WHERE NLY WIND COMPONENT IS
AIDED BY OUTFLOW FROM TX PH MCS. A FEW TRW HV DVLPD NEAR THE FRONT
IN THE PAST HR OVR ERN OK WITH AID FROM STG HTG AND TEMPS IN UPR 80S.
XPCT THE TRW TO DIE BY SUNSET WITH LOSS OF HTG. WL DECIDE ON EVE POPS
JUST BEFORE ZONE ISSUANCE AFTR LOOKING AT RADAR.

LATER PDS OF FCST A LTL UNCERTAIN WITH THE WK FRONTAL REMNANTS LIFTING
NORTH AND RICH MSTR MOVG BACK INTO ALL OF FA. ISOLD TRW ARE PSBL ABOUT
ANY PD OF FCST THRU WEDS AS STG HEATING MAY ALLOW AFTN DVLPMENT AND
RETREATING BNDRY MAY TRIGGER AN MCS IN KS WHICH CUD TRAK SOUTHEAST.
ONLY SIG SHORTWV TO MOVE CLOSE TO AREA IS SHOWN BY NGM TO MOVE INTO
NORTHEAST KS TUES EVE. LIFT AND PCPN WITH THIS WAVE SHUD REMAIN IN
KS...ALTHO ISOLD TRW MAY BRUSH EXTRM NRN ZNS. AFTR TONITE...HV OPTED
TO LEAVE OUT MENTION OF POPS THRU WEDS WITH H7 AND H5 RIDGING IN PLACE.
MODELS DO NOT SHOW OVRLY WARM MID LVL TEMPS SO ISOLD TRW ARE PSBL BOTH
TUES AND WEDS AFTNS.

WL FOLLOW PERSISTENCE FOR TEMP FCSTS. SHUD BE SOME MID 60S TONITE
IN NRN ZNS WHERE DRY AIR WL MAKE A TEMPORARY ARRIVAL. MOS GUIDANCE
TEMPS AFTR TONITE IN STG AGREEMENT AND WL FOLLOW CLOSELY.

                                                         ...09...
TUL 69/88/71/89 1111        MLC 69/91/70/91 1111
BVO 66/88/68/90 1111        IDB 69/90/70/90 1111

.OK...NONE.

OKZ032-142300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT MON JUN 14 1993

AT 452 PM...RADAR INDICATED AN INTENSIFYING THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES
NORTHWEST OF STILWELL MOVING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MILES AN HOUR. THIS
STORM PROBABLY CONTAINS SMALL HAIL. PEOPLE IN THE STILWELL AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT IN CASE THE STORM CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND A WARNING IS
ISSUED.

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OKZ031-032-033-034-142345-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
550 PM CDT MON JUN 14 1993

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 434 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR
MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

AT 545PM CDT RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A 25 MILE WIDE LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF FORT SMITH IN SOUTHEAST
ADAIR COUNTY...TO WEBBERS FALLS...TO EUFAULA...TO HANNA IN SOUTHWEST
MCINTOSH COUNTY.  THE LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
MPH AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO PITTSBURG AND HASKELL
COUNTIES.

THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL.  THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
ONE OF THE STORMS ALONG THE LINE TO BECOME SEVERE AND PERSONS NEAR AND
AHEAD OF THE STROMS SHOULD BE READY FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND LISTEN CLOSELY FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

OKZ031-032-033-034-142345-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
550 PM CDT MON JUN 14 1993

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 434 REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11PM FOR
MUCH OF EAST-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

AT 545PM CDT RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A 25 MILE WIDE LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM 20 MILES NORTH OF FORT SMITH IN SOUTHEAST
ADAIR COUNTY...TO WEBBERS FALLS...TO EUFAULA...TO HANNA IN SOUTHWEST
MCINTOSH COUNTY.  THE LINE OF STORMS WAS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 TO 15
MPH AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO PITTSBURG AND HASKELL
COUNTIES.

THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN...CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND SOME HAIL.  THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY
ONE OF THE STORMS ALONG THE LINE TO BECOME SEVERE AND PERSONS NEAR AND
AHEAD OF THE STROMS SHOULD BE READY FOR DETERIORATING WEATHER CONDITIONS
AND LISTEN CLOSELY FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

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