Severe Thunderstorm Warning 83, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
345 PM CDT WED APR 28 1993

OUTFLO FM PREV CONVECTION HAS MADE FNT/INVERTED TROF DIFFICULT TO FIND
THIS AFTN...IN ANY CASE EXPECT THIS FEATURE...WHICH IS NOW SOMEWHERE
ACRS NRN OK TO WORK SWD AND BE IN THE XTRM SERN PTN OF THE FA BY THU
AFTN. MOISTURE STILL STREAMING NWD ATTM AND FNT WL NOT MOV AS FAST AS
MOST OF THE PROGS SHOW...THUS HIGH POPS FOR TONIGHT AND SPCLY FOR THE S
ON THU. FOR FRI WL CONFINE MENTION OF PCPN TO XTRM SERN ZONES. FPC AND
FWC TEMPS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND WL BE FOLLOWED CLOSELY...THO GUID MINS
FOR TNGT LIKELY TOO LOW. PAYNE COUNTY HAS RCVD SOME SUBSTANTIAL RAINFALL
TDA...BUT FOR THE SHORT RANGE PCPN HAS NOT MOVD EWD FM THE STILLWATER
AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS MUST BE WATCHED CLOSELY IN PAYNE COUNTY
SHOULD ADDNL PCPN MOVE IN THIS EVE.

OKC 56/68/52/72 7631  GAG 55/65/49/72 4321  PNC 54/65/51/70 7421
SPS 60/72/55/75 5742

.OK...NONE.
.TX...NONE.

OKC119-282300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
135 PM CDT WED APR 28 1993

...A RAPID RISE IS EXPECTED ON STILLWATER CREEK EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...

RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL THIS MORNING OVER WESTERN PAYNE COUNTY IN THE
VICINITY OF CARL BLACKWELL DAM WILL MOVE DOWN STILLWATER CREEK AND
SHOULD APPROACH THE CITY OF STILLWATER THIS AFTERNOON. A RAPID RISE ON
STILLWATER CREEK TO NEAR BANKFULL IS LIKELY IN THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
PARTS OF STILLWATER NEAR THE WASHINGTON STREET CROSSING BY MID
AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS LIKELY OVER THE STILLWATER CREEK DRAINAGE BASIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE RAINFALL THIS MORNING HAS SATURATED THE
GROUND OVER THE UPPER PORTION OF THE STILLWATER CREEK DRAINAGE BASIN...
AND MUCH OF THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL RUN OFF QUICKLY. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN HIGHER WATER LEVELS IN STILLWATER CREEK
AND POSSIBLE FLOODING IN SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF STILLWATER.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER UPDATES AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. PERSONS WITH PROPERTY NEAR STILLWATER CREEK SHOULD BE PREPARED
TO TAKE QUICK ACTION IF HEAVY RAINFALL DEVELOPS OVER WESTERN PAYNE
COUNTY.

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