Severe Thunderstorm Warning 316, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
330 PM CDT WED SEP 9 1992

CDFNT LCTD FRM NE KS TO OK PNHNDL AT 18Z WITH TROF FRM NR ICT INTO
SW OK.  BNDRYS WL CONT MOVG TWRD FA AND WL BE THE FOCUS FOR STG TO
SVR TSTMS ACRS THE AREA TNGT.  AMS VRY UNSTBL ACRS RGN...BUT SPECIAL
18Z RAOB FRM UMN STILL SHOWED SLGT CAP OVR AREA.  CONVG ALNG BNDRY
XPCTD TO BE SUFFICIENT TO FIRE CONVCTN OVR NXT FEW HRS TO THE NW OF
FA...WITH ACTVTY THEN MOVG ACRS ERN OK THIS EVNG THRU TNGT.  WL
INCLUDE MENTION OF SVR OVR ALL ZNS TNGT...WITH HIGHEST POPS NW...
TAPERING TO 40 PCT XTRM SE.  FNT NOT XPCTD TO CLR SERN ZNS TILL ABT
MIDDAY THU...SO WL HOLD LO POPS IN THE SE FOR THU MRNG.

BHND THIS SYSTM COOLER...DRIER WX THRU LATER PDS.  WL GENRLLY
COMPROMISE BTWN FPC AND FWC TEMPS...BUT WL LEAN TWRD COOLER FWC
NUMBERS.

PRELIM NUMBERS...  TUL 63/83/56/84 7-00  BVO 57/80/52/82 7000
                   MLC 68/82/60/85 52-0  IDB 69/85/58/85 431-
...04...

.OK...NONE.

OKZ026>030-092230-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
455 PM CDT WED SEP 9 1992

AT 455PM SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAD BEGUN TO DEVELOP IN PARTS
OF OSAGE...PAWNEE...WASHINGTON...NOWATA AND CRAIG COUNTIES.   CONDITIONS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF THE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE
STORMS LIKELY TO SPREAD QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
EVENING.

PERSONS IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR LOCAL CONDITIONS
AND LISTEN FOR FURTHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS NOW BEING ISSUED FOR MUCH NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AT THIS TIME.

OKZ026>030-092230-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
615 PM CDT WED SEP 9 1992

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA UNTIL
   12 MIDNIGHT...

AT 610 PM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD
DEVELOP FROM FORT SCOTT KANSAS TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER NORTH OF
NEWKIRK.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A COLD FRONT
WHICH WAS DROPPING SOUTHWARD ACROSS KANSAS.  THIS LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO NORTHWESTERN OSAGE COUNTY BY 640 PM.
OTHER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING IN ADVANCE
OF THIS LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS  THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE
LOCATED IN A NARROW BAND EXTENDING FROM JOPLIN MISSOURI...
THROUGH THE TULSA METROPOLITAN AREA TO NEAR STILLWATER.  THUNDERSTORMS
IN THIS ADVANCE CLUSTER WERE NOT SEVERE.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AS THE NIGHT
PROGRESSES ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.  THESE THUNDERSTORMS
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME SEVERE.  STRONG GUSTY WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS
TONIGHT.

PERSONS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA SHOULD MONITOR THIS
DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.  KEEP TUNED TO LOCAL
TV AND RADIO AND NOAA WEATHE|R RADIO FOR FURTHER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.