Severe Thunderstorm Warning 521, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
250 PM CDT WED SEP 2 1992

SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES WK MESO LOW HAS FORMED S OF GAG ALG TROF RUNNING
FM P28-LTS. OTHR FTR OF INTEREST IS OUTFLOW BNDRY WHICH XTNDS FM LOW
SEWD. WSR-88D INDICATES FINE LN OUTFLOW BNDRY LIES NR SEILING-BLANCHARD-
SULPHUR LN AND HAS NOW BCM STNRY. AMS HAS STABILIZED N OF BNDRY AND W OF
TROF. BTWN THESE FTRS LIS HAVE FALLEN TO ARND MINUS 10 WTH MCONV
MAXIMIZED E OF MESO LOW AND ALG OUTFLO ACCRDG TO ADAP/MAPS ANALYSES.
STG STMS RMN ALG OUTFLO BNDRY IN SERN OK WHL FURTHER W ALG BNDRY AND
TROF LOW-LVLS RMN CAPPED. ADAP CAP STRNGTH HAS FALLEN BELOW 2 DEG ACRS
SWRN OK/NW TX AND ANTICIPATE STMS TO FIRE AT ANYTIME. LRG CAP AND STG
WND FLDS WL RESULT IN A FEW SVR STMS. PROFILERS 88D VWP SUG SOM POTL FOR
MESOCYCLONE FORMATION AS WELL...ESP VCNTY OUTFLO BNDRY.

XPCT TROF TO GRDLY MOV INTO SC OK BFR STALLING ERLY THU MRNG AS WK S/W
SWEEPS ACRS RGN FM NW. TROF WL BCM MOR DIFFUS ON THU AND S/W WL BE PAST
AREA SO WL CONT LOW POPS ONLY ACRS SERN OK ZNS. AS TROF WASHES OUT LATE
THU INTO FRI LOW LVL MSTR SHUD SPRD BACK WWD ACRS AREA. ATTM WL KEEP
POPS BLO 20 PCT MOST OF 3RD-4TH PDS DUE TO LACK OF BNDRY LYR CONV AND WK
UPR FORCING. ONLY EXCEPTIONS WL IN SE DURG THU EVNG AND IN NW LATE FRI
AFTN WHEN NEXT WV LIFTS OUT OUT OF ROCKIES.

HIEST POPS FCST SE TNGT ALG WTH MENTION OF HVY RAFL IN ZNS. TEMPS WL BE
HIGHLY DEPENDENT UOPN POSN OF TROF/DRY AIR AND GUID VALUES SEEM IN THE
BALLPARK XCPT FOR MAXES WHICH SEEM TO WARM.  ..16..

PRELIM NUMS...
GAG 58/90/63/91 0002  PNC 65/90/69/91 3111  HBR 64/91/67/91 4111
OKC 68/91/69/91 4111  SPS 68/96/69/95 4111  DUA 69/91/69/91 7221

.OK...NONE
.TX...NONE

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
 4 23 PM CDT WED SEP 02 1992

TIME(CDT)/DATE               COUNTY            REPORT

 4 00 AM  /2ND               KINGFISHER/LOGAN  PENNY SIZE HAIL
                                               EAST SIDE OF
                                               CASHION ON COUNTY LINE.

PURPURA

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
4 26 PM CDT WED SEP 02 1992

TIME(CDT)/DATE               COUNTY            REPORT

3 25 PM  /2ND                ATOKA             NICKEL SIZE HAIL AT
                                               FARRIS

PURPURA

TXZ076-077-022245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA FALLS TX
445 PM CDT WED SEP 2 1992

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM TONIGHT FOR
THE FOLLOWING NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES ARCHER...BAYLOR...WILBARGER...
JACK...CLAY...MONTAGUE...WICHITA AND INCLUDES COTTON COUNTY OF SOUTH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

AT 440 PM THE WICHITA FALLS RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
VERY STRONG...IN OKLAHOMA NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY AND NORTH
OF ARDMORE. MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

NO PRECIPTATION WAS INDICATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AT 440 PM...HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH THE APPROACH
OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINING WITH A THUNDRSTORM BOUNDARY FROM
LAST NIGHTS ACTIVITY IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

TXZ076-077-022245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECT SPELLING...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA FALLS TX
445 PM CDT WED SEP 2 1992

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM TONIGHT FOR
THE NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTIES OF ARCHER...BAYLOR...WILBARGER...
JACK...CLAY...MONTAGUE...WICHITA. THE WATCH INCLUDES COTTON COUNTY OF
SOUTHCENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

AT 440 PM THE WICHITA FALLS RADAR SHOWED SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME
VERY STRONG...IN OKLAHOMA NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF OKLAHOMA CITY AND NORTH
OF ARDMORE. MOVEMENT OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

NO PRECIPITATION WAS INDICATED OVER NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS AT 440 PM...HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITH THE APPROACH
OF AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE COMBINING WITH A THUNDERSTORM BOUNDARY FROM
LAST NIGHTS ACTIVITY IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

OKZ004>021-TXZ076-077-020000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
4 55 PM CDT WED SEP 2 1992

...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS OKLAHOMA CITY METRO
   AREA...

AT 455 PM SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THE HEAVIEST STORMS WERE JUST WEST OF
NEWCASTLE...5 MILES NORTHEAST OF SHAWNEE...AND ABOUT 2 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF DEL CITY.  OTHER LIGHTER SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE LOCATED 2 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF OKARCHE...IN THE EDMOND/ARCADIA AREA...AND IN MURRAY COUNTY
12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DAVIS OVER THE ARBUCKLE MOUNTAINS. THE STORMS WERE
MOVING EAST AT 35 TO 40 MPH.

THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME SEVERE...ALTHOUGH NO
WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. HOWEVER THE STORMS MAY
PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...AND GUSTY WINDS. ALSO
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED.

BE ALERT TO THE DANGERS OF LIGHTNING...LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY
FROM THE MAIN CORE OF THE STORM. ONE INJURY HAS ALREADY BEEN REPORTED
DUE TO A LIGHTNING STRIKE FROM THESE STORMS.

PURPURA

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
5 44 PM CDT WED SEP 02 1992

TIME(CDT)/DATE               COUNTY            REPORT

5 38    /2ND                 MC CLAIN     j     1.75 TO 2 INCH HAIL
                                               2 E COLE

PURPURA