Alert archive / Arkansas

Weather alerts in Lincoln County, Arkansas

3,866 weather alerts since 1986, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.

Lincoln County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count since 1986. Tap one for its archive.

Alerts
3,866
Warnings
1,133
Watches
622
Advisories
936
Busiest year
2011278 alerts
Average year
94over 41 years on file

Over time

By year

Before late 2005 the archive holds only tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings, and from 1997 SPC's watches, so the jump that year is the archive widening, not the weather.

By month of the year

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

From 2008 to 2025, 83% of tornado reports in Lincoln County fell inside a tornado warning issued on average 16 minutes before, and 78% of the tornado warnings had no report inside them.

Tornado warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200840100%0
20097271%0
201050100%0
201113192%0
20124325%0
20134175%0
20152150%250%6 min
201630100%0
201820100%0
201910100%0
20218363%1100%41 min
20226350%1100%22 min
202350100%0
20258275%2100%5 min
Share of tornado reports inside a tornado warning, by year.

Severe thunderstorm warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200824867%3100%17 min
2009371462%2100%12 min
2010241058%475%21 min
2011752567%1479%21 min
2012291259%2100%24 min
201324483%250%35 min
2014271256%2100%34 min
201518478%2100%30 min
201611645%475%27 min
201710550%1100%30 min
201820860%580%12 min
201919953%1100%38 min
2020241058%4100%26 min
202120860%560%12 min
2022261254%989%9 min
2023421271%9100%28 min
202424963%475%19 min
2025481471%6100%23 min

Flash flood warnings by year

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
200810370%0
200917571%0
20108275%1100%60 min
201115287%0
201250100%0
20137357%0
20144175%0
201511464%0
20169367%1100%70 min
20175420%1100%145 min
201812467%1100%92 min
20199278%0
20205180%10%
202114657%786%160 min
20226183%0
2023550%3100%228 min
20254250%0

Years from 2008, the first full year of storm-based warnings. The year still running is on its own page.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

By product

Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.

The latest warnings

The most recent on file, newest first.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Aug 24, 8:38 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK2 hr
Aug 20, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min
Aug 20, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
Aug 18, 11:46 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK31 hr
Aug 12, 4:07 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK7 days
Aug 7, 5:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK22 min
Jul 25, 11:14 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK3 days
Jul 19, 11:50 AM CDTExtreme Heat WarningLZK57 hr
Jun 22, 7:46 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK44 min
May 31, 6:40 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
May 23, 1:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZK3 hr
May 23, 1:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK15 min

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.