Alert archive / Arkansas / Fulton County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Fulton County, Arkansas, 2015

33 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2015. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Fulton County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
33
Busiest month
April8 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
May 24, 20155 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

10 of 33 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Fulton County in 2015 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 10 of 10 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 17 minutes after it went out.

Fulton County, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings331070%10100%17 min

Each office's whole area, 2015

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Little Rock, AR: severe thunderstorm warnings38012068%24888%24 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Central Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Mar 25, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min
Mar 25, 8:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK39 min
Mar 25, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
Mar 25, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK42 min
Apr 1, 4:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
Apr 1, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK48 min
Apr 2, 11:17 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK28 min
Apr 3, 1:48 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK42 min
Apr 3, 2:22 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK19 min
Apr 3, 5:43 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK47 min
Apr 9, 6:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK33 min
Apr 9, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK10 min
May 24, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK48 min
May 24, 5:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK40 min
May 24, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
May 24, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
May 24, 6:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK34 min
May 25, 9:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK51 min
May 25, 9:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK39 min
Jun 5, 5:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK37 min
Jun 5, 5:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK42 min
Jun 5, 5:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK36 min
Jun 5, 6:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK32 min
Jul 3, 2:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK41 min
Jul 3, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK24 min
Jul 14, 1:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK58 min
Jul 15, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK44 min
Jul 20, 8:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK26 min
Jul 20, 8:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK31 min
Jul 23, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK27 min
Dec 23, 8:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK35 min
Dec 23, 8:37 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK38 min
Dec 23, 9:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK14 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.