Alert archive / Arizona / Maricopa County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Maricopa County, Arizona, 2021

89 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2021. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Maricopa County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2021. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
89
Busiest month
August45 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
August 14, 202112 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

46 of 89 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Maricopa County in 2021 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 89 of 106 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 21 minutes after it went out.

Maricopa County, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings894648%10684%21 min

Each office's whole area, 2021

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Phoenix, AZ: severe thunderstorm warnings1285458%15183%21 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jan 25, 1:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR32 min
Jan 25, 1:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR24 min
Jan 25, 1:50 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR25 min
Jun 15, 8:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR14 min
Jul 8, 6:04 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR26 min
Jul 9, 8:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR47 min
Jul 9, 9:39 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR36 min
Jul 9, 10:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR39 min
Jul 9, 10:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Jul 9, 10:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR31 min
Jul 9, 11:22 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR38 min
Jul 10, 6:24 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR36 min
Jul 10, 6:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR33 min
Jul 10, 7:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Jul 10, 7:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR33 min
Jul 10, 7:45 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR30 min
Jul 10, 8:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR44 min
Jul 10, 9:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Jul 12, 9:40 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR35 min
Jul 12, 10:05 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR25 min
Jul 15, 4:26 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Jul 15, 4:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Jul 15, 5:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR48 min
Jul 21, 3:53 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR37 min
Jul 21, 4:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR29 min
Jul 21, 10:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR16 min
Jul 21, 10:51 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR24 min
Jul 22, 3:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR33 min
Jul 22, 8:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR26 min
Jul 29, 1:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR48 min
Jul 30, 8:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR61 min
Aug 10, 4:56 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Aug 10, 7:26 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Aug 11, 5:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR42 min
Aug 11, 5:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Aug 11, 6:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR48 min
Aug 11, 6:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR41 min
Aug 13, 4:34 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR41 min
Aug 13, 5:14 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR46 min
Aug 13, 9:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR42 min
Aug 13, 9:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR41 min
Aug 13, 9:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR52 min
Aug 13, 9:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR51 min
Aug 13, 9:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR47 min
Aug 13, 10:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR44 min
Aug 13, 10:24 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR36 min
Aug 13, 10:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR46 min
Aug 13, 11:01 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR44 min
Aug 13, 11:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR47 min
Aug 14, 1:03 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR57 min
Aug 14, 5:51 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR24 min
Aug 14, 6:22 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR38 min
Aug 15, 9:14 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR46 min
Aug 15, 9:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR47 min
Aug 15, 10:31 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR44 min
Aug 15, 11:14 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR46 min
Aug 15, 11:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR38 min
Aug 15, 11:44 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR32 min
Aug 16, 12:49 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR56 min
Aug 16, 9:22 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR38 min
Aug 16, 9:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Aug 16, 9:49 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR41 min
Aug 16, 10:14 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR46 min
Aug 16, 10:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatPSR51 min
Aug 16, 11:31 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR44 min
Aug 16, 11:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR49 min
Aug 16, 11:52 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR38 min
Aug 18, 11:46 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR29 min
Aug 18, 12:16 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR29 min
Aug 18, 12:52 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR53 min
Aug 18, 1:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Aug 18, 1:11 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR35 min
Aug 18, 2:29 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR46 min
Aug 18, 4:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR32 min
Aug 18, 5:25 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR50 min
Aug 18, 5:43 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR32 min
Sep 18, 3:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Sep 18, 3:23 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR35 min
Oct 5, 1:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR30 min
Oct 5, 1:35 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR40 min
Oct 5, 1:58 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR17 min
Oct 5, 2:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR33 min
Oct 5, 4:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR39 min
Oct 5, 4:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR49 min
Oct 5, 5:05 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR40 min
Oct 5, 5:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatPSR41 min
Oct 5, 5:41 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR34 min
Oct 5, 6:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR45 min
Oct 5, 7:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPSR37 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20202022

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.