Flash Flood Warnings in Maricopa County, Arizona, 2018

By month

54 of 80 flash flood warnings covering Maricopa County in 2018 had a flash flood report inside them; 83 of 97 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 75 minutes after it went out.

Maricopa County, 2018

Each office's whole area, 2018

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

1. October 2, 20188flash flood warnings
2. October 13, 20187flash flood warnings
3. July 12, 20186flash flood warnings
4. August 10, 20186flash flood warnings
5. October 7, 20185flash flood warnings
6. July 9, 20184flash flood warnings
7. July 10, 20184flash flood warnings
8. July 31, 20184flash flood warnings
9. August 24, 20184flash flood warnings
10. October 3, 20184flash flood warnings

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20172019

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.