Alert archive / Arizona / Maricopa County / Flash Flood Warnings
Flash Flood Warnings in Maricopa County, Arizona, 2015
12 flash flood warnings in 2015. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.
Maricopa County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Flash Flood Warnings
- 12
- Busiest month
- September4 flash flood warnings
- Busiest day
- September 1, 20153 flash flood warnings
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
1 of 12 flash flood warnings covering Maricopa County in 2015 had a flash flood report inside them; 1 of 5 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 53 minutes after it went out.
Maricopa County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flash flood warnings | 12 | 1 | 92% | 5 | 20% | 53 min |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Phoenix, AZ: flash flood warnings | 25 | 4 | 84% | 14 | 36% | 79 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 8:23 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 112 min |
| Jul 5, 4:49 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 116 min |
| Jul 18, 5:56 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 6 hr |
| Aug 27, 2:46 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 119 min |
| Aug 31, 7:44 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 3 hr |
| Aug 31, 8:08 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 3 hr |
| Aug 31, 8:53 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 3 hr |
| Sep 22, 7:23 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 112 min |
| Oct 6, 1:28 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 3 hr |
| Oct 6, 2:31 PM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 119 min |
| Oct 20, 10:09 AM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 96 min |
| Oct 20, 11:23 AM MST | Flash Flood Warning | PSR | 2 hr |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.