Alert archive / Arizona / Maricopa County / Flash Flood Warnings

Flash Flood Warnings in Maricopa County, Arizona, 2013

21 flash flood warnings in 2013. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of flash flood warnings reaches back to 1986.

Maricopa County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2013. Tap one for its archive.

Flash Flood Warnings
21
Busiest month
August9 flash flood warnings
Busiest day
September 9, 20135 flash flood warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

10 of 21 flash flood warnings covering Maricopa County in 2013 had a flash flood report inside them; 13 of 13 flash flood reports fell inside a warning, on average 55 minutes after it went out.

Maricopa County, 2013

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Flash flood warnings211052%13100%55 min

Each office's whole area, 2013

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Phoenix, AZ: flash flood warnings441957%3884%55 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 12, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Jul 14, 7:43 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR2 hr
Jul 21, 12:52 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Jul 21, 1:39 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Jul 24, 3:23 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Jul 25, 4:26 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR2 hr
Aug 24, 4:47 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Aug 24, 5:53 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Aug 24, 8:44 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR91 min
Aug 26, 6:36 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR114 min
Aug 27, 6:42 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR2 hr
Aug 28, 8:19 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR116 min
Aug 28, 8:53 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR112 min
Aug 28, 10:48 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Aug 30, 6:08 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR112 min
Sep 9, 11:09 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR81 min
Sep 9, 11:33 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR87 min
Sep 9, 12:23 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR3 hr
Sep 9, 12:35 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR85 min
Sep 9, 3:45 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR2 hr
Sep 10, 11:25 AM MSTFlash Flood WarningPSR2 hr

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20122014

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.