Tornadoes · United States · Wisconsin · 2021

EF1 tornado, Saint Croix County, Wisconsin, July 28, 2021

This EF1 tornado ran 5.7 miles across Saint Croix County on July 28, 2021, touching down at 9:48 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $175,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
July 28, 2021
Touchdown
9:48 PM CDT (02:48 UTC)
Lifted
9:56 PM CDT (02:56 UTC)
On the ground
8 minutes
Path length
5.7 miles (9.1 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$175,000
County
Saint Croix County
Touchdown point
45.082, -92.482
Lift-off point
45.001, -92.464
Record number
2107282048-01

The warnings

12 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:36 UTC, 12 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:00 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 00:17 UTC and running to 04:11 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC22:32 UTCHeat AdvisoryMPX
16:59 UTC17:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
00:17 UTC04:11 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMPX
02:25 UTC03:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
02:36 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WarningMPX
02:37 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
02:55 UTC03:30 UTCTornado WarningMPX
03:09 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
03:21 UTC03:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:04 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

2.8 hours before the tornado, 91 km from the path. July 29, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4815 joules per kilogram, CIN -38, lifted condensation level 1185 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 374 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 45 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4815 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Surface CAPE
6108 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1185 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
374 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
461 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
8.9
Supercell composite
48.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

9.2 hours after it, 91 km from the path. July 29, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 189 joules per kilogram, CIN -146, lifted condensation level 921 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 39 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 37 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
189 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-146 J/kg
Surface CAPE
11 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 89 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
02:48 UTCTORNADO4 Se New RichmondSt. Croix, WITORNADO RATED EF1. PATH LENGTH 5.7 MILES. MAXIMUM WIDTH 100 YARDS. MAXIMUM WINDS ESTIMATED AT 95 MPH. THE TORNADO MOVED SOUTH-SOUTHEAST AND DAMAGED ABOUT ONE DOZEN HOMES INCLUDING ONE WHICH HAD ITS GARAGE BLOWN INTO AN A
02:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ssw Deer ParkSt. Croix, WISURVEY DETERMINED A DOWNBURST HIT THIS AREA. HUNDREDS OF TREES WERE DOWNED OR BROKEN ALONG A BROAD SWATH FROM 4 SSW DEER PARK TO 9 N BALDWIN. VIRTUALLY ALL WERE BLOWN DOWN FROM THE NORTH, NORTHEAST, OR EAST. MANY TREES W
02:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nnw HammondSt. Croix, WIBARN AND GARAGE TAKEN DOWN, CORN FLATTENED AT COUNTY ROAD E AND 160TH ST. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
02:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W Deer ParkSt. Croix, WIREPORT FROM MPING: 3-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; POWER POLES BROKEN.
02:55 UTCHAIL 1.5New RichmondSt. Croix, WIPICTURE VIA TWITTER, TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
02:56 UTCHAIL 0.753 S New RichmondSt. Croix, WIREPORT FROM MPING: DIME (0.75 IN.).
03:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sw Spring ValleyPierce, WISURVEY DETERMINED A DOWNBURST HIT THE WEST SIDE OF SPRING VALLEY. NUMEROUS TREES WERE DOWN, WITH SOME LANDING ON HOUSES, SHEDS, AND VEHICLES. A SCHOOL GYMNASIUM ROOF WAS DAMAGED FROM THE WIND. ONE RESIDENT STATED THE WIN
03:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 S RobertsSt. Croix, WIA BARN WAS BLOWN DOWN, BUT NO OTHER STRUCTURAL DAMAGE WAS REPORTED. TIME APPROXIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
03:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Wnw DurandPepin, WINUMEROUS TREES DOWN, INCLUDING SOME ON HOUSES, VEHICLES, AND POWER LINES. A FEW TREES BLOCKED HIGHWAYS 10 AND 25.
04:07 UTCTSTM WND GST 606 Sw DurandPepin, WIMESONET STATION TT569 GANOE HILL.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in WisconsinEvery tornado in Wisconsin since 1950Warnings in force in Wisconsin nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 28, 2021

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 285:30 PM MDTUnratedWeber, UT0.210
July 288:40 PM CDTEF1Lincoln, WI2.7300
July 289:18 PM CDTEF0Marathon, WI0.2100
July 2811:06 PM CDTEF0Waushara, WI0.533
July 2812:10 AM CDTEF1Columbia, WI2.3100$500,000
July 2812:41 AM CDTEF0Columbia, WI0.450
July 2812:41 AM CDTEF0Dane, WI4.850
July 2812:41 AM CDTEF1Dane, WI2.8250
July 2812:47 AM CDTEF1Dane, WI2.4125
July 2812:48 AM CDTEF0Dane, WI3.575$10,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.