Tornadoes · United States · Washington · 2019

EF1 tornado, Bay Shr, Washington, October 18, 2019

This EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Mason County on October 18, 2019, touching down at 7:02 PM PDT and reaching 90 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
October 18, 2019
Touchdown
7:02 PM PDT (02:02 UTC)
Lifted
7:07 PM PDT (02:07 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
0.7 miles (1.1 km)
Path width
90 yards (82 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$150,000
County
Mason County
Touchdown point
47.270, -122.942
Lift-off point
47.273, -122.929
Record number
1910182002-01

The damage survey

6 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SEW, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 87 mph.

  • pair of large trees down on house
  • large tree branches snapped

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Between approximately 6:02 - 6:07 PM on the evening of October 18, a tornado touched down near Shelton in Mason County, Washington before moving over the water of Pickering Passage and dissipating as a waterspout. The first video evidence and reports from area fire officials prompted the NWS to send a damage survey team to the area during the afternoon of October 19, 2019.

Between approximately 6:02 - 6:07 PM on the evening of October 18, a tornado touched down near Shelton in Mason County, Washington and traveled approximately 0.68 miles before moving over the water of Pickering Passage and dissipating as a waterspout. The first video evidence and reports from area fire officials prompted the NWS to send a damage survey team to the area during the afternoon of October 19, 2019. Preliminary evaluation of the damage by the team concluded that the tornado reached an EF-1 rating. The damage path was up to 90 yards in width and the tornado was estimated to be on the ground for approximately 5 minutes.||Fortunately, no injuries were reported with this tornado. Most of the damage was in the form of uprooted or snapped soft wood fir and cedar trees. Falling trees did impact at least two houses along the damage path, including one house that had two trees fall on the roof.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 00:41 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Quillayute State, WA (KUIL), 00:00Z

2.0 hours before the tornado, 139 km from the path. October 19, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Quillayute State, WA at 00:00Z on 2019-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 15 joules per kilogram, CIN -17, lifted condensation level 723 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Quillayute State, WA at 00:00Z on 2019-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 85 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
15 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Surface CAPE
176 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
85 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Quillayute State, WA (KUIL), 12:00Z

10.0 hours after it, 139 km from the path. October 19, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Quillayute State, WA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -53788, lifted condensation level 525 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Quillayute State, WA at 12:00Z on 2019-10-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 163 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 26 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53788 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
525 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
163 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Shelton/Sanderson (SHN), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:03 UTC5349210° 11 kt1010.2-RA BR
00:05 UTC220° 9 kt1010.2RA BR
00:06 UTC5248230° 8 kt1010.2RA BR
00:10 UTC230° 9 kt1010.2+RA BR
00:15 UTC230° 7 kt1010.2-RA BR
00:18 UTC5248210° 7 kt1010.2-RA BR
00:20 UTC200° 8 kt1010.2-RA
00:25 UTC190° 5 kt1010.2
00:30 UTC200° 5 kt1010.2
00:35 UTC190° 5 kt1010.2
00:40 UTC170° 5 kt1009.8
00:45 UTC 11 kt1010.5-RA BR
00:50 UTC280° 9 kt1010.5RA
00:53 UTC4944270° 6 kt1010.5RA
00:55 UTC250° 5 kt1010.2RA
01:00 UTC4945240° 7 kt1010.2RA BR
01:05 UTC240° 5 kt1010.2RA BR
01:10 UTC240° 5 kt1010.2RA BR
01:15 UTC250° 5 kt1010.2RA BR
01:20 UTC240° 5 kt1010.2+RA BR
01:25 UTC250° 2 kt1010.2RA BR
01:28 UTC4947240° 5 kt1010.2-RA BR
01:30 UTC230° 5 kt1010.2-RA BR
01:40 UTC250° 4 kt1009.8RA BR
01:43 UTC4947220° 4 kt1009.8+RA BR
01:45 UTC220° 4 kt1009.8+RA BR
01:50 UTC220° 4 kt1009.8-RA BR
01:51 UTC4948230° 4 kt1009.8-RA BR
01:55 UTC240° 2 kt1009.8
02:00 UTC0° 0 kt1009.8-RA
02:05 UTC0° 0 kt1009.8-RA
02:10 UTC0° 0 kt1009.8
02:15 UTC0° 0 kt1009.8
02:20 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
02:25 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
02:30 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
02:35 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
02:40 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
02:45 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5-RA
02:50 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5-RA
02:53 UTC4947310° 3 kt1009.5
02:55 UTC0° 0 kt1009.5
03:00 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:05 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:10 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:15 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:20 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:22 UTC494790° 3 kt1009.1
03:25 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:30 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:35 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:40 UTC0° 0 kt1009.1
03:45 UTC120° 2 kt1009.1
03:50 UTC120° 2 kt1008.8
03:53 UTC4947130° 3 kt1008.8
03:55 UTC130° 2 kt1008.8
04:00 UTC130° 2 kt1008.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Langley Hill radar (KLGX), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:03 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:07 UTCTORNADO9 Ene SheltonMason, WAAN NWS STORM SURVEY FOUND AN EF-1 TORANDO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR SHELTON BETWEEN 6:02 AND 6:07 PM ON 10/18. ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS WERE 90-100 MPH. PATH LENGTH WAS 0.68 MILES. MAX WIDTH WAS 90 YARDS. NO INJURIES REPORTED. MOST

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in WashingtonEvery tornado in Washington since 1950Warnings in force in Washington nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 18, 2019

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 189:29 PM EDTEF0Pinellas, FL0.330$100,000
October 1810:59 PM EDTEF2Polk, FL11.4525$10 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.