Tornadoes · United States · Virginia · 2001

F1 tornado, Ashby to Millwood, Virginia, May 27, 2001

From Ashby to Millwood, this F1 tornado ran 5.5 miles across Warren and Clarke counties on May 27, 2001, touching down at 1:25 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $70,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F1
Date
May 27, 2001
Touchdown
1:25 PM EDT (17:25 UTC)
Path length
5.5 miles (8.8 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$70,000
Counties
Warren and Clarke counties
Touchdown point
39.000, -78.150
Lift-off point
39.020, -78.030
Record number
807

What the Weather Service recorded

Two rounds of thunderstorms moved across Northern Virginia on the 27th. The first round crossed the Northern Shenandoah Valley between 1 and 3 PM EDT and produced winds in excess of 55 MPH, dangerous lightning, hail, and a tornado. In Shenandoah County, a home in Strasburg was struck by lightning. Marble sized hail was reported in Tom's Brook. Trees and power lines were downed by high wind in Orkney Springs. In Warren County, an F1 tornado touched down around 1 mile southwest of Ashby, just south of Route 639. The tornado moved east-northeast and crossed Route 639 just east of Ashby. Shortly after, it crossed Route 658 just south of White Oak Level and moved into Clarke County at Milldale Road (Route 624). Before exiting the county, the tornado struck three farms just east of Ashby. It tore the tin roof off a barn and threw it 100 yards. A farmhouse suffered a projectile hole and minor damage to trim and a window. The tornado also damaged a silo, several sheds, and small outbuildings. In addition, numerous trees were uprooted and snapped along the tornado's 4 mile long and 100 yard wide path. The tornado remained on the ground for another mile after it crossed into Clarke County at Milldale Road (Route 624), about 3 miles southeast of Stone Bridge. Several trees were downed on the roadway at this location. The tornado traveled to the northeast through woodlands, then dissipated about 5 miles east of Stone Bridge. In addition, a funnel cloud was spotted by a police officer over White Post, north of the tornadic storm. The officer followed the storm that produced the funnel cloud from White Post to Berryville and saw the funnel drop down several times, but never touch the ground. The only damage reported from this storm was from large amounts of golfball sized hail that accumulated up to 6 inches in depth between Double Tollgate and White Post. The large hail damaged an asphalt roof, a flat membrane roof, and light fixtures. It was also responsible for chipping paint off a home and stripping leaves off vegetation. In Loudoun County, a storm downed several large trees near the intersection of Algonkian Parkway and Countryside Boulevard west of Sterling in the Cascades subdivision.The second round of storms moved through the western suburbs of Washington D.C. between 6 and 7 PM EDT and produced winds as high as 80 MPH, large hail, and heavy downpours. In Loudoun County, a strong downburst of wind estimated between 60 and 80 MPH crashed down onto the Countryside subdivision west of Sterling. The strongest winds hit the Foxfield section near where it backs up to the Broad Run Farms subdivision. Several townhouses had shingles peeled off their roofs and roof vents were bent upward or torn off. About a dozen trees were uprooted and others were snapped. Just north of this area on McPhereson Circle, several other homes had damage to siding and gutters. Another area of damage was near the intersection of Algonkian Parkway and Countryside Boulevard. This same area was hit by damaging wind during the first round of storms. Several more large trees were snapped and a significant carpet of leaf debris was left on the ground and blown into fencing and against housing. Another small area of wind damage was reported in Ashburn Farm where a tree was downed, a tent was damaged, and a window was blown in. In addition to high winds, the eastern portion of Loudoun County was pelted by large quantities of hail. In Countryside, hail as large as golfballs punctures the rear window of a soft topped vehicle and shredded leaves off vegetation. The hail covered the ground up to 1 inch deep and nickel sized hail could still be found on the ground a day and a half after the storm. Many homes in the Countryside, Cascades, and the Sugarland Run subdivisions experienced hail damage to roofs and siding. Damage to homes in the path of the largest hailstones was estimated at $5000. Quarter sized hail was reported in Ashburn. Marble to quarter sized hail fell in Sterling. Pea sized hail was reported in Leesburg. In Fairfax County, trees were snapped by high winds in Great Falls.

A tornado damaged farms and trees before moving into Clarke County.

A tornado that came from Warren County downed trees across Route 624 (Millville Rd).

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:05 UTC17:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX
17:31 UTC18:00 UTCTornado WarningLWX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 17:13 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z

5.4 hours before the tornado, 60 km from the path. May 27, 2001.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2001-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 49 joules per kilogram, CIN -99, lifted condensation level 728 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2001-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 58 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
49 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-99 J/kg
Surface CAPE
323 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
728 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 00:00Z

6.6 hours after it, 60 km from the path. May 28, 2001.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2001-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 68 joules per kilogram, CIN -97, lifted condensation level 1442 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2001-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 60 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
68 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97 J/kg
Surface CAPE
252 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1442 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Winchester Regional (OKV), 16 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
15:40 UTC60.860.8170° 7 kt1010.5
16:00 UTC62.660.8150° 7 kt1010.2
16:20 UTC64.460.8150° 6 kt1009.8
16:40 UTC64.460.8140° 3 kt1009.5
17:00 UTC64.459170° 5 kt1009.5
17:20 UTC64.460.8290° 4 kt1009.5
17:40 UTC60.859290° 9 kt1009.8
18:00 UTC60.859320° 8 kt1010.2
18:22 UTC62.660.8340° 5 kt1009.1
18:40 UTC64.459310° 3 kt1009.1
19:00 UTC66.259310° 4 kt1009.5
19:20 UTC6859270° 6 kt1009.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 52 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 17:23 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2001 tornado in VirginiaEvery tornado in Virginia since 1950Warnings in force in Virginia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 27, 2001

11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 272:16 PM EDTF0Camden, GA5.010$2,000
May 273:10 PM EDTF1Montgomery, MD3.570$500,000
May 273:25 PM EDTF0Columbia, PA0.135
May 272:35 PM MDTF0Wallace, KS0.250
May 274:22 PM CDTF0Logan, KS0.250
May 274:28 PM CDTF0Wichita, KS0.250
May 274:28 PM CDTF0Wichita, KS4.075
May 274:35 PM CDTF0Logan, KS0.250
May 276:31 PM CDTF0Comanche, KS0.550
May 277:45 PM EDTF2Monmouth, NJ1.567$1.0 million
May 2711:03 PM CDTF1Carter, OK9.0320$120,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.