Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2017

Unrated tornado, Millers Creek Res Dam, Texas, March 28, 2017

This Unrated tornado ran 3.0 miles across Baylor County on March 28, 2017, touching down at 7:13 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
March 28, 2017
Touchdown
7:13 PM CDT (00:13 UTC)
Lifted
7:18 PM CDT (00:18 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
3.0 miles (4.8 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Baylor County
Touchdown point
33.417, -99.387
Lift-off point
33.455, -99.361
Record number
1703281813-01

What the Weather Service recorded

An area of storms formed across Oklahoma and western north Texas in the vicinity of several fronts/boundaries overnight on the 28th into early 29th. Besides severe weather and a tornado, slow moving storms and extensive shower coverage also led to flash flooding.

Video captured tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

13 minutes of warning. NWS OUN issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:00 UTC, 13 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:40 UTC and running to 03:24 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:40 UTC03:24 UTCTornado WatchOUN
23:54 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
00:00 UTC00:30 UTCTornado WarningOUN
00:40 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
00:58 UTC03:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryOUN
01:06 UTC01:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
02:10 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
03:24 UTC06:39 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchOUN
04:12 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:07 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z

0.2 hours before the tornado, 205 km from the path. March 29, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 822 joules per kilogram, CIN -53, lifted condensation level 1580 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2017-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 160 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
822 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2515 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1580 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
160 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
289 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
14.5
0-3 km lapse rate
8.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 12:00Z

11.8 hours after it, 205 km from the path. March 29, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-03-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -86365, lifted condensation level 969 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2017-03-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 150 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 74 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86365 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
969 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
251 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Graham_muni_arpt (RPH), 84 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:15 UTC75.666.2120° 11 kt161003.4
22:35 UTC74.865.8110° 11 kt171003
22:55 UTC74.865.7120° 9 kt181002.4
23:15 UTC75.265.8110° 11 kt171002
23:35 UTC75.465.7110° 13 kt171001.7
23:55 UTC7665.3120° 13 kt191002
00:15 UTC76.564.4130° 12 kt191002.4
00:35 UTC76.364120° 13 kt211002
00:55 UTC7664120° 13 kt191002
01:15 UTC75.464130° 11 kt181001.4
01:35 UTC75.464130° 12 kt251001.4
01:55 UTC74.863.5120° 9 kt191001.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 100 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:10 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:35 UTCHAIL 1HaskellHaskell, TX
23:50 UTCHAIL 1.75HaskellHaskell, TX
00:07 UTCHAIL 14 S WeinertHaskell, TX
00:13 UTCTORNADO14 Sw SeymourBaylor, TXTORNADO DOCUMENTED BY MULTIPLE STORM CHASERS JUST WEST-NORTHWEST OF MILLERS CREEK RESERVOIR.
00:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 743 Nw SeymourBaylor, TX
00:53 UTCHAIL 1SeymourBaylor, TX
00:54 UTCHAIL 2.69S SeymourBaylor, TX
01:11 UTCHAIL 2.52 Ssw SeymourBaylor, TX
01:26 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 Wsw WeinertHaskell, TX

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2017 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 28, 2017

15 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 284:26 PM CDTUnratedCrosby, TX2.5100
March 284:34 PM CDTUnratedCrosby, TX2.1400
March 284:36 PM CDTEF0Fisher, TX0.125
March 284:52 PM CDTEF0Taylor, TX0.025
March 285:14 PM CDTUnratedDickens, TX1.0100
March 285:17 PM CDTUnratedFloyd, TX0.630
March 285:33 PM CDTEF0Jones, TX4.550
March 285:57 PM CDTEF0Collingsworth, TX3.150
March 286:03 PM CDTEF0Jones, TX4.7100
March 286:34 PM CDTEF1Dickens, TX0.750$75,000
March 286:43 PM CDTUnratedDickens, TX1.930
March 286:49 PM CDTUnratedKing, TX1.450
March 287:21 PM CDTEF0Upton, TX5.875
March 287:28 PM CDTEF2Glasscock, TX1.875$50,000
March 288:50 PM CDTEF0Mitchell, TX4.550

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.