Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2016

EF1 tornado, Notrees, Texas, September 17, 2016

This EF1 tornado ran 5.9 miles across Ector County on September 17, 2016, touching down at 7:13 PM CDT and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $30,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
September 17, 2016
Touchdown
7:13 PM CDT (00:13 UTC)
Lifted
7:35 PM CDT (00:35 UTC)
On the ground
22 minutes
Path length
5.9 miles (9.4 km)
Path width
400 yards (366 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$30,000
County
Ector County
Touchdown point
32.095, -102.806
Lift-off point
32.026, -102.747
Record number
1609171813-01

The damage survey

20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MAF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 105 mph.

  • single power pole snapped halfway
  • top of cylinder popped off
  • numerous power poles broken at base along with debris scattered across field
  • small tin building appears to have been moved

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An upper level disturbance moved over the area, and a lingering frontal boundary was across the Permian Basin. Upper level lift associated with an area of intense winds aloft moved over the region. There was good wind shear, moisture, and instability across West Texas and southeast New Mexico. Two other boundaries were moving toward the area and possibly collided with the initial boundary. These conditions combined to create good lift in the atmosphere which resulted in widespread thunderstorms with large hail across southeast New Mexico and the Permian Basin. The wind shear created spin in the atmosphere which allowed for tornadoes to develop in the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico. Deep moisture across the area resulted in flash flooding that developed in the Permian Basin.

A supercell thunderstorm developed over Andrews County during the evening hours of September 17th. This storm encountered a stationary boundary and began moving southeast. The storm began to form a hook echo at 6:30 pm CDT as it moved toward Highway 115 in southwest Andrews County. Eyewitness reports from storm chasers and spotters in the area indicate that the initial tornado began at 7:13 pm CDT near the intersection of Andrews, Winkler and Ector Counties. Videos taken of the tornado show it touching down and lifting several times before eventually staying on the ground for several minutes over far northwest portions of Ector County. The tornado moved south southeastward across open fields of rural Ector County just west of FM 181. The damage assessment team looked at several different indicators to determine tornado intensity. The tornado snapped several electrical power poles and overturned a tank battery along its path. These damage indicators suggest EF1 intensity with wind speeds estimated at 90 to 105 mph. Near the end of the life cycle of the EF1 tornado, a weak anticyclonic circulation developed on the forward flank of the supercell around 7:25 pm CDT. This circulation moved southwest to the west of FM 181 and dissipated around 7:35 pm CDT. Storm chasers and spotters identified this funnel looking north from Goldsmith around 7:30 pm CDT. There was no evidence of damage or reports of the funnel cloud touching down. The tornado path width was estimated and the cost of damage is a very rough estimate.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

32 minutes of warning. NWS MAF issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:41 UTC, 32 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:02 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:02 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMAF
22:42 UTC23:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:00 UTC00:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:11 UTC00:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:11 UTC02:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryMAF
23:41 UTC00:15 UTCTornado WarningMAF
00:12 UTC00:29 UTCTornado WarningMAF
01:15 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
02:12 UTC02:42 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 00:00Z

0.2 hours before the tornado, 56 km from the path. September 18, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2085 joules per kilogram, CIN -69, lifted condensation level 1172 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 136 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2085 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1582 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1172 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.1
Supercell composite
7.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 12:00Z

11.8 hours after it, 56 km from the path. September 18, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1191 joules per kilogram, CIN -158, lifted condensation level 1177 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 27 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1191 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-158 J/kg
Surface CAPE
304 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1177 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.9
0-3 km lapse rate
4.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 57 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:59 UTCHAIL 113 Sw MidlandMidland, TXQUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
22:59 UTCHAIL 15 W MidlandMidland, TXQUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
23:00 UTCHAIL 113 Sw MidlandMidland, TX70-80 MPH WINDS FROM DOWNBURST.
00:15 UTCTORNADO8 Nw GoldsmithEctor, TX
00:50 UTCHAIL 2.752 E GoldsmithEctor, TXBASEBALL SIZE HAIL KNOCKED OUT WINDOWS AND DAMAGED THE NORTH SIDE OF HOUSE.
01:25 UTCHAIL 1West OdessaEctor, TX
01:30 UTCHAIL 1.52 Nw OdessaEctor, TXREPORTED NEAR ODESSA COLLEGE
01:34 UTCHAIL 12 Ne OdessaEctor, TXOCCURRED ON 11TH STREET
01:39 UTCHAIL 14 Se OdessaEctor, TXQUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED ON INTERSTATE 20 AT MILE MARKER 121.
02:15 UTCFLASH FLOODOdessaEctor, TXTHREE HIGH WATER RESCUES PERFORMED IN ODESSA BETWEEN 900 SND 930 PM CDT.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 17, 2016

6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 173:43 PM MDTEF0Cheyenne, CO0.8100$46,000
September 173:43 PM MDTEF0Cheyenne, CO1.9100
September 176:35 PM EDTEF1Warren, PA1.640$20,000
September 174:50 PM MDTEF0Eddy, NM0.9200
September 179:41 PM CDTEF0Moore, TX0.015
September 179:47 PM CDTEF0Moore, TX1.2150

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.