Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2013

EF3 tornado, Lake Pat Cleburne to Cleburne, Texas, May 15, 2013

From Lake Pat Cleburne to Cleburne, this EF3 tornado ran 7.8 miles across Johnson County on May 15, 2013, touching down at 9:12 PM CDT and reaching 1,733 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 7, and did $124 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mphthis tornado

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF3
Date
May 15, 2013
Touchdown
9:12 PM CDT (02:12 UTC)
Lifted
9:23 PM CDT (02:23 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
7.8 miles (12.5 km)
Path width
1,733 yards (1585 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
7
Property damage
$124 million
County
Johnson County
Touchdown point
32.255, -97.495
Lift-off point
32.339, -97.406
Record number
1305152012-01

The damage survey

38 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FWD, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 150 mph.

  • roof is no where to be found

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A tornado and severe weather outbreak occurred on the afternoon and evening hours of May 15th. Nineteen tornadoes occurred, including one EF-4 and one EF-3. Six fatalities occurred in the city of Granbury, TX. These fatalities were the first in the Fort Worth county warning area since 2006. An additional 54 people were injured by the various tornadoes during the evening of May 15th. A number of homes, 171, suffered major damaged or were destroyed. An additional 513 homes suffered minor damage or were somehow affected. ||During the afternoon of May 15th, a vigorous upper level low moved slowly southeast from the panhandle of Texas into the Red River Valley. A dry line strengthened throughout the day, triggering thunderstorms between Bowie and the DFW metroplex. As the upper storm moved slowly east and southeast, several supercell thunderstorms developed, and most of them produced tornadoes.

Trained storm spotters observed a nearly mile wide tornado to the southwest of the city of Cleburne. NWS storm survey crew determined this tornado produced EF-3 damage on the east side of Lake Pat Cleburne. The path of the tornado was erratic, moving initially north, then northeast, then north again.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

14 minutes of warning. NWS FWD issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:58 UTC, 14 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:05 UTC and running to 05:51 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:05 UTC05:51 UTCTornado WatchFWD
00:58 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
01:05 UTC01:45 UTCTornado WarningFWD
01:08 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningFWD
01:58 UTC02:45 UTCTornado WarningFWD
02:02 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
02:23 UTC02:45 UTCTornado WarningFWD
02:45 UTC03:30 UTCTornado WarningFWD
03:01 UTC06:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryFWD
03:01 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD
03:22 UTC05:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningFWD
03:54 UTC04:28 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWD

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 00:00Z

2.2 hours before the tornado, 61 km from the path. May 16, 2013.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1604 joules per kilogram, CIN -30, lifted condensation level 843 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2013-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 244 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 45 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1604 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2573 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
843 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
436 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
20.6
0-3 km lapse rate
6.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), 12:00Z

9.8 hours after it, 61 km from the path. May 16, 2013.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 25 joules per kilogram, CIN -346, lifted condensation level 1049 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2013-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 381 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
25 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-346 J/kg
Surface CAPE
129 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1049 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
594 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
6.5
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Cleburne (CPT), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:55 UTC7771.6150° 14 kt201008.5TS
01:15 UTC7771.6140° 17 kt231007.8TS
01:35 UTC75.271.6100° 15 kt1008.8TSRA
01:55 UTC73.473.460° 27 kt311008.5+TSRA
02:15 UTC686860° 23 kt381010.2+TSRA
02:35 UTC
03:35 UTC
03:55 UTC
04:15 UTC
04:35 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:10 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:52 UTCHAIL 1.75GranburyHood, TXGOLFBALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED ON PIRATE DRIVE
00:56 UTCHAIL 2.75GranburyHood, TX60 MPH WIND ALSO REPORTED. PIRATE DRIVE IN GRANBURY
01:06 UTCTORNADO6 Se GranburyHood, TXTORNADO IN PECAN PLANTATION
01:06 UTCTORNADOGranburyHood, TXPRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-4
01:56 UTCHAIL 1.75CleburneJohnson, TX2100 BLOCK OF PEBBLECREEK
02:21 UTCTSTM WND GST 80CleburneJohnson, TXAT THE CLEBURNE HOSPITAL
02:30 UTCTORNADO 0CleburneJohnson, TXPRELIMINARY RATING OF EF-3 WITH MAX WINDS ESTIMATED AT 140 MPH. MAX WIDTH ESTIMATED AT 0.6 MILES. MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE JUST SOUTHEAST OF LAKE PAT CLEBURNE.
02:42 UTCTORNADO6 Ese CleburneJohnson, TXBRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH MINOR DAMAGE. PRELIMINARY RATING EF-0 WITH ESTIMATED MAX WIND SPEED OF 85 MPH.
04:20 UTCHAIL 1.75CovingtonHill, TX
04:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGKennedaleTarrant, TXROOF PEALED OFF A BUILDING WITH INTERIOR DAMAGE. PUBLIC STORAGE UNTIS NEXT DOOR LAST WALLS AND ROOFS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2013 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 15, 2013

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 155:33 PM CDTEF0Montague, TX1.170$30,000
May 156:14 PM CDTEF0Mills, TX3.450
May 156:34 PM CDTEF0Pontotoc, OK0.550$20,000
May 156:41 PM CDTEF0Palo Pinto, TX0.350
May 156:50 PM CDTEF1Montague, TX1.02001$100,000
May 156:51 PM CDTEF1Montague, TX3.6240$125,000
May 157:03 PM CDTEF1Parker, TX1.9400$60,000
May 157:18 PM CDTEF0Montague, TX0.9150$40,000
May 157:22 PM CDTEF0Parker, TX0.570
May 157:35 PM CDTEF0Wise, TX0.725
May 157:53 PM CDTEF0Parker, TX1.5200$40,000
May 157:58 PM CDTEF4Granbury tornado, TX2.5400654$143 million
May 158:05 PM CDTEF0Parker, TX0.120$20,000
May 158:09 PM CDTEF1Hood, TX2.4300$360,000
May 158:19 PM CDTEF0Johnson, TX0.230$10,000
May 158:34 PM CDTEF0Hamilton, TX0.230
May 158:35 PM CDTEF0Hamilton, TX1.040
May 159:45 PM CDTEF0Johnson, TX1.3400
May 1512:05 AM CDTEF1Ellis, TX6.24001$650,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.