Tornadoes · United States · Tennessee · 2016

EF1 tornado, Cross Rd to Cairo, Tennessee, February 2, 2016

From Cross Rd to Cairo, this EF1 tornado ran 2.6 miles across Crockett County on February 2, 2016, touching down at 4:55 PM CST and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 1, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 2, 2016
Touchdown
4:55 PM CST (22:55 UTC)
Lifted
5:03 PM CST (23:03 UTC)
On the ground
8 minutes
Path length
2.6 miles (4.2 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
$150,000
County
Crockett County
Touchdown point
35.767, -89.168
Lift-off point
35.801, -89.146
Record number
1602021655-01

The damage survey

20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MEG, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 99 mph.

  • Center-pivot irrigation unit damaged.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Low pressure moved from the Southern Plains toward the Mid-Mississippi Valley while a cold front pushed east toward the Mid-South on February 2, 2016. The airmass across the Mid-South was moist and unstable ahead of the front. A couple rounds of showers and thunderstorms occurred. The first round produced heavy rain and some flash flooding in the Memphis Metropolitan area around noon. Another round of showers and thunderstorms developed along the cold front as it moved through the region during the late afternoon. A weak tornado occurred in Crockett County as this round moved through.

The tornado snapped or uprooted several trees southwest of, and at the Crockett County Golf Club. It caused roof damage to a mobile home and a permanent structure just south of Highway 412. Two tractor trailers were overturned on Highway 412, with one driver injured. North of Highway 412, the tornado damaged several storage sheds and caused roof damage to several homes. The tornado then crossed Highway 88 and caused roof damage to several buildings at the Crockett County High School. The tornado damaged additional storage sheds and a home roof on the east side of North Cavalier Drive before dissipating. Peak estimated wind was 95 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:23 UTC and running to 00:46 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:00 UTC00:03 UTCWind AdvisoryMEG
18:23 UTC00:46 UTCTornado WatchMEG

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 12:00Z

10.9 hours before the tornado, 128 km from the path. February 2, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-02-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 226 joules per kilogram, CIN -78, lifted condensation level 520 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2016-02-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 403 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 68 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
226 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-78 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
520 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
403 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
512 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 00:00Z

1.1 hours after it, 128 km from the path. February 3, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2016-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -106250, lifted condensation level 2938 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2016-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -84 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 96 knots.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-106250 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2938 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
96 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 81 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:00 UTCFLASH FLOODMasonTipton, TNSEVERAL ROADS FLOODED AND CLOSED NEAR MASON. GAINSVILLE ROAD...HIGHWAY 59 SOUTH NEAR MASON. SAINT PAUL ROAD AND CAANON ROAD WHICH ARE BACKROADS ARE FLOODED AND CLOSED.
22:58 UTCTORNADO 12 W AlamoCrockett, TN*** 1 INJ *** A CONFIRMED TORNADO OCCURRED JUST WEST OF ALAMO TENNESSEE. 2 TRACTOR TRAILERS BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 412. MULTIPLE HOUSES DAMAGED AROUND THE HIGH SCHOOL AS WELL AS THE CROCKET COUNTY HIGH SCHOOL ITSELF...ALL
23:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 0AlamoCrockett, TN2 TRACTOR TRAILERS BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 412 NEAR ALAMO.
23:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 0AlamoCrockett, TN2 TRACTOR TRAILERS BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 412 NEAR ALAMO. 5 HOUSES DAMAGED AND A HIGH SCHOOL ALL NEAR ALAMO.
23:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 0AlamoCrockett, TN2 TRACTOR TRAILERS BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 412 NEAR ALAMO. 6 HOUSES DAMAGED AROUND THE HIGH SCHOOL...ALL NEAR ALAMO...HIGHWAY 88 AND EGG HILL ROAD. SEVERAL POWER LINES DAMAGED OR DOWN AROUND THAT AREA. ONE OF THE TRACTOR T
23:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 0AlamoCrockett, TN2 TRACTOR TRAILERS BLOWN OVER ON HIGHWAY 412 NEAR ALAMO. 6 HOUSES DAMAGED AROUND THE HIGH SCHOOL AS WELL AS THE HIGH SCHOOL ITSELF...ALL IN OR NEAR ALAMO...HIGHWAY 88 AND EGG HILL ROAD. SEVERAL POWER LINES DAMAGED OR DOW

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in TennesseeEvery tornado in Tennessee since 1950Warnings in force in Tennessee nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 2, 2016

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 22:48 PM CSTEF1Newton, MS7.1150$120,000
February 23:19 PM CSTEF2Lauderdale, MS21.2880$1.5 million
February 23:53 PM CSTEF2Kemper, MS18.5300$270,000
February 24:34 PM CSTEF2Pickens, AL26.21,2001
February 25:27 PM CSTEF1Noxubee, MS6.6150$170,000
February 25:36 PM CSTEF1Fayette, AL6.1500
February 26:39 PM CSTEF1Neshoba, MS0.750$22,000
February 28:10 PM CSTEF1Lamar, AL4.1400
February 211:02 PM CSTEF0Pickens, AL4.21,400

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.