Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2016

EF1 tornado, Shuqualak to Mc Leod, Mississippi, February 2, 2016

From Shuqualak to Mc Leod, this EF1 tornado ran 6.6 miles across Noxubee County on February 2, 2016, touching down at 5:27 PM CST and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $170,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 2, 2016
Touchdown
5:27 PM CST (23:27 UTC)
Lifted
5:36 PM CST (23:36 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
6.6 miles (10.6 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$170,000
County
Noxubee County
Touchdown point
32.980, -88.570
Lift-off point
33.059, -88.507
Record number
1602021727-01

The damage survey

34 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS BMX and NWS JAN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EFU. The highest wind the damage implies is 115 mph.

  • several trees snapped, few uprooted.
  • roughly 60 ft section of roof removed.
  • minor tree dmg & tin on mobile home.
  • metal shed roof off, wood fram carport, demolished.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A spring like weather system took shape on Feb 2 and set the stage for a round of severe storms with tornadoes. A large surface low developed across the Eastern Plains and Midwest with an attendant surface front that extended southward into the ArkLaMiss region. While the core of the best lift was over the Midwest, a combination of sufficient lift along with strong wind shear and instability coexisted across portions of East-Central Mississippi. Several supercell thunderstorms developed during the afternoon with a few producing tornadoes. One cell in particular was efficient at producing tornadoes and produced 3 before moving into Alabama where it produced a few more. This cell impacted Newton, Lauderdale, Kemper, and Noxubee Counties with tornadoes, 2 of which were strong and rated EF2.

This tornado started in town and was on the weak side as a few trees were uprooted and some limbs broken. More trees were snapped as it crossed the rail road tracks and it peaked in intensity as it crossed Highway 145. Here along Highway 145, numerous trees were snapped and uprooted. A brick gas station had a large portion of the roof lifted off. The old elementary school building was damaged as roughly a 60 foot section of roof was taken off. Many windows were blown out as well. The tornado continued northeast and crossed Highway 45, snapping more trees. More trees were downed at the end of Card Cemetery Road. Some minor tree damage was noted at Elon Road where the tornado dissipated. Peak winds were 110 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

34 minutes of warning. NWS JAN issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:53 UTC, 34 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:23 UTC and running to 00:57 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:23 UTC00:57 UTCTornado WatchJAN
21:21 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningJAN
22:17 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningJAN
22:53 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningJAN
00:57 UTC05:42 UTCTornado WatchJAN
01:47 UTC02:02 UTCTornado WarningJAN
03:37 UTC04:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAN
03:47 UTC04:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAN
04:15 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:28 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 12:00Z

11.5 hours before the tornado, 164 km from the path. February 2, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 550 joules per kilogram, CIN -159, lifted condensation level 590 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2016-02-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 329 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
550 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-159 J/kg
Surface CAPE
333 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
590 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
329 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
540 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.7
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Jackson, MS (KJAN), 00:00Z

0.5 hours after it, 164 km from the path. February 3, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 364 joules per kilogram, CIN -70, lifted condensation level 893 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 00:00Z on 2016-02-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 204 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-70 J/kg
Surface CAPE
511 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
893 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
1.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 99 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:28 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:23 UTCTORNADO2 Se MartinLauderdale, MSREPORTS OF DAMAGE TO A TRAILER AND HOUSE ACROSS THE ROAD FROM WEST LAUDERDALE HIGH SCHOOL. ALSO A FIELD HOUSE WAS DAMAGED AT WEST LAUDERDALE HIGH SCHOOL.
21:39 UTCTORNADO2 Nne PrismaticKemper, MSTREES DOWNED AND A ROOF DAMAGED ALONG BLACKWATER 493 RD
21:40 UTCTORNADOPrismaticKemper, MSSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN PRISMATIC. RELAYED VIA EMERGENCY MANAGER.
21:53 UTCTORNADO 24 N Oak GroveKemper, MSTHIS TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN NEAR GRAHAM RD WHERE IT SNAPPED A FEW TREES. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST OF SCOOBA AND DESTROYED AN OUTBUILDING NORTH OF SCOOBA. THE TORNADO ENDED JUST ACROSS THE NOXUBEE COUNTY
22:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 W Electric MillsKemper, MSTREES DOWN EAST OF DEKALB. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
22:10 UTCTORNADO5 Nw Electric MillsKemper, MSCONFIRMED TORNADO ON THE GROUND. REPORTED VIA STORM SPOTTER AND LIVESTREAM VIDEO AND PICTURES.
22:25 UTCTORNADO2 N ScoobaKemper, MSTREES DOWN ON THE EAST MISSISSIPPI COMMUNITY COLLEGE CAMPUS, SOME IMPACTING BUILDINGS.
22:31 UTCTORNADO 25 Nw PanolaPickens, AL*** 1 INJ *** A LARGE TORNADO MOVED THROUGH PICKENS COUNTY WITH DAMAGE IN MCMULLEN AND NEAR ALICEVILLE. SEVERAL HOMES WERE DAMAGED AND THE FEDERAL PRISON WAS DAMAGED. ONE MINOR INJURY ON MLK ROAD. NUMEROUS TREES AND POWE
23:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGEse PauletteNoxubee, MSLARGE PINE TREE BLOWN DOWN AND OTHER LARGE LIMBS.
23:27 UTCTORNADO 1N ShuqualakNoxubee, MSTHE TORNADO BEGAN NEAR CHURCH STREET IN SHUQUALAK WHERE IT SNAPPED A FEW LARGE BRANCHES. THE TORNADO CONTINUED NORTHEAST ACROSS HIGHWAY 145 WHERE IT CAUSED SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE TO A FEW BUILDINGS. THE TORNADO CONTINUE
23:31 UTCTORNADO1 N ShuqualakNoxubee, MSROOF OF A HOUSE AND STORE ON HIGHWAY 145 ON THE N SIDE OF SHUQUALAK. TIME BASED ON RADAR.
23:31 UTCTORNADO1 N ShuqualakNoxubee, MSROOF OFF OF A HOUSE AND STORE ON HIGHWAY 145 ON THE N SIDE OF SHUQUALAK. TIME BASED ON RADAR.
01:10 UTCFLASH FLOOD4 E PhiladelphiaNeshoba, MSFLASH FLOODING REPORTED AT HIGHWAY 16 E NEAR HWY 482. VOLUNTEER FIRE FIGHTER REPORTED WATER ALMOST OVER HIGHWAY 16.
01:10 UTCFLASH FLOODPhiladelphiaNeshoba, MSFLASH FLOODING REPORTED ON GUM STREET.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 2, 2016

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 22:48 PM CSTEF1Newton, MS7.1150$120,000
February 23:19 PM CSTEF2Lauderdale, MS21.2880$1.5 million
February 23:53 PM CSTEF2Kemper, MS18.5300$270,000
February 24:34 PM CSTEF2Pickens, AL26.21,2001
February 24:55 PM CSTEF1Crockett, TN2.61001$150,000
February 25:36 PM CSTEF1Fayette, AL6.1500
February 26:39 PM CSTEF1Neshoba, MS0.750$22,000
February 28:10 PM CSTEF1Lamar, AL4.1400
February 211:02 PM CSTEF0Pickens, AL4.21,400

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.