Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2021

EF1 tornado, Eucha to Jay, Oklahoma, October 10, 2021

From Eucha to Jay, this EF1 tornado ran 5.9 miles across Delaware County on October 10, 2021, touching down at 12:10 AM CDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
October 10, 2021
Touchdown
12:10 AM CDT (05:10 UTC)
Lifted
12:18 AM CDT (05:18 UTC)
On the ground
8 minutes
Path length
5.9 miles (9.5 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Delaware County
Touchdown point
36.302, -94.834
Lift-off point
36.369, -94.767
Record number
2110102310-01

The damage survey

4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms developed across central Oklahoma during the afternoon of the 10th, along a cold front that was moving into the area. These storms moved eastward and across eastern Oklahoma during the evening. In response to a strong upper level disturbance translating into the Southern Plains, wind fields as well as wind shear strengthened considerably during the evening across eastern Oklahoma ahead of the approaching thunderstorms. The very strong wind shear combined with moderately strong instability that existed across the area, resulted in some supercell thunderstorms, as well as the eventual evolution of a squall line. One of the supercells produced a tornado, and the squall line produced several tornadoes as it moved through eastern Oklahoma. Large hail up to two inches in diameter, and damaging wind gusts also occurred from these thunderstorms.

This tornado developed along the leading edge of a strong convective line of thunderstorms, west of County Road 586, and south of Eucha Lake. It moved northeast across Highway 59, and dissipated north of County Road 458, and east of Eucha Lake. The tornado snapped and uprooted numerous trees along its path. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 05:09 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 05:48 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 02:59 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:00 UTC09:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchTSA
02:59 UTC07:00 UTCTornado WatchTSA
03:56 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:48 UTC06:38 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
04:55 UTC05:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:09 UTC05:48 UTCTornado WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 00:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

5.2 hours before the tornado, 109 km from the path. October 11, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -66651, lifted condensation level 2067 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66651 J/kg
Surface CAPE
42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2067 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

6.8 hours after it, 109 km from the path. October 11, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -80366, lifted condensation level 977 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80366 J/kg
Surface CAPE
158 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
977 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Grove Municipal Airport (GMJ), 31 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
03:15 UTC73.460.8100° 5 kt1003.4VCTS
03:35 UTC73.460.8100° 7 kt1002.7TS
03:55 UTC71.662.6110° 7 kt1003TS
04:15 UTC69.864.4100° 7 kt1002.4VCTS
04:35 UTC6864.4110° 5 kt1003TS
04:55 UTC6864.470° 6 kt1001.7TS
05:15 UTC68680° 0 kt1002.7TS
05:35 UTC6868280° 8 kt1003TS
05:55 UTC68680° 0 kt1002
06:15 UTC6868110° 5 kt1000.7
06:35 UTC6868100° 5 kt999.3
06:55 UTC6868110° 6 kt999

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 71 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 05:09 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
05:11 UTCTORNADO7 Ssw JayDelaware, OKRADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO SSW OF JAY.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 10, 2021

18 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 105:59 PM CDTUnratedKiowa, OK0.120
October 106:10 PM CDTEF2Cook, MN4.0500
October 106:13 PM CDTEF1Kiowa, OK2.9200$30,000
October 106:20 PM CDTEF1Caddo, OK4.450$40,000
October 106:45 PM CDTEF2Caddo, OK8.1100$60,000
October 107:02 PM CDTUnratedGrady, OK1.850
October 107:16 PM CDTUnratedGrady, OK0.250
October 108:21 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK3.3250$20,000
October 108:41 PM CDTEF0Lincoln, OK1.130$5,000
October 108:41 PM CDTEF0Pottawatomie, OK1.650$10,000
October 108:54 PM CDTEF0Pottawatomie, OK1.650
October 109:26 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK2.7300$150,000
October 109:26 PM CDTEF1Pontotoc, OK7.3300$100,000
October 109:42 PM CDTUnratedCreek, OK1.0100
October 1010:05 PM CDTEF0Okmulgee, OK2.2300$10,000
October 1010:30 PM CDTUnratedTulsa, OK0.7100
October 1010:45 PM CDTEF1Wagoner, OK3.4700$3.0 million
October 1011:30 PM CDTEF1Muskogee, OK13.7900$65,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.