Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2021

EF2 tornado, Hovland, Minnesota, October 10, 2021

This EF2 tornado ran 4.0 miles across Cook County on October 10, 2021, touching down at 6:10 PM CDT and reaching 500 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
October 10, 2021
Touchdown
6:10 PM CDT (23:10 UTC)
Lifted
6:20 PM CDT (23:20 UTC)
On the ground
10 minutes
Path length
4.0 miles (6.4 km)
Path width
500 yards (457 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cook County
Touchdown point
48.044, -90.296
Lift-off point
48.099, -90.296
Record number
2110101710-01

The damage survey

4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DLH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 115 mph.

  • Damage path becomes widest north of Clearwater Lake with a clear convergent pattern of treefall. Photo courtesy USFS/Superior National Forest.
  • Swath of approximately 250m (270 yards) across of downed trees just north of Rocky Lake.
  • Video from hiker shows impassable Border Route Trail with significant, widespread treefall. Many trees snapped near the base.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An area of low pressure working across the Upper Midwest on the 10th was able to pull abnormally high moisture into the region leading to sufficient instability for the development of storms. An upper jet was also over the area contributing to higher than normal amounts of shear as well resulting in some of the storms becoming severe across the region. Isolated reports of large hail and damaging winds were received along the North Shore of Lake Superior along with a rare October tornado that developed over the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness and tracked northward into Canada.

A rare late-season strong tornado caused tree damage|across parts of the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness in |northern Cook County. The tornado appeared to begin on Alder Lake, |initially causing damage near Campsite #3 where a small swath of |trees were downed, several snapped halfway down their trunks. The |tornado then traveled north causing sporadic damage until just north |of Rocky Lake where there was a more concentrated area of downed |trees roughly 270 yards across. Sporadic tree damage continued until |reaching Clearwater Lake and crossing the lake just west of Campsite |#5, causing significant damage north of Clearwater Lake and north to |the International Border (Mountain Lake). Significant tree damage was|observed along the Border Route Trail, of which passage was made |impossible as the tornado reached its maximum width of around 500 |yards as it moved across the trail. Numerous trees were snapped near |their bases within this area of damage. The coverage of damage was |widespread with satellite imagery depicting over 80% of trees |uprooted, bent, or snapped across its path near the Border Route |Trail. The tornado then crossed the International Border and continued into Northwestern Ontario, Canada. No private property was damaged along the course of the tornado. ||The National Weather Service appreciates the public reports, photos,|and videos of this tornado damage, aerial photographs from the US |Forest Service, and satellite imagery shared by the Northern |Tornadoes Project (Western University in Canada) which all aided in |an accurate assessment of the damage.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

34 minutes of warning. NWS DLH issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:36 UTC, 34 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:42 UTC and running to 01:25 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:42 UTC01:25 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDLH
22:28 UTC23:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLH
22:36 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningDLH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:50 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

International Fa, MN (KINL), 12:00Z

11.2 hours before the tornado, 229 km from the path. October 10, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-10-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -84140, lifted condensation level 1493 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-10-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 22 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84140 J/kg
Surface CAPE
68 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1493 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

International Fa, MN (KINL), 00:00Z

0.8 hours after it, 229 km from the path. October 11, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -51, lifted condensation level 948 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -25 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 15 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-51 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 199 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:11 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:02 UTCHAIL 0.52 Wsw LutsenCook, MNREPORT VIA MPING.
22:29 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Nw Grand MaraisCook, MNTREES DOWN ON ROAD.
22:37 UTCTSTM WND DMG9 Nnw Grand MaraisCook, MNTREES DOWN ALONG BALL CLUB ROAD. LOCATION ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
22:41 UTCHAIL 1.7514 Nw Grand MaraisCook, MNSEARCH AND RESCUE CREW HAD TO TAKE COVER WHILE NEAR EAGLE MOUNTAIN.
23:05 UTCHAIL 0.2521 N Grand MaraisCook, MN
23:10 UTCTORNADO20 N Grand MaraisCook, MNAN EF-2 TORNADO WITH MAXIMUM WINDS ESTIMATED AT 120 MPH TRAVELED FROM ALDER LAKE NORTH TO CLEARWATER LAKE CROSSING MOUNTAIN LAKE INTO CANADA. THE TORNADO BEGAN AT APPROXIMATELY 610 PM CDT AND CROSSED THE INTERNATIONAL BO

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of October 10, 2021

18 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
October 105:59 PM CDTUnratedKiowa, OK0.120
October 106:13 PM CDTEF1Kiowa, OK2.9200$30,000
October 106:20 PM CDTEF1Caddo, OK4.450$40,000
October 106:45 PM CDTEF2Caddo, OK8.1100$60,000
October 107:02 PM CDTUnratedGrady, OK1.850
October 107:16 PM CDTUnratedGrady, OK0.250
October 108:21 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK3.3250$20,000
October 108:41 PM CDTEF0Lincoln, OK1.130$5,000
October 108:41 PM CDTEF0Pottawatomie, OK1.650$10,000
October 108:54 PM CDTEF0Pottawatomie, OK1.650
October 109:26 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK2.7300$150,000
October 109:26 PM CDTEF1Pontotoc, OK7.3300$100,000
October 109:42 PM CDTUnratedCreek, OK1.0100
October 1010:05 PM CDTEF0Okmulgee, OK2.2300$10,000
October 1010:30 PM CDTUnratedTulsa, OK0.7100
October 1010:45 PM CDTEF1Wagoner, OK3.4700$3.0 million
October 1011:30 PM CDTEF1Muskogee, OK13.7900$65,000
October 1012:10 AM CDTEF1Delaware, OK5.9200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.