Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2019

EF1 tornado, Mill Creek to Ursula, Oklahoma, May 18, 2019

From Mill Creek to Ursula, this EF1 tornado ran 5.3 miles across Sebastian and LeFlore counties on May 18, 2019, touching down at 1:55 PM CDT and reaching 450 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $260,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 18, 2019
Touchdown
1:55 PM CDT (18:55 UTC)
Lifted
2:04 PM CDT (19:04 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
5.3 miles (8.5 km)
Path width
450 yards (411 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$260,000
Counties
Sebastian and LeFlore counties
Touchdown point
35.340, -94.438
Lift-off point
35.353, -94.345
Record number
1905181255-03

The damage survey

85 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • leaning northeast. confluence
  • several uprooted and snapped concentrated

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A squall line moved through northwestern Arkansas during the early afternoon hours of May 18th. Very strong low level wind shear and moderately strong instability ahead of the squall line resulted in the development of several tornadoes, as well as damaging wind, as the line of thunderstorms moved across the area.

This is the second segment of a two-segment tornado. The tornado moved into Fort Smith near the intersection of the state line and Phoenix Avenue. It moved east-northeast across town, damaging many homes and businesses, snapping and uprooting many trees, and snapping many power poles. It dissipated shortly after snapping large tree limbs on the south side of Mercy Hospital and crossing Rogers Avenue. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.

This tornado developed over northwest Greenwood, and moved east-northeast across the northern portion of town. It moved onto Fort Chaffee, where it dissipated. Homes were damaged, numerous trees were snapped or uprooted, and power poles were snapped by this tornado. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in the tornado was 100 to 110 mph.

This is the first segment of a two-segment tornado. This tornado developed over a subdivision north of Ozark Lake where homes were damaged and trees were snapped. The tornado moved northeast, crossing the Arkansas River and into Crawford County. Based on the damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph.

This is the first segment of a two-segment tornado. This tornado developed south of Highway 22, west of Marietta Church Road, and moved northeast across Highway 22 where trees were uprooted. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 90 to 100 mph. The tornado continued into Franklin County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

17 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:38 UTC, 17 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:08 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 14:10 UTC and running to 19:17 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
14:10 UTC19:17 UTCTornado WatchTSA
17:57 UTC18:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
18:11 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningTSA
18:21 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningTSA
18:34 UTC19:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
18:38 UTC19:08 UTCTornado WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 16:26 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

6.9 hours before the tornado, 181 km from the path. May 18, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2019-05-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 717 joules per kilogram, CIN -216, lifted condensation level 969 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2019-05-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 345 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 27 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
717 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-216 J/kg
Surface CAPE
19 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
969 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
345 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
385 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

5.1 hours after it, 181 km from the path. May 19, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -69641, lifted condensation level 1550 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 271 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-69641 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1550 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
280 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 7 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGPoteauLe Flore, OKHUGE TREE DOWN ON TOP OF VEHICLE. PICTURE RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
18:47 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ese SpiroLe Flore, OKTREE LIMBS TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BROKEN, SHINGLES BLOWN OFF A ROOF.
18:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGGreenwoodSebastian, ARARKANSAS STATE EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTS TREES DOWN WEST OF GREENWOOD BETWEEN HIGHWAY 10 AND 253.
18:59 UTCTORNADO3 Ssw Fort SmithSebastian, ARA TORNADO UPROOTED MANY TREES...DAMAGED HOMES...AND SNAPPED POWER POLES.
19:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGFort SmithSebastian, AR10-12 HOMES WITH ROOF DAMAGE IN THE AREA OF PHOENIX AVENUE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
19:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGOzarkFranklin, ARNUMEROUS ROADS BLOCKED THROUGHOUT FRANKLIN COUNTY DUE TO DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES. MULTIPLE HOMES THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY DAMAGED BY DOWNED TREES. APPROXIMATELY 2800 HOMES IN FRANKLIN COUNTY ARE WITHOUT POWER.
19:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 78PocolaLe Flore, OKEMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED 78 MPH WINDS WHICH WERE RECORDED AT POCOLA RACE TRACK.
19:00 UTCTORNADO2 Nw GreenwoodSebastian, ARA TORNADO SEVERELY DAMAGED SEVERAL HOMES...SNAPPED OR UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES...DESTROYED OUTBUILDINGS...AND SNAPPED POWER POLES.
19:04 UTCTORNADO6 Ese Fort SmithSebastian, ARA TORNADO UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGED HOMES.
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGBarlingSebastian, ARPOWER LINES AND TRANSFORMER DOWNED NEAR BARLING. PICTURE RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGBarlingSebastian, ARTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR BARLING.
19:05 UTCTSTM WND DMGFort SmithSebastian, ARINTERSTATE SIGN SNAPPED AND THROWN INTO THE MIDDLE OF INTERSTATE 540 JUST SOUTH OF THE ZERO STREET EXIT IN FORT SMITH.
19:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGLavacaSebastian, AREMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO RESIDENCE IN LAVACA ON SOUTH RIVER ROAD AND TREES FALLEN IN MULTIPLE DIRECTIONS.
19:10 UTCTORNADO4 W CharlestonSebastian, ARA TORNADO UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGED HOMES.
19:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGBranchFranklin, ARTREE AND OUTBUILDING DAMAGE.
19:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGVestaFranklin, ARLARGE TREES DOWN NORTH OF VESTA ON HIGHWAY 215.
19:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGCecilFranklin, ARTREES DOWN ACROSS HIGHWAY 96 IN FORD HILL AREA.
19:25 UTCTORNADOWnw MulberryCrawford, ARA TORNADO UPROOTED TREES AND DAMAGED SEVERAL HOMES.
19:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGMulberryCrawford, ARTREE ON A HOUSE. DOWNED TREES BLOCKING HIGHWAY 64.
19:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGOzarkFranklin, ARTREE DOWN ON A HOUSE AND POWER LINES DOWN ON NORTH 2ND STREET.
19:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGParisLogan, ARNUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN THE TOWN OF PARIS.
19:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGParisLogan, ARSEVERAL TREES DOWN AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH.
19:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGParisLogan, ARA LARGE TREE WAS UPROOTED.
19:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N AltusFranklin, AREXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE ATOP ST. MARYS MOUNTAIN, AROUND ST. MARYS CATHOLIC CHURCH.
19:41 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nw SubiacoLogan, ARNUMEROUS TREES DOWN NORTH OF SUBIACO IN THE PATTERSON BLUFF AREA. TIME EST. FROM RADAR.
19:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGCharlestonFranklin, AREMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED LARGE TREES DOWN NORTH OF CHARLESTON IN THE HIGHWAY 60 AREA. MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO SOME HOMES IN CHARLESTON.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 18, 2019

24 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 182:05 AM CDTEF2Schleicher, TX2.12501$500,000
May 184:57 AM CDTEF2Tom Green, TX17.61,7602$7.5 million
May 185:43 AM CDTEF2Taylor, TX5.0388$10 million
May 185:56 AM CDTEF1Taylor, TX8.7550$750,000
May 186:52 AM CDTEF3Runnels, TX18.01,760$6.0 million
May 187:37 AM CDTEF2Comanche, OK0.5601$150,000
May 187:52 AM CDTEF3Runnels, TX5.81,760
May 188:20 AM CDTEF3Coleman, TX7.8300
May 189:27 AM CDTEF0Payne, OK0.225$10,000
May 189:33 AM CDTEF0Payne, OK0.450$30,000
May 1810:42 AM CDTUnratedPalo Pinto, TX0.025
May 1811:03 AM CDTEF0Tulsa, OK3.7350$5,000
May 1811:18 AM CDTEF0Coal, OK0.5503$25,000
May 1811:34 AM CDTUnratedMcCulloch, TX0.150
May 1811:58 AM CDTEF1Rogers, OK10.1400$40,000
May 1812:32 PM CDTEF0Mayes, OK2.1100$3,000
May 181:13 PM CDTEF1Haskell, OK1.2100
May 181:59 PM CDTEF1Sebastian, AR3.5600$150,000
May 182:01 PM CDTEF1Washington, AR1.0100$2,000
May 182:04 PM CDTEF1Sebastian, AR2.9400$50,000
May 182:10 PM CDTEF1Sebastian, AR7.31,000$25,000
May 182:25 PM CDTEF1Crawford, AR1.6300$20,000
May 185:45 PM CDTEF1Smith, TX0.7200$30,000
May 185:55 PM CDTEF0Prairie, AR0.350

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.