Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2015

EF1 tornado, Spavinaw to Topsy, Oklahoma, May 29, 2015

From Spavinaw to Topsy, this EF1 tornado ran 9.5 miles across Mayes and Delaware counties on May 29, 2015, touching down at 2:27 PM CDT and reaching 1,500 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $60,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 29, 2015
Touchdown
2:27 PM CDT (19:27 UTC)
Lifted
2:47 PM CDT (19:47 UTC)
On the ground
20 minutes
Path length
9.5 miles (15.3 km)
Path width
1,500 yards (1372 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$60,000
Counties
Mayes and Delaware counties
Touchdown point
36.370, -95.081
Lift-off point
36.448, -94.941
Record number
1505291327-01

The damage survey

52 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • uprooted trees, power poles snapped

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An upper level disturbance moved through the Southern Plains on the 29th. Thunderstorms developed over eastern Oklahoma during the late morning and afternoon hours as this system approached. Three tornadoes occurred as these storms moved through the region as well as locally heavy rainfall that resulted in flash flooding.

This is the first segment of a two segment tornado. The tornado developed on Spavinaw Hill southwest of Spavinaw. It moved east-northeast snapping or uprooting numerous trees and snapping power poles through town. Some homes in town received roof damage. The tornado snapped or uprooted numerous trees along Highway 20 northeast of Spavinaw and damaged the roofs of a couple homes. The tornado crossed into Delaware County just north of Highway 20. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 100 to 110 mph.

This is the second segment of a two segment tornado. The tornado crossed into Delaware County just north of Highway 20. Trees were snapped or uprooted and power poles were blown down as it moved east-northeast across the S 510 and S 520 Roads before dissipating. Based on this damage, maximum estimated wind in this segment of the tornado was 95 to 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:13 UTC and running to 21:36 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:25 UTC21:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryTSA
18:39 UTC23:54 UTCFlash Flood WarningTSA
18:44 UTC19:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
19:13 UTC21:36 UTCTornado WatchTSA
19:18 UTC20:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
19:25 UTC19:38 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
19:31 UTC19:47 UTCTornado WarningTSA
02:20 UTC14:00 UTCFlood WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 16:29 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

7.5 hours before the tornado, 121 km from the path. May 29, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 535 joules per kilogram, CIN -52, lifted condensation level 864 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
535 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-52 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
864 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

4.5 hours after it, 121 km from the path. May 30, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-05-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 50 joules per kilogram, CIN -79, lifted condensation level 880 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-05-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -117 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 26 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
50 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79 J/kg
Surface CAPE
111 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:26 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:20 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 W ClaremoreRogers, OKSTREET FLOODING WEST OF LYNN RIGGS BLVD AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 88. PHOTO RECEIVED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.
19:23 UTCFLASH FLOODPryorMayes, OKSIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN AND NEAR PRYOR. WATER RESCUES ONGOING IN TOWN.
19:23 UTCFLASH FLOODSalinaMayes, OKSIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN SALINA.
19:27 UTCTORNADO 12 Sw SpavinawMayes, OKTHIS TORNADO DEVELOPED SOUTHWEST OF SPAVINAW NEAR SPAVINAW HILL AND MOVED NORTHEAST ACROSS TOWN SNAPPING AND UPROOTING NUMEROUS TREES AND BLOWING DOWN POWER POLES. IT CONTINUED NORTHEAST SNAPPING OR UPROOTING NUMEROUS TR
19:35 UTCTORNADOSpavinawMayes, OKLIKELY TORNADO DAMAGE. LARGE TREES DOWNED FROM SPAVINAW EAST TOWARD THE DELAWARE COUNTY LINE COINCIDENT WITH STRONG CIRCULATION ON RADAR. EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ASSESSMENT JUST BEGINNING.
20:33 UTCFLASH FLOODWagonerWagoner, OKSIGNIFICANT FLOODING IN DOWNTOWN WAGONER.
20:36 UTCFLASH FLOODInolaRogers, OKWATER OVER ROADWAYS NEAR INOLA. PHOTO VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 29, 2015

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 2910:40 AM CDTEF0Sunflower, MS0.010
May 291:51 PM CDTEF1Muskogee, OK5.0400$30,000
May 292:16 PM CDTEF0Sequoyah, OK1.5100$20,000
May 297:28 PM MDTEF0Roosevelt, NM3.125
May 2911:20 PM CDTEF1Greene, IL4.7200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.