Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2012

EF2 tornado, Welch, Oklahoma, May 1, 2012

This EF2 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Craig County on May 1, 2012, touching down at 1:30 AM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 1, and did $250,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
May 1, 2012
Touchdown
1:30 AM CDT (06:30 UTC)
Lifted
1:32 AM CDT (06:32 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
1.0 miles (1.6 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
1
Property damage
$250,000
County
Craig County
Touchdown point
36.887, -95.094
Lift-off point
36.896, -95.080
Record number
1205010030-01

The damage survey

5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.

  • Steel-framed 40'X60' barn destroyed; two large horse trailers moved tens of yards
  • Entire roof of home removed; windows broken and woman injured by flying glass
  • Home shifted on foundation, garage door blown in on southwest side of home and north wall was blown out

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Thunderstorms developed over far northeast Oklahoma, in the vicinity of a warm front and an outflow boundary from earlier thunderstorms. Large hail, damaging winds, several tornadoes and flash flooding were observed with these thunderstorms. This event began during the evening hours of April 30th and continued into the early morning hours of May 1st.

A tornado tore the roof off of a permanent home, shifted another permanent home off its foundation and blew out an exterior wall, turned over an outbuilding, rolled two horse trailers, destroyed a 40' by 60' steel-framed barn, and snapped or uprooted a number of hardwood trees. Maximum estimated wind in the tornado based on this damage was 110 to 120 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 00:32 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:00 UTC12:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchTSA
00:32 UTC07:00 UTCTornado WatchTSA
01:53 UTC02:30 UTCTornado WarningTSA
01:58 UTC05:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningTSA
02:08 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:29 UTC02:44 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:43 UTC03:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
02:58 UTC03:30 UTCTornado WarningTSA
03:28 UTC04:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:00 UTC05:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
04:51 UTC08:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningTSA
04:58 UTC05:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:49 UTC06:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
05:59 UTC07:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
06:53 UTC12:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningTSA
11:35 UTC21:30 UTCFlood WarningTSA
21:28 UTC21:30 UTCFlood WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:58 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

6.5 hours before the tornado, 114 km from the path. May 1, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 202 joules per kilogram, CIN -103, lifted condensation level 1176 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2012-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 83 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 44 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
202 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-103 J/kg
Surface CAPE
961 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1176 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
83 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
142 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

5.5 hours after it, 114 km from the path. May 1, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 56 joules per kilogram, CIN -248, lifted condensation level 856 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2012-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 261 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
56 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-248 J/kg
Surface CAPE
31 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
856 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
261 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
318 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
05:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGDelawareNowata, OKTREE ON TOP OF HOUSE ON CHEROKEE STREET IN DELAWARE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
06:11 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentraliaCraig, OKLARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROAD NEAR CENTRALIA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
06:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N WelchCraig, OKHOME DAMAGE, WITH 1 PERSON TRAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGLangleyMayes, OKSEVERAL HOMES LOST SHINGLES. LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN AND DOWNED.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 627 E CentraliaCraig, OKCENTRALIA MESONET.
06:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 62VinitaCraig, OKVINITA MESONET.
06:30 UTCTORNADO1 N WelchCraig, OKEF1 DAMAGE WAS CONFIRMED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF WELCH. TWO HOMES WERE DAMAGED...ONE WITH THE ROOF COMPLETELY OFF THE HOME. SURVEYORS NOTED MUD AND DEBRIS CAKED ON THE EAST SIDE OF BOTH HOMES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE
06:34 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Wsw MiamiOttawa, OKPOWER LINES AND TREES OVER A FOOT IN DIAMETER DOWN SOUTH OF DAWES.
06:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGMiamiOttawa, OKLARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN AND BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES.
07:52 UTCFLASH FLOOD9 W HollowCraig, OKWATER COVERING HIGHWAY 10 WHERE BRUSH CREEK CROSSES UNDER THE HIGHWAY ABOUT 1 MILE EAST OF THE NOWATA COUNTY LINE. HIGHWAY HAS BEEN CLOSED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 1, 2012

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 12:33 PM EDTEF0Clay, IN0.150$3,000
May 14:45 PM EDTEF0Trimble, KY1.915$25,000
May 13:59 PM CDTEF0Piatt, IL0.110
May 14:06 PM CDTEF1Champaign, IL8.175$25,000
May 15:28 PM EDTEF1Franklin, IN1.3100$250,000
May 14:40 PM CDTEF0Champaign, IL0.120
May 14:48 PM CDTEF0Pope, MN0.150
May 14:56 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN0.975
May 15:05 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN2.175$100,000
May 15:18 PM CDTEF0Vermilion, IL0.530$8,000
May 16:20 PM EDTEF0Warren, OH0.010$5,000
May 16:24 PM EDTEF0Warren, OH0.050$10,000
May 15:40 PM CDTEF0Wright, MN0.025
May 16:57 PM EDTEF0Fountain, IN0.150
May 17:36 PM EDTEF1Montgomery, IN0.5150$48,000
May 19:40 PM CDTEF0Clay, IA2.650$5,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.