Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2012
EF2 tornado, Welch, Oklahoma, May 1, 2012
This EF2 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Craig County on May 1, 2012, touching down at 1:30 AM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 1, and did $250,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF2
- Date
- May 1, 2012
- Touchdown
- 1:30 AM CDT (06:30 UTC)
- Lifted
- 1:32 AM CDT (06:32 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 1.0 miles (1.6 km)
- Path width
- 150 yards (137 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 1
- Property damage
- $250,000
- County
- Craig County
- Touchdown point
- 36.887, -95.094
- Lift-off point
- 36.896, -95.080
- Record number
- 1205010030-01
The damage survey
5 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 122 mph.
- Steel-framed 40'X60' barn destroyed; two large horse trailers moved tens of yards
- Entire roof of home removed; windows broken and woman injured by flying glass
- Home shifted on foundation, garage door blown in on southwest side of home and north wall was blown out
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Thunderstorms developed over far northeast Oklahoma, in the vicinity of a warm front and an outflow boundary from earlier thunderstorms. Large hail, damaging winds, several tornadoes and flash flooding were observed with these thunderstorms. This event began during the evening hours of April 30th and continued into the early morning hours of May 1st.
A tornado tore the roof off of a permanent home, shifted another permanent home off its foundation and blew out an exterior wall, turned over an outbuilding, rolled two horse trailers, destroyed a 40' by 60' steel-framed barn, and snapped or uprooted a number of hardwood trees. Maximum estimated wind in the tornado based on this damage was 110 to 120 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 00:32 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00 UTC | 12:00 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | TSA |
| 00:32 UTC | 07:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | TSA |
| 01:53 UTC | 02:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | TSA |
| 01:58 UTC | 05:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | TSA |
| 02:08 UTC | 03:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 02:29 UTC | 02:44 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 02:43 UTC | 03:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 02:58 UTC | 03:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | TSA |
| 03:28 UTC | 04:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 04:00 UTC | 05:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 04:51 UTC | 08:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | TSA |
| 04:58 UTC | 05:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:49 UTC | 06:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 05:59 UTC | 07:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA |
| 06:53 UTC | 12:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | TSA |
| 11:35 UTC | 21:30 UTC | Flood Warning | TSA |
| 21:28 UTC | 21:30 UTC | Flood Warning | TSA |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:58 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z
6.5 hours before the tornado, 114 km from the path. May 1, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 202 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -103 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 961 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1176 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 142 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.5 K/km
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z
5.5 hours after it, 114 km from the path. May 1, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 56 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -248 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 31 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 856 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 261 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 318 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.5 K/km
The radar
The Tulsa radar (KINX), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:29 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Delaware | Nowata, OK | TREE ON TOP OF HOUSE ON CHEROKEE STREET IN DELAWARE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| 06:11 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Centralia | Craig, OK | LARGE TREE DOWN BLOCKING ROAD NEAR CENTRALIA. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| 06:25 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 N Welch | Craig, OK | HOME DAMAGE, WITH 1 PERSON TRAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Langley | Mayes, OK | SEVERAL HOMES LOST SHINGLES. LARGE TREE LIMBS BROKEN AND DOWNED. |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND GST 62 | 7 E Centralia | Craig, OK | CENTRALIA MESONET. |
| 06:30 UTC | TSTM WND GST 62 | Vinita | Craig, OK | VINITA MESONET. |
| 06:30 UTC | TORNADO | 1 N Welch | Craig, OK | EF1 DAMAGE WAS CONFIRMED ON THE NORTH SIDE OF WELCH. TWO HOMES WERE DAMAGED...ONE WITH THE ROOF COMPLETELY OFF THE HOME. SURVEYORS NOTED MUD AND DEBRIS CAKED ON THE EAST SIDE OF BOTH HOMES. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION WILL BE |
| 06:34 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Wsw Miami | Ottawa, OK | POWER LINES AND TREES OVER A FOOT IN DIAMETER DOWN SOUTH OF DAWES. |
| 06:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Miami | Ottawa, OK | LARGE TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN AND BROUGHT DOWN POWER LINES. |
| 07:52 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 9 W Hollow | Craig, OK | WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 10 WHERE BRUSH CREEK CROSSES UNDER THE HIGHWAY ABOUT 1 MILE EAST OF THE NOWATA COUNTY LINE. HIGHWAY HAS BEEN CLOSED. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 1, 2012
16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1 | 2:33 PM EDT | EF0 | Clay, IN | 0.1 | 50 | $3,000 | ||
| May 1 | 4:45 PM EDT | EF0 | Trimble, KY | 1.9 | 15 | $25,000 | ||
| May 1 | 3:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Piatt, IL | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| May 1 | 4:06 PM CDT | EF1 | Champaign, IL | 8.1 | 75 | $25,000 | ||
| May 1 | 5:28 PM EDT | EF1 | Franklin, IN | 1.3 | 100 | $250,000 | ||
| May 1 | 4:40 PM CDT | EF0 | Champaign, IL | 0.1 | 20 | |||
| May 1 | 4:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Pope, MN | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| May 1 | 4:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 0.9 | 75 | |||
| May 1 | 5:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Stearns, MN | 2.1 | 75 | $100,000 | ||
| May 1 | 5:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Vermilion, IL | 0.5 | 30 | $8,000 | ||
| May 1 | 6:20 PM EDT | EF0 | Warren, OH | 0.0 | 10 | $5,000 | ||
| May 1 | 6:24 PM EDT | EF0 | Warren, OH | 0.0 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| May 1 | 5:40 PM CDT | EF0 | Wright, MN | 0.0 | 25 | |||
| May 1 | 6:57 PM EDT | EF0 | Fountain, IN | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| May 1 | 7:36 PM EDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IN | 0.5 | 150 | $48,000 | ||
| May 1 | 9:40 PM CDT | EF0 | Clay, IA | 2.6 | 50 | $5,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.