Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2016

EF0 tornado, Arnegard, North Dakota, June 21, 2016

This EF0 tornado ran 0.4 miles across McKenzie County on June 21, 2016, touching down at 9:46 PM CDT and reaching 20 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
June 21, 2016
Touchdown
9:46 PM CDT (02:46 UTC)
Lifted
9:49 PM CDT (02:49 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
0.4 miles (0.6 km)
Path width
20 yards (18 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
McKenzie County
Touchdown point
47.810, -103.380
Lift-off point
47.810, -103.371
Record number
1606212046-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A compact upper level low approached North Dakota while strong instability and very strong deep layer shear were present over a broad portion of the state. Storms initiated over eastern Montana into southwest North Dakota and moved across the area in the evening and overnight hours. Storms were slow to intensify at first, then around 730 pm CDT explosive growth occurred over western North Dakota. Strong supercells developed producing very large hail along with funnel clouds. There were two confirmed tornadoes. One caused damage to a home south of Mott in Hettinger County, while the other occurred over rural areas between Arnegard and Watford City in McKenzie County. Severe storms continued overnight with the threat switching to primarily strong winds over south central North Dakota where there were multiple reports of damage. The greatest damage was in Logan County where a high-voltage electrical transmission structure was toppled.

A tornado developed over rural areas between Arnegard and Watford City, and traveled east for almost one-half mile. No damage was reported as the tornado impacted no structures. Based on this, it is rated EF0.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

24 minutes of warning. NWS BIS issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:22 UTC, 24 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:00 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 01:37 UTC and running to 06:33 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:10 UTC01:37 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchBIS
01:05 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
01:22 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningBIS
01:37 UTC06:33 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchBIS
01:56 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
02:05 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
02:14 UTC02:45 UTCTornado WarningBIS
02:22 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WarningBIS
02:48 UTC03:15 UTCTornado WarningBIS
03:10 UTC03:45 UTCTornado WarningBIS
03:40 UTC03:56 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:45 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 00:00Z

2.8 hours before the tornado, 233 km from the path. June 22, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 5 joules per kilogram, CIN -462, lifted condensation level 1984 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 106 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 77 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-462 J/kg
Surface CAPE
88 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1984 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
106 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
495 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 12:00Z

9.2 hours after it, 233 km from the path. June 22, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -46970, lifted condensation level 989 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 164 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-46970 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
989 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Watford (S25), 9 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:55 UTC78.855.4100° 18 kt241006.1
01:15 UTC75.255.4100° 18 kt251004.7
01:35 UTC75.255.4120° 15 kt251003.7
01:55 UTC73.453.670° 23 kt471007.1
02:55 UTC71.655.490° 17 kt261004.4VCTS
03:15 UTC64.45910° 20 kt531008.5VCTS RA
03:35 UTC60.85960° 23 kt311008.8
03:55 UTC60.85960° 15 kt231009.5
04:15 UTC60.85980° 17 kt281009.5
04:35 UTC60.857.290° 13 kt271009.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 197 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:45 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:18 UTCHAIL 115 Sse EppingWilliams, ND25 MPH WINDS... TEMPERATURE FELL FROM 85 TO 75 IN 20 MINUTES.
01:18 UTCHAIL 13 S Lewis And Clark StaWilliams, ND25 MPH WINDS... TEMPERATURE FELL FROM 85 TO 75 IN 20 MINUTES.
01:40 UTCHAIL 2.757 N Watford CityMckenzie, NDSTILL ONGOING
01:40 UTCHAIL 2.757 N Watford CityMckenzie, NDSTILL ONGOING.
02:00 UTCHAIL 1.5KeeneMckenzie, ND
02:06 UTCTSTM WND GST 80KeeneMckenzie, ND
02:19 UTCHAIL 1.754 S Fort Union TradingMckenzie, NDGOLF BALL SIZED HAIL OCCURRED FOR 11 MINUTES FROM 819 PM MDT UNTIL 830 PM MDT.
02:19 UTCHAIL 1.756 N East FairviewMckenzie, NDGOLF BALL SIZED HAIL OCCURRED FOR 11 MINUTES FROM 819 PM MDT UNTIL 830 PM MDT.
02:22 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 E Johnsons CornerMckenzie, NDFUNNEL CLOUD HAS BEEN GOING UP AND DOWN...AND CONTINUES TO DO SO.
02:46 UTCTORNADO3 E ArnegardMckenzie, NDTORNADO ON GROUND AT TIME OF CALL AT 948 PM. THE TORNADO HAD BEEN ON THE GROUND FOR APPROXIMATELY TWO MINUTES PRIOR TO THE CALL BEGINNING AT 946 PM.
02:58 UTCTORNADO3 W Watford CityMckenzie, NDPICTURE RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. NO DAMAGE REPORTED
02:58 UTCTORNADO3 W Watford CityMckenzie, NDPICTURE RELAYED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. NO DAMAGE REPORTED.
03:00 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 Ese RawsonMckenzie, ND
03:00 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 W ArnegardMckenzie, ND
03:08 UTCHAIL 1.75Watford CityMckenzie, NDGOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AT APPROXIMATELY 1008 PM CDT. QUARTER SIZED HAIL WAS FALLING AT 1012 PM CDT.
03:12 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDWatford CityMckenzie, NDFUNNEL CLOUD NOW OVER WATFORD CITY.
03:12 UTCHAIL 1.755 N Watford CityMckenzie, ND
03:13 UTCTSTM WND GST 65Watford CityMckenzie, ND
03:13 UTCHAIL 1.5Watford CityMckenzie, ND
03:55 UTCHAIL 2.52 E MandareeDunn, ND

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 21, 2016

4 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 211:29 PM EDTEF0Howard, MD12.6500
June 213:00 PM EDTEF1Nicholas, WV5.4300$50,000
June 219:30 PM EDTEF1Barbour, WV0.4200$20,000
June 218:10 PM MDTEF1Hettinger, ND3.235$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.