Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015
EF0 tornado, Oakwood to Grafton, North Dakota, May 28, 2015
From Oakwood to Grafton, this EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Walsh County on May 28, 2015, touching down at 5:17 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- May 28, 2015
- Touchdown
- 5:17 PM CDT (22:17 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
- On the ground
- 4 minutes
- Path length
- 2.0 miles (3.2 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Walsh County
- Touchdown point
- 48.370, -97.240
- Lift-off point
- 48.365, -97.199
- Record number
- 1505281617-01
The damage survey
2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FGF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 85 mph.
- Several 12 to 18 inch diameter cottonwood trees were snapped at a farmstead.
- Large tree branches broken down is two shelterbelts along path.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
By the afternoon of the 28th, a weak surface low was located over northeast North Dakota with a warm front extending out to the east. Temperatures rose into the mid to upper 70s with dew points in the low 60s. Showers and thunderstorms flared up along the Red River Valley into northwest Minnesota, producing large hail and strong wind gusts.
The tornado tracked for about two miles across southern Acton Township. Several medium to large cottonwood trees twelve to eighteen inches in diameter were snapped near the ground and numerous tree branches and limbs were broken off in shelterbelts along the path. Peak winds were estimated at 85 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
6 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:11 UTC, 6 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:29 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22:11 UTC | 22:29 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 19:32 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
International Fa, MN (KINL), 12:00Z
10.3 hours before the tornado, 290 km from the path. May 28, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -368 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1379 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 167 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.6 K/km
International Fa, MN (KINL), 00:00Z
1.7 hours after it, 290 km from the path. May 29, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 29 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -194 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1455 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 241 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 299 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.2 K/km
The surface observations
Grafton (GAF), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:35 UTC | 75.2 | 62.6 | 150° 8 kt | 1009.1 | VCTS | |
| 20:55 UTC | 75.2 | 62.6 | 180° 6 kt | 11 | 1009.1 | VCTS |
| 21:15 UTC | 77 | 62.6 | 160° 5 kt | 1008.1 | VCTS | |
| 21:35 UTC | 73.4 | 62.6 | 0° 0 kt | 1008.5 | VCTS | |
| 21:55 UTC | 71.6 | 66.2 | 300° 25 kt | 30 | 1008.5 | TS |
| 22:15 UTC | 68 | 57.2 | 4 kt | 10 | 1008.1 | TS |
| 22:35 UTC | 64.4 | 60.8 | 20° 5 kt | 1008.1 | VCTS | |
| 22:55 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 0° 0 kt | 1008.1 | VCTS RA | |
| 23:15 UTC | 64.4 | 64.4 | 130° 11 kt | 1008.8 | VCTS | |
| 23:35 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 360° 8 kt | 15 | 1009.1 | VCTS |
| 23:55 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 10° 8 kt | 1008.8 | VCTS RA | |
| 00:15 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1008.8 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:18 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:51 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | 1 W Grafton | Walsh, ND | HEAVY RAIN REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO. |
| 22:17 UTC | TORNADO 0 | 8 Ese Grafton | Walsh, ND | TORNADO TRACKED FOR FOR NEARLY 2 MILES IN SOUTHERN ACTON TOWNSHIP...TO AROUND 10 ESE OF GRAFTON BY 521 PM CDT. SEVERAL MEDIUM TO LARGE COTTONWOOD TREES /12 TO 18 INCH DIAMETER/ WERE SNAPPED NEAR THE GROUND AND NUMEROUS T |
| 22:20 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 9 E Grafton | Walsh, ND | VIA SOCIAL MEDIA POST. |
| 22:33 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 9 E Grafton | Walsh, ND | VIA FACEBOOK. |
| 22:33 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 9 E Grafton | Walsh, ND | VIA SOCIAL MEDIA POST. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 28, 2015
13 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28 | 9:58 AM CDT | EF1 | LeFlore, OK | 0.5 | 75 | $50,000 | ||
| May 28 | 2:09 PM CDT | EF1 | Benton, AR | 1.6 | 100 | $25,000 | ||
| May 28 | 2:40 PM CDT | EF0 | Benton, AR | 0.2 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| May 28 | 2:14 PM MDT | EF0 | Greeley, KS | 0.5 | 20 | |||
| May 28 | 3:37 PM CDT | EF0 | Borden, TX | 1.1 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 2:38 PM MDT | EF0 | Las Animas, CO | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 3:53 PM CDT | EF0 | Wichita, KS | 1.9 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 4:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Wichita, KS | 0.3 | 25 | |||
| May 28 | 3:35 PM MDT | EF0 | Kit Carson, CO | 1.0 | 25 | |||
| May 28 | 4:50 PM CDT | EF0 | Scott, KS | 1.9 | 75 | |||
| May 28 | 3:53 PM MDT | EF0 | Baca, CO | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 5:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Finney, KS | 1.7 | 75 | |||
| May 28 | 8:13 PM CDT | EF0 | Foard, TX | 0.5 | 50 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.