Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2015

EF0 tornado, Oakwood to Grafton, North Dakota, May 28, 2015

From Oakwood to Grafton, this EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Walsh County on May 28, 2015, touching down at 5:17 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 28, 2015
Touchdown
5:17 PM CDT (22:17 UTC)
Lifted
5:21 PM CDT (22:21 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Walsh County
Touchdown point
48.370, -97.240
Lift-off point
48.365, -97.199
Record number
1505281617-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FGF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 85 mph.

  • Several 12 to 18 inch diameter cottonwood trees were snapped at a farmstead.
  • Large tree branches broken down is two shelterbelts along path.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

By the afternoon of the 28th, a weak surface low was located over northeast North Dakota with a warm front extending out to the east. Temperatures rose into the mid to upper 70s with dew points in the low 60s. Showers and thunderstorms flared up along the Red River Valley into northwest Minnesota, producing large hail and strong wind gusts.

The tornado tracked for about two miles across southern Acton Township. Several medium to large cottonwood trees twelve to eighteen inches in diameter were snapped near the ground and numerous tree branches and limbs were broken off in shelterbelts along the path. Peak winds were estimated at 85 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

6 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:11 UTC, 6 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:29 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:11 UTC22:29 UTCTornado WarningFGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 19:32 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

International Fa, MN (KINL), 12:00Z

10.3 hours before the tornado, 290 km from the path. May 28, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-05-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -368, lifted condensation level 1379 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-05-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 141 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 36 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-368 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1379 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
14 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
141 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

International Fa, MN (KINL), 00:00Z

1.7 hours after it, 290 km from the path. May 29, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-05-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 29 joules per kilogram, CIN -194, lifted condensation level 1455 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-05-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 241 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
29 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-194 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
299 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Grafton (GAF), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:35 UTC75.262.6150° 8 kt1009.1VCTS
20:55 UTC75.262.6180° 6 kt111009.1VCTS
21:15 UTC7762.6160° 5 kt1008.1VCTS
21:35 UTC73.462.60° 0 kt1008.5VCTS
21:55 UTC71.666.2300° 25 kt301008.5TS
22:15 UTC6857.2 4 kt101008.1TS
22:35 UTC64.460.820° 5 kt1008.1VCTS
22:55 UTC64.464.40° 0 kt1008.1VCTS RA
23:15 UTC64.464.4130° 11 kt1008.8VCTS
23:35 UTC66.266.2360° 8 kt151009.1VCTS
23:55 UTC66.266.210° 8 kt1008.8VCTS RA
00:15 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1008.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:18 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:51 UTCHAIL 0.51 W GraftonWalsh, NDHEAVY RAIN REDUCING VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO.
22:17 UTCTORNADO 08 Ese GraftonWalsh, NDTORNADO TRACKED FOR FOR NEARLY 2 MILES IN SOUTHERN ACTON TOWNSHIP...TO AROUND 10 ESE OF GRAFTON BY 521 PM CDT. SEVERAL MEDIUM TO LARGE COTTONWOOD TREES /12 TO 18 INCH DIAMETER/ WERE SNAPPED NEAR THE GROUND AND NUMEROUS T
22:20 UTCHAIL 1.759 E GraftonWalsh, NDVIA SOCIAL MEDIA POST.
22:33 UTCHAIL 1.759 E GraftonWalsh, NDVIA FACEBOOK.
22:33 UTCHAIL 1.759 E GraftonWalsh, NDVIA SOCIAL MEDIA POST.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 28, 2015

13 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 289:58 AM CDTEF1LeFlore, OK0.575$50,000
May 282:09 PM CDTEF1Benton, AR1.6100$25,000
May 282:40 PM CDTEF0Benton, AR0.250$10,000
May 282:14 PM MDTEF0Greeley, KS0.520
May 283:37 PM CDTEF0Borden, TX1.150
May 282:38 PM MDTEF0Las Animas, CO0.350
May 283:53 PM CDTEF0Wichita, KS1.950
May 284:07 PM CDTEF0Wichita, KS0.325
May 283:35 PM MDTEF0Kit Carson, CO1.025
May 284:50 PM CDTEF0Scott, KS1.975
May 283:53 PM MDTEF0Baca, CO0.450
May 285:09 PM CDTEF0Finney, KS1.775
May 288:13 PM CDTEF0Foard, TX0.550

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.