Tornadoes · United States · North Carolina · 2021
EF1 tornado, Carr to Mc Dade, North Carolina, March 18, 2021
From Carr to Mc Dade, this EF1 tornado ran 4.3 miles across Orange County on March 18, 2021, touching down at 6:04 PM EDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $150,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- March 18, 2021
- Touchdown
- 6:04 PM EDT (22:04 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:10 PM EDT (22:10 UTC)
- On the ground
- 6 minutes
- Path length
- 4.3 miles (6.8 km)
- Path width
- 200 yards (183 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $150,000
- County
- Orange County
- Touchdown point
- 36.170, -79.249
- Lift-off point
- 36.200, -79.187
- Record number
- 2103181604-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A mid level trough approached central North Carolina from the west and moved across the area during the afternoon and evening. This helped spark a round of late day showers and thunderstorms, some of which produced severe weather across the central Piedmont along a cold air damming surface boundary. Several tornadic storms occurred along and north of Interstate 85 during the late afternoon hours along the aforementioned boundary.
An EF-1 tornado tracked across portions of northern Orange County, with an estimated maximum wind gusts of around 100 miles per hour. The storm initially produced straight line wind damage across eastern Alamance County before producing more widespread tornado damage in Orange County a few minutes later. The tornado snapped off and downed numerous trees and power lines along the path, along with blowing a roof off a house near Pentecost Road.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
6 minutes of warning. NWS RAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:58 UTC, 6 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:45 UTC and running to 23:57 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:45 UTC | 23:57 UTC | Tornado Watch | RAH |
| 21:58 UTC | 22:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | RAH |
| 22:09 UTC | 23:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH |
| 22:39 UTC | 22:53 UTC | Tornado Warning | RAH |
| 22:59 UTC | 23:20 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 21:26 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), 12:00Z
10.1 hours before the tornado, 62 km from the path. March 18, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -55113 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 486 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 67 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 470 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 562 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 2.7 K/km
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), 00:00Z
1.9 hours after it, 62 km from the path. March 19, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 171 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -69 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 828 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 78 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 112 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.9 K/km
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:01 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:38 UTC | TORNADO | 3 S Gibsonville | Guilford, NC | NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM CONFIRMED A DISCONTINUOUS PATH OF DAMAGE TO MULTIPLE STRUCTURES AND TREES CONSISTENT WITH THAT OF AN EF-1 TORNADO. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND INTERMITTENTLY FOR 6 MINUTES BEFORE LIFTING. PATH LEN |
| 21:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Gibsonville | Guilford, NC | ROOFS OFF HOUSES, MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG ETHANS WAY. |
| 21:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 S Elon College | Alamance, NC | OVERTURNED AND DAMAGED BUS FROM THUNDERSTORM WINDS REPORTED. |
| 21:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 S Elon College | Alamance, NC | TREE REPORTED DOWN NEAR ELON NC. |
| 21:58 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Sse Jericho | Caswell, NC | A FEW LARGE LIMBS DOWN ON EB TATE ROAD. |
| 22:04 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Ssw Carr | Orange, NC | NWS STORM SURVEY TEAM CONFIRMED A PATH OF DAMAGE CONSISTENT WITH THAT OF AN EF-1 TORNADO ACROSS NORTHERN ORANGE COUNTY. THE TORNADO WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 6 MINUTES BEFORE LIFTING. PATH LENGTH ESTIMATED AT 4.25 MILES. PAT |
| 22:07 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Sse Carr | Orange, NC | TREES DOWN AND ROOFS OFF HOUSE ALONG PENTECOST RD. |
| 22:35 UTC | TSTM WND GST 45 | 5 Nw Rougemont | Person, NC | MEASURED AT ROXBORO PERSON COUNTY AIRPORT. |
| 22:35 UTC | TSTM WND GST 46 | 5 Nw Rougemont | Person, NC | MEASURED AT ROXBORO PERSON COUNTY AIRPORT. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in North CarolinaEvery tornado in North Carolina since 1950Warnings in force in North Carolina nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 18, 2021
15 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 18 | 4:08 AM CDT | EF1 | Crenshaw, AL | 0.5 | 150 | |||
| March 18 | 5:27 AM CDT | EF1 | Houston, AL | 5.2 | 150 | 1 | $200,000 | |
| March 18 | 5:49 AM CDT | EF0 | Houston, AL | 2.1 | 50 | $4,000 | ||
| March 18 | 6:02 AM CDT | EF0 | Washington, FL | 1.6 | 25 | |||
| March 18 | 6:02 AM CDT | EF0 | Bay, FL | 3.9 | 100 | $100,000 | ||
| March 18 | 6:25 AM CDT | EF1 | Bay, FL | 0.4 | 50 | $50,000 | ||
| March 18 | 7:44 AM EDT | EF0 | Early, GA | 3.1 | 50 | |||
| March 18 | 8:40 AM EDT | EF0 | Liberty, FL | 0.0 | 25 | |||
| March 18 | 8:49 AM EDT | EF1 | Terrell, GA | 4.0 | 200 | $20,000 | ||
| March 18 | 9:06 AM EDT | EF1 | Lee, GA | 10.4 | 50 | $250,000 | ||
| March 18 | 1:38 PM EDT | EF0 | Pierce, GA | 0.1 | 5 | |||
| March 18 | 2:46 PM EDT | EF0 | Gilchrist, FL | 12.5 | 100 | |||
| March 18 | 5:01 PM EDT | EF1 | Guilford, NC | 2.6 | 500 | $500,000 | ||
| March 18 | 5:38 PM EDT | EF1 | Alamance, NC | 2.5 | 200 | $1.0 million | ||
| March 18 | 9:27 PM EDT | EF0 | Isle of Wight, VA | 4.2 | 150 | $100,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.