Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2011
EF1 tornado, Kipps to Craigsville, New York, July 29, 2011
From Kipps to Craigsville, this EF1 tornado ran 4.7 miles across Orange County on July 29, 2011, touching down at 4:57 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- July 29, 2011
- Touchdown
- 4:57 PM EDT (20:57 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:15 PM EDT (21:15 UTC)
- On the ground
- 18 minutes
- Path length
- 4.7 miles (7.5 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $50,000
- County
- Orange County
- Touchdown point
- 41.404, -74.292
- Lift-off point
- 41.370, -74.215
- Record number
- 1107291457-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A passing pre-frontal trough and cold front, coupled with a mid level disturbance, produced severe thunderstorms across Southeast New York. The largest impact was across the Lower Hudson Valley, where there was at least one supercell, which produced a tornado in Orange County, and caused a microburst in Westchester County.
Based on a storm survey performed by the National Weather Service, radar signatures, and eyewitness reports, the National Weather Service confirmed an EF-1 tornado that ran from Goshen to Blooming Grove NY, on Friday July 29th.|The tornado touched down near 109 Coleman Road and lifted near 600 Craigsville Road in Goshen, then skipped along near Craigsville Road, before finally lifting near 379 Prospect Road in Blooming Grove. All along this path, trees converged into a well-defined narrow path. The most significant property damage occurred on Hasbrouck Road in Goshen, where 2 houses directly across the street from one another - 101 and 110 Hasbrouck - were impacted. At 101 Hasbrouck Road, roof shingles were torn off, skylight windows were blown in with glass shattering, and debris was embedded all along the sides of the house including a small branch that went right through a gutter. At 110 Hasbrouck Road, trees were draped all over the house with minor structural damage.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
3 minutes of warning. NWS OKX issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:54 UTC, 3 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 21:30 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:41 UTC and running to 21:10 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:41 UTC | 21:10 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | OKX |
| 20:32 UTC | 21:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX |
| 20:54 UTC | 21:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | OKX |
| 21:10 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | OKX |
| 21:22 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | OKX |
| 21:34 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX |
| 22:16 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX |
| 22:49 UTC | 23:16 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OKX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:59 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 12:00Z
9.0 hours before the tornado, 130 km from the path. July 29, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 81 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -109 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 91 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 569 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 26 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 8 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 19 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.9 K/km
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 00:00Z
3.0 hours after it, 130 km from the path. July 30, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 863 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 682 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 499 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 206 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 354 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 7.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.7 K/km
The surface observations
Orange County Airport (MGJ), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:54 UTC | 82 | 74 | 170° 8 kt | 1010.5 | ||
| 20:33 UTC | 78.8 | 75.2 | 130° 3 kt | 1010.2 | RA BR | |
| 20:46 UTC | 78.8 | 75.2 | 70° 7 kt | 1009.8 | TSRA BR | |
| 20:50 UTC | 78.8 | 75.2 | 40° 10 kt | 1010.2 | +TSRA BR | |
| 20:54 UTC | 77 | 76 | 360° 14 kt | 1010.5 | +TSRA BR | |
| 21:09 UTC | 75.2 | 75.2 | 130° 15 kt | 25 | 1009.1 | +TSRA |
| 21:16 UTC | 75.2 | 75.2 | 4 kt | 25 | 1010.2 | TSRA BR |
| 21:21 UTC | 77 | 75.2 | 210° 8 kt | 1010.2 | TSRA BR | |
| 21:54 UTC | 74 | 72 | 310° 4 kt | 1009.8 | VCTS -RA | |
| 22:13 UTC | 73.4 | 73.4 | 140° 4 kt | 1009.5 | +TSRA BR | |
| 22:17 UTC | 73.4 | 73.4 | 230° 5 kt | 1010.2 | +TSRA BR | |
| 22:26 UTC | 73.4 | 73.4 | 60° 5 kt | 1009.8 | +TSRA BR | |
| 22:31 UTC | 73.4 | 73.4 | 0° 0 kt | 1009.8 | +TSRA BR | |
| 22:35 UTC | 73.4 | 73.4 | 6 kt | 1009.8 | -TSRA BR | |
| 22:50 UTC | 75.2 | 73.4 | 170° 7 kt | 1009.8 | ||
| 22:54 UTC | 75 | 74 | 170° 7 kt | 1009.8 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 130 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:57 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:53 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Nnw Scotchtown | Orange, NY | LARGE TREE DOWN AT INTERSECTION OF JOHNS ROAD AND HOWARD DRIVE. |
| 20:59 UTC | TORNADO | Goshen | Orange, NY | EF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED BY NWS SURVEY TEAM. WINDS ESTIMATED BETWEEN 90-100 MPH. |
| 21:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Goshen | Orange, NY | ENTIRE ROOF OFF OF HOUSE IN GOSHEN. |
| 21:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Goshen | Orange, NY | TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES IN GOSHEN. |
| 21:20 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | Blooming Grove | Orange, NY | HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL IN BLOOMING GROVE. |
| 21:25 UTC | HAIL 1 | Blooming Grove | Orange, NY | QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN BLOOMING GROVE. |
| 21:57 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Haverstraw | Rockland, NY | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED AT RAILROAD AVENUE AND ROUTE 9W. |
| 21:57 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Haverstraw | Rockland, NY | FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED AT RAILROAD AVENUE AND ROUTE 9W. |
| 22:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Goshen | Orange, NY | ENTIRE ROOF OFF OF HOUSE IN GOSHEN. |
| 22:04 UTC | DOWNBURST 80 | Ossining | Westchester, NY | MICROBURST BEGAN ON THE CROTON RIVER ALONG ROUTE 9 AND SPREAD SOUTHEAST INTO CENTRAL OSSINIING CAUSING SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE ON CEDAR LANE TERRACE AND MEADOWBROOK DRIVE. |
| 22:25 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Elmsford | Westchester, NY | NUMEROUS TREES AND WIRES DOWN. |
| 22:29 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | White Plains | Westchester, NY | TREE DOWN IN WHITE PLAINS... TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 29, 2011
5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.