Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2002

F1 tornado, Whaley Lake, New York, May 31, 2002

This F1 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Dutchess County on May 31, 2002, touching down at 7:03 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $40,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F1
Date
May 31, 2002
Touchdown
7:03 PM EDT (23:03 UTC)
Path length
0.5 miles (0.8 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$40,000
County
Dutchess County
Touchdown point
41.550, -73.670
Lift-off point
41.550, -73.670
Record number
679

What the Weather Service recorded

During Friday afternoon and early evening of May 31, a strong cold front clashed with a very unstable air mass across eastern New York State. In addition, there were strong and divergent winds aloft. All of these parameters set the stage for the largest widespread severe event in eastern New York State in exactly four years. Including adjacent New England, 42 warnings were issued from the Albany office, and nearly as many severe events took place. While most of the events were strong winds associated with the thunderstorms, large hail was reported and two tornados confirmed by a National Weather Service Team. A line of thunderstorms first entered Herkimer County, where numerous trees fell in the town of Ilion. Then, the first of two seperate tornados briefly touched down in Johnstown, Fulton County. That tornado was ranked as a F1 on the Fujita scale with top winds estimated around 100 mph, a width of 25 yards and a path length of about a tenth of a mile. The tornado damaged an old movie theater in that town by tearing the roof off and blowing out the supporting back brick wall. The debris was thrown up to a third of a mile away. Thunderstorm downburst winds also toppled 2/3 of WENT radio's tower and destroyed a wide swath of trees, 8-18 inches in diameter, from about a 1/2 mile southeast of Johnstown to about 1/2 of a mile across Route 30A. Many roads were temporarily closed in and around Johnstown as the result of downed and uprooted trees and large limbs. As the line of storms progressed to the east, minor to moderate wind damage, mainly downed trees and power lines, were noted at various places in Albany, Washington,Warren, Saratoga Schenectady, Schoharie, Columbia, Montgomery, and Rensselaer, Counties. In Dutchess County, in addition to scattered downed trees and wires countywide, a car was crushed by a tree near Poughkeepsie. Ulster County was especially hard hit, with trees and power lines reported down countywide. The second confirmed tornado touched down at Whaley Lake in southeast Dutchess County. This tornado was also ranked between an F0/F1 on the Fujita scale with winds estimated around 75 mph and witnessed by a skywarn spotter. This tornado was about 100 yards wide and had a length of approximately half a mile. Damage was mainly confined to many downed and twisted trees, but one large tree did fall on a small house near the lake and damaged the roof. The tree size ranged between 8 and 24 inches in diameter. Dime-size hail was first reported in Johnstown, Fulton County from a second distinct thunderstorm cell. Hail, as large as 1.75 inches fell in New Paltz, Ulster County . In Dutchess County, dime-size hail fell at Salt Point, while one inch hail was reported at Wingdale (very close to the tornado touchdown) and 1.25 inch hail was noted in Poughkeepsie. One and three quarter inch size hail was reported. The thunderstorms knocked out power to about 9,000 customers in eastern New York, with nearly a third of these in the Mohawk Valley. Despite all the severe weather, no weather-related casualities were reported to the National Weather Service.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

4 minutes of warning. NWS ALY issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:59 UTC, 4 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:30 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:59 UTC19:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY
19:00 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY
20:59 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY
22:34 UTC23:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningALY
22:59 UTC23:30 UTCTornado WarningALY

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:16 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 12:00Z

11.1 hours before the tornado, 102 km from the path. May 31, 2002.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2002-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 5 joules per kilogram, CIN -130, lifted condensation level 663 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2002-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 45 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 21 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
663 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
45 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 00:00Z

0.9 hours after it, 102 km from the path. June 1, 2002.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2002-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 817 joules per kilogram, CIN -116, lifted condensation level 962 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2002-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 208 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
817 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Surface CAPE
113 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
962 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
208 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
282 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.7
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Poughkeepsie (POU), 20 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:53 UTC8263250° 7 kt17998.6-TSRA
22:45 UTC280° 8 kt

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:03 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2002 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 31, 2002

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 311:55 PM EDTF1Fulton, NY0.125$200,000
May 313:45 PM EDTF1Tioga, NY6.01,0007$600,000
May 313:55 PM EDTF0Broome, NY0.375$10,000
May 314:10 PM EDTF0Broome, NY0.7100$10,000
May 314:30 PM EDTF1Oxford, ME2.1125
May 314:46 PM EDTF0Otsego, NY3.0150$10,000
May 314:00 PM CDTF1Wayne, NY to PA1.53001$20,000
May 316:55 PM EDTF0Glades, FL0.515$30,000
May 317:24 PM EDTF1Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT0.575
May 317:40 PM EDTF0South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT0.210

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.