Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2021
EF0 tornado, Arabela, New Mexico, May 28, 2021
This EF0 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Lincoln County on May 28, 2021, touching down at 5:36 PM MDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- May 28, 2021
- Touchdown
- 5:36 PM MDT (23:36 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:38 PM MDT (23:38 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 0.5 miles (0.8 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Lincoln County
- Touchdown point
- 33.710, -105.110
- Lift-off point
- 33.706, -105.103
- Record number
- 2105281736-01
The damage survey
1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ABQ, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry.
- Several storm chasers on the storm but only one reported seeing a tornado. Social media pics showed a lot of scud so skeptical of this report. No damage reported. New social media info shows more evidence supporting tornado. https://twitter.com/SteigerScott/status/1398493669397696512
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A backdoor cold front tracked south and west through New Mexico early on May 28, 2021, which reinforced low-level moisture across much of eastern and central portions of the state. Upslope flow aided in the early onset of afternoon thunderstorms across the higher terrain, and these thunderstorms then tracked east to southeast onto the plains. With plenty of instability and shear, these storms quickly intensified through the afternoon and evening hours. Large hail was the main hazard with numerous reports of hail ranging from 2 to 3 inches. A variety of weather hazards particularly impacted southeast New Mexico with large hail and severe winds resulting in property damage and minor street flooding in Portales and Clovis disrupting traffic. A couple tornadoes and landspouts were also reported, but did not do any damage.
A storm chaser reported a tornado moving southeast from a severe thunderstorm north-northeast of Arabela. No damage was reported.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
17 minutes of warning. NWS ABQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:19 UTC, 17 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:00 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 19:45 UTC and running to 02:13 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 UTC | 02:13 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | ABQ |
| 22:04 UTC | 22:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 22:43 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 23:13 UTC | 00:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 23:19 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 23:45 UTC | 00:32 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 00:11 UTC | 00:23 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 00:35 UTC | 01:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), 12:00Z
11.6 hours before the tornado, 203 km from the path. May 28, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 269 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -257 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 739 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2515 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 83 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 88 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.8 K/km
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), 00:00Z
0.4 hours after it, 203 km from the path. May 29, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 13 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -49 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 115 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4307 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 28 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 4 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 85 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 10.2 K/km
The radar
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 117 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:38 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:12 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | 19 Se Corona | Lincoln, NM | |
| 23:36 UTC | TORNADO | 9 Nne Arabela | Lincoln, NM | |
| 00:05 UTC | HAIL 2 | 5 N Arabela | Lincoln, NM | |
| 00:25 UTC | HAIL 1 | 7 W Roswell | Chaves, NM | PARTIALLY COVERED HIGHWAY 380. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 28, 2021
8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28 | 2:53 AM CDT | EF1 | Webster Parish, LA | 2.5 | 300 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 28 | 12:57 PM CDT | EF0 | Putnam, TN | 12.8 | 150 | $50,000 | ||
| May 28 | 1:13 PM CDT | EF0 | Overton, TN | 1.0 | 50 | 2 | $10,000 | |
| May 28 | 2:54 PM CDT | Unrated | Brewster, TX | 1.1 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 2:01 PM MDT | EF0 | Colfax, NM | 0.5 | 30 | |||
| May 28 | 2:01 PM MDT | EF0 | Colfax, NM | 0.6 | 60 | |||
| May 28 | 7:58 PM EDT | EF0 | Westmoreland, VA | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| May 28 | 7:31 PM CDT | EF0 | Bastrop, TX | 1.4 | 50 | $5,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.