Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2016
EF0 tornado, Tolar to Floyd, New Mexico, September 15, 2016
From Tolar to Floyd, this EF0 tornado ran 3.1 miles across Roosevelt County on September 15, 2016, touching down at 12:07 AM MDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- September 15, 2016
- Touchdown
- 12:07 AM MDT (06:07 UTC)
- Lifted
- 12:30 AM MDT (06:30 UTC)
- On the ground
- 23 minutes
- Path length
- 3.1 miles (5.1 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Roosevelt County
- Touchdown point
- 34.325, -103.823
- Lift-off point
- 34.297, -103.780
- Record number
- 1609150007-01
What the Weather Service recorded
The upper level trough responsible for severe weather across the area on the 14th continued to impact New Mexico through the 15th. Abundant moisture and instability associated with southeasterly upslope flow and strong upper level dynamics generated an extended period of severe weather across the eastern plains. Severe thunderstorms from late on the 14th persisted past midnight before diminishing before sunrise. A powerful storm that moved south of Melrose just after midnight produced one of the best radar signatures of a tornado forecasters have ever observed in eastern New Mexico. A nearby resident reported a loud roaring sound in the distance. A persistent storm with torrential rainfall amounts over four inches in eastern San Miguel County produced flash flooding along Atarque Creek through sunrise. Storms fired up quickly again by late morning and moved east across the plains. A funnel cloud was observed just after the noon hour near Vaughn. Another storm that moved east across Lincoln County dumped nickel to quarter size hail in the area around Tinnie, Picacho, and Dunken. A tornado and golf ball size hail was then spotted from this storm over rural ranch lands to the northeast of Dunken. Many other storms that impacted eastern New Mexico generated hail, torrential rainfall, and gusty winds throughout the afternoon.
A nearby resident reported a loud, distant roaring sound over the Melrose Bombing Range where radar indicated very intense rotation. A storm survey of this extremely remote location later revealed a 2000 pound mobile office trailer that was bolted and strapped down was lifted and moved eight to ten inches.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
0 minutes of warning. NWS ABQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 06:07 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:30 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04:07 UTC | 04:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 04:29 UTC | 05:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 05:07 UTC | 05:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 05:50 UTC | 06:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 06:07 UTC | 06:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 06:29 UTC | 07:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 06:32 UTC | 07:02 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 06:43 UTC | 08:45 UTC | Flood Advisory | ABQ |
| 07:13 UTC | 08:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 18:45 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | ABQ |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 00:00Z
6.1 hours before the tornado, 217 km from the path. September 15, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 661 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -104 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1566 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 867 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 56 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 79 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 12:00Z
5.9 hours after it, 217 km from the path. September 15, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1338 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -82 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1757 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 723 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 115 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.7
- Supercell composite
- 5.4
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.6 K/km
The surface observations
Melrose Gunary Ran (4MR), 1 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:31 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 120° 9 kt | 1022.7 | ||
| 04:58 UTC | 67 | 65.84 | 130° 15 kt | 19 | 1022.4 | |
| 05:18 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 130° 17 kt | 23 | 1021.7 | -TSRA |
| 05:23 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 140° 16 kt | 23 | 1022 | -TSRA |
| 05:28 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 140° 16 kt | 23 | 1022 | TSRA |
| 05:48 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 140° 19 kt | 23 | 1022 | TSRA |
| 05:58 UTC | 67.64 | 65.12 | 130° 22 kt | 31 | 1021.3 | TSRA |
| 06:08 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 140° 19 kt | 30 | 1021.3 | -TSRA |
| 06:24 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 220° 19 kt | 33 | 1023 | TS |
| 06:28 UTC | 66.2 | 59 | 200° 21 kt | 33 | 1022.7 | -TSRA |
| 06:31 UTC | 64.4 | 59 | 80° 10 kt | 33 | 1022.7 | +TSRA |
| 06:35 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 360° 23 kt | 40 | 1023 | +TSRA |
| 06:45 UTC | 59 | 59 | 260° 8 kt | 38 | 1023.7 | +TSRA |
| 06:49 UTC | 60.8 | 60.8 | 160° 13 kt | 27 | 1023 | TSRA |
| 06:51 UTC | 60.8 | 100° 11 kt | 25 | 1023 | TSRA | |
| 06:58 UTC | 66 | 58.28 | 60° 21 kt | 31 | 1023 | TSRA |
| 07:08 UTC | 62.6 | 55.4 | 70° 20 kt | 35 | 1022.4 | -TSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 40 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:08 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04:15 UTC | HAIL 1 | 4 E Fort Sumner | De Baca, NM | |
| 04:17 UTC | HAIL 1 | 9 Sse Fort Sumner | De Baca, NM |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of September 15, 2016
4 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 15 | 11:47 AM MDT | EF0 | Guadalupe, NM | 1.4 | 50 | |||
| September 15 | 2:10 PM MDT | EF0 | Chaves, NM | 4.7 | 50 | |||
| September 15 | 5:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Washington, NE | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| September 15 | 4:06 PM MDT | EF0 | Eddy, NM | 4.0 | 300 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.