Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2016

EF0 tornado, Tolar to Floyd, New Mexico, September 15, 2016

From Tolar to Floyd, this EF0 tornado ran 3.1 miles across Roosevelt County on September 15, 2016, touching down at 12:07 AM MDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
September 15, 2016
Touchdown
12:07 AM MDT (06:07 UTC)
Lifted
12:30 AM MDT (06:30 UTC)
On the ground
23 minutes
Path length
3.1 miles (5.1 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Roosevelt County
Touchdown point
34.325, -103.823
Lift-off point
34.297, -103.780
Record number
1609150007-01

What the Weather Service recorded

The upper level trough responsible for severe weather across the area on the 14th continued to impact New Mexico through the 15th. Abundant moisture and instability associated with southeasterly upslope flow and strong upper level dynamics generated an extended period of severe weather across the eastern plains. Severe thunderstorms from late on the 14th persisted past midnight before diminishing before sunrise. A powerful storm that moved south of Melrose just after midnight produced one of the best radar signatures of a tornado forecasters have ever observed in eastern New Mexico. A nearby resident reported a loud roaring sound in the distance. A persistent storm with torrential rainfall amounts over four inches in eastern San Miguel County produced flash flooding along Atarque Creek through sunrise. Storms fired up quickly again by late morning and moved east across the plains. A funnel cloud was observed just after the noon hour near Vaughn. Another storm that moved east across Lincoln County dumped nickel to quarter size hail in the area around Tinnie, Picacho, and Dunken. A tornado and golf ball size hail was then spotted from this storm over rural ranch lands to the northeast of Dunken. Many other storms that impacted eastern New Mexico generated hail, torrential rainfall, and gusty winds throughout the afternoon.

A nearby resident reported a loud, distant roaring sound over the Melrose Bombing Range where radar indicated very intense rotation. A storm survey of this extremely remote location later revealed a 2000 pound mobile office trailer that was bolted and strapped down was lifted and moved eight to ten inches.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

0 minutes of warning. NWS ABQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 06:07 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:30 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
04:07 UTC04:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
04:29 UTC05:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
05:07 UTC05:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
05:50 UTC06:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
06:07 UTC06:30 UTCTornado WarningABQ
06:29 UTC07:00 UTCTornado WarningABQ
06:32 UTC07:02 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
06:43 UTC08:45 UTCFlood AdvisoryABQ
07:13 UTC08:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningABQ
18:45 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchABQ

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 00:00Z

6.1 hours before the tornado, 217 km from the path. September 15, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 661 joules per kilogram, CIN -104, lifted condensation level 867 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
661 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1566 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
867 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 12:00Z

5.9 hours after it, 217 km from the path. September 15, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1338 joules per kilogram, CIN -82, lifted condensation level 723 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2016-09-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 115 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 46 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1338 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1757 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
115 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
5.4
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Melrose Gunary Ran (4MR), 1 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
04:31 UTC66.266.2120° 9 kt1022.7
04:58 UTC6765.84130° 15 kt191022.4
05:18 UTC6866.2130° 17 kt231021.7-TSRA
05:23 UTC6866.2140° 16 kt231022-TSRA
05:28 UTC6866.2140° 16 kt231022TSRA
05:48 UTC6866.2140° 19 kt231022TSRA
05:58 UTC67.6465.12130° 22 kt311021.3TSRA
06:08 UTC6864.4140° 19 kt301021.3-TSRA
06:24 UTC6864.4220° 19 kt331023TS
06:28 UTC66.259200° 21 kt331022.7-TSRA
06:31 UTC64.45980° 10 kt331022.7+TSRA
06:35 UTC62.659360° 23 kt401023+TSRA
06:45 UTC5959260° 8 kt381023.7+TSRA
06:49 UTC60.860.8160° 13 kt271023TSRA
06:51 UTC60.8100° 11 kt251023TSRA
06:58 UTC6658.2860° 21 kt311023TSRA
07:08 UTC62.655.470° 20 kt351022.4-TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 40 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:08 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
04:15 UTCHAIL 14 E Fort SumnerDe Baca, NM
04:17 UTCHAIL 19 Sse Fort SumnerDe Baca, NM

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 15, 2016

4 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 1511:47 AM MDTEF0Guadalupe, NM1.450
September 152:10 PM MDTEF0Chaves, NM4.750
September 155:00 PM CDTEF0Washington, NE0.110
September 154:06 PM MDTEF0Eddy, NM4.0300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.