Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2016
EF0 tornado, Flying H Ranch, New Mexico, September 15, 2016
This EF0 tornado ran 4.7 miles across Chaves County on September 15, 2016, touching down at 2:10 PM MDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- September 15, 2016
- Touchdown
- 2:10 PM MDT (20:10 UTC)
- Lifted
- 2:30 PM MDT (20:30 UTC)
- On the ground
- 20 minutes
- Path length
- 4.7 miles (7.6 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Chaves County
- Touchdown point
- 32.896, -105.069
- Lift-off point
- 32.880, -104.990
- Record number
- 1609151410-01
What the Weather Service recorded
The upper level trough responsible for severe weather across the area on the 14th continued to impact New Mexico through the 15th. Abundant moisture and instability associated with southeasterly upslope flow and strong upper level dynamics generated an extended period of severe weather across the eastern plains. Severe thunderstorms from late on the 14th persisted past midnight before diminishing before sunrise. A powerful storm that moved south of Melrose just after midnight produced one of the best radar signatures of a tornado forecasters have ever observed in eastern New Mexico. A nearby resident reported a loud roaring sound in the distance. A persistent storm with torrential rainfall amounts over four inches in eastern San Miguel County produced flash flooding along Atarque Creek through sunrise. Storms fired up quickly again by late morning and moved east across the plains. A funnel cloud was observed just after the noon hour near Vaughn. Another storm that moved east across Lincoln County dumped nickel to quarter size hail in the area around Tinnie, Picacho, and Dunken. A tornado and golf ball size hail was then spotted from this storm over rural ranch lands to the northeast of Dunken. Many other storms that impacted eastern New Mexico generated hail, torrential rainfall, and gusty winds throughout the afternoon.
Public reported a tornado on the ground just north of U.S. Highway 82 near Picacho Road. No damage observed.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
18 minutes of warning. NWS ABQ issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:52 UTC, 18 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:15 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:45 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:45 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | ABQ |
| 18:52 UTC | 19:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 19:17 UTC | 20:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 19:44 UTC | 20:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 19:52 UTC | 20:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 20:00 UTC | 20:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 20:04 UTC | 20:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 20:29 UTC | 21:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 20:37 UTC | 21:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | ABQ |
| 20:59 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | ABQ |
| 22:13 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 22:49 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 23:19 UTC | 23:34 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 00:36 UTC | 01:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
| 01:28 UTC | 01:46 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:49 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), 12:00Z
8.2 hours before the tornado, 193 km from the path. September 15, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 882 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -118 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1091 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1781 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 111 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 159 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.3 K/km
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), 00:00Z
3.8 hours after it, 193 km from the path. September 16, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 164 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 544 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 3134 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 5 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 27 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 98 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 9.9 K/km
The radar
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:11 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:36 UTC | HAIL 1 | 20 N Dunken | Chaves, NM | QUARTER SIZE HAIL 20 MILES N OF DUNKEN. |
| 19:42 UTC | HAIL 1 | 7 Ne Picacho | Lincoln, NM | |
| 20:15 UTC | TORNADO | 13 Ene Dunken | Chaves, NM | CHRIS HOLM OF ROSWELL REPORTED A TORNADO JUST NW OF US. 82 5 MILES W OF CTY ROAD 13. ... TORNADO START TIME 0210 0230 |
| 21:00 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 16 Ne Dunken | Chaves, NM | GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW FUNNEL CLOUDS. |
| 22:00 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 W Hope | Eddy, NM | FUNNEL CLOUD NOT REACHING THE GROUND, BUT BECOMING CLOSER AS THEY REPORT IT ON THE PHONE. |
| 22:06 UTC | TORNADO | 1 W Hope | Eddy, NM | |
| 22:30 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 10 W Artesia | Eddy, NM | DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED. |
| 22:40 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Atoka | Eddy, NM | LASTED 15 MINUTES AND BROKE SKYLIGHTS AND SIDE MIRRORS ON VEHICLES. |
| 23:00 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 16 Ne Dunken | Chaves, NM | 575-484-3268. NICKEL SIZE HAIL. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of September 15, 2016
4 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 15 | 12:07 AM MDT | EF0 | Roosevelt, NM | 3.1 | 50 | |||
| September 15 | 11:47 AM MDT | EF0 | Guadalupe, NM | 1.4 | 50 | |||
| September 15 | 5:00 PM CDT | EF0 | Washington, NE | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| September 15 | 4:06 PM MDT | EF0 | Eddy, NM | 4.0 | 300 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.