Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2018

EF1 tornado, Arborville, Nebraska, August 6, 2018

This EF1 tornado ran 1.6 miles across York County on August 6, 2018, touching down at 7:43 PM CDT and reaching 125 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $25,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
August 6, 2018
Touchdown
7:43 PM CDT (00:43 UTC)
Lifted
7:47 PM CDT (00:47 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
1.6 miles (2.6 km)
Path width
125 yards (114 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$25,000
Crop damage
$1,000,000
County
York County
Touchdown point
40.993, -97.770
Lift-off point
40.984, -97.742
Record number
1808061843-01

The damage survey

20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.

  • 2 grain bins. blown southeast
  • Two grains bins blown with the wind.
  • End boom of pivot overturned. Grain bin blown in from northwest.
  • End Boom overturned on pivot. Grain blown from upstream.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

This Monday evening got somewhat more active than anticipated, as a pair of supercell storms affected mainly the northeast quadrant of South Central Nebraska, resulting in several reports of large hail (up to 2 diameter), damaging winds (up to around 75 MPH), and even one EF-1 tornado. This tornado (spawned by the eastern supercell) touched down in northwestern York County around 7:45 p.m. CDT and tracked east-southeast for less than 2 miles, causing minor damage to a home while also damaging several grain bins and snapping a few large trees. The largest hail reports (2) originated from the Bradshaw and Alda areas. In addition, golf ball size hail occurred near Benedict and Waco, and much of the city of York saw a few minutes of hail to at least half dollar size. As for thunderstorm winds, the highest measured gust was 60 MPH at the York airport. However, especially the eastern supercell produced a concentrated swath of damaging winds, estimated to around 75 MPH in some places. Crop damage (from a combo of both hail/wind) was extensive along this storm's track from central Merrick County into northeastern Hamilton County and northwestern-through-east-central York County. ||Taking a closer look at event evolution/timing, a smattering of weak, elevated storms got underway as early as early-mid afternoon across various parts of the 24-county area, producing little more than brief downpours and small hail. By late afternoon, another round of fairly weak storms flared up within counties mainly north of Interstate 80. However, between 6:30-8:30 p.m. CDT, the situation escalated as one of these initially-weak storms rapidly became severe over Howard County, becoming a legitimate supercell as it tracked east-southeast through parts of Merrick-northeastern Hamilton and York counties. This storm yielded the majority of local severe weather reports/damage (including the York County tornado), before exiting into eastern Nebraska shortly after 8:30 p.m. CDT. Meanwhile, back to the west, another supercell initiated over far northeastern Buffalo County around 8 p.m. CDT. Like its predecessor, it also tracked east-southeast for a few hours, producing large hail in the Alda and Stockham areas before weakening over northern Fillmore County around 10 p.m. CDT. Thereafter, non-severe storms continued percolating well into the night within areas mainly south of Interstate 80 and east of Highway 281, with all of South Central Nebraska finally storm-free by 3 a.m. CDT on the 7th. ||In hindsight, this was actually a decent setup for supercell storm development. However, right up until the early evening hours, locations as far north as Merrick/York counties seemed somewhat unfavorable for higher-end severe potential, especially given that the primary west-east oriented surface front resided well to the south over northern Kansas. However, even in the post-frontal airmass over South Central Nebraska, the combo of afternoon high temperatures into the 80s F and dewpoints in the upper 60s-low 70s F promoted mixed-layer CAPE around 2000 J/kg. This healthy instability, in tandem with seasonably-strong deep-layer wind shear of 40-50 knots and modest forcing provided by a shortwave trough invading from the northwest, proved plenty-sufficient to support a few supercells.

This brief EF-1 tornado occurred in northwest York County, causing damage approximately 7 miles north of Bradshaw. A home was damaged, mainly to soffits and garage doors, and there was also some roof damage. Grain bins were damaged along with several trees. Some larger cedar trees were snapped 2-3 feet above ground. Two irrigation pivots were damaged along the path. Peak winds were estimated to be 90 MPH.||This tornado was associated with a supercell and a much larger scale wind and hail event in the region. There were numerous irrigation pivots overturned or damaged, and crop damage was widespread, especially around and just to the east of the tornado path. Some soybean fields were stripped and beat to the ground, and corn fields were cut down by the wind and hail to only three feet tall in spots.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:25 UTC01:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
01:04 UTC03:43 UTCFlood AdvisoryGID
01:13 UTC01:30 UTCTornado WarningGID
02:29 UTC03:01 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
03:57 UTC04:23 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 19:52 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

0.7 hours before the tornado, 122 km from the path. August 7, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2018-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1787 joules per kilogram, CIN -23, lifted condensation level 857 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2018-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1787 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-23 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2451 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

11.3 hours after it, 122 km from the path. August 7, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-08-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 939 joules per kilogram, CIN -3, lifted condensation level 535 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2018-08-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
939 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1525 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
535 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
3 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.7
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:42 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:02 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 S ArcherMerrick, NEREPORTED AT 970 ARCHER RD, NE LARGE TREE LIMBS DOWN.
00:02 UTCHAIL 1.754 S ArcherMerrick, NEREPORTED AT 970 ARCHER RD, NE.
00:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentral CityMerrick, NECORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM CENTRAL CITY, BASED ON RADAR DATA. STRONG WINDS OBSERVED, LIMBS DOWN.
00:25 UTCHAIL 13 S Central CityHamilton, NECORRECTS TIME OF PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 3 S CENTRAL CITY.
00:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 S HordvilleHamilton, NEPHOTOS POSTED ON TWITTER BY LOCAL NEWSPAPER SHOW DESTROYED EMPTY GRAIN BINS AND CONSIDERABLE CROP DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DATA.
00:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentral CityMerrick, NESTRONG WINDS OBSERVED, LIMBS DOWN.
00:36 UTCHAIL 13 S Central CityHamilton, NE
00:43 UTCTORNADO6 S PolkYork, NEA BRIEF EF1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN NW YORK COUNTY ON MONDAY AUGUST 6 AT 743 PM CDT. THE TORNADO HAD A PATH OF ABOUT 1.6 MILES AND WAS ROUGHLY 125 YDS AT ITS WIDEST POINT. PEAK WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 90 MPH. TIME WAS DE
00:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 S PolkYork, NEADDITIONAL DETAILS FOR PREVIOUSLY-ISSUED LSR. DAMAGE TO A RESIDENCE AT ROAD 21 AND ROAD E. TREES AND POLES BLOWN OVER AND GRAIN BINS DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO HOME INCLUDED GARAGE DOORS BULGED OUTWARD AND CONSIDERABLE SOFFIT
00:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 S PolkYork, NELARGE LIMBS DOWN, STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A SHED.
00:55 UTCHAIL 24 Nne BradshawYork, NEDELAYED REPORT FROM LAST NIGHT. ROUGHLY 15 MINUTES OF HAIL BEGINNING AROUND 740 PM. STARTED AS QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE, BUT ENDED AT LEAST 2 IN DIAMETER.
00:57 UTCHAIL 1.751 Ese BenedictYork, NE
01:00 UTCHAIL 1.75WacoYork, NE
01:05 UTCHAIL 1.251 Sse YorkYork, NE
01:05 UTCHAIL 1.253 N YorkYork, NE
01:08 UTCHAIL 1.252 Nne YorkYork, NE
01:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 60York AirportYork, NE
01:23 UTCHAIL 1.5UticaSeward, NEHAIL BROKE WINDOWS AND PUT HOLES IN SIDING IN HOMES.
01:25 UTCHAIL 1.25UticaSeward, NETREES, CORN, AND SOYBEANS STRIPPED OF LEAVES. HAIL DRIFTS IN THE STREET.
01:25 UTCHAIL 1.25UticaSeward, NE
01:43 UTCHAIL 1.52 Se TamoraSeward, NE
02:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.25UticaSeward, NE
02:30 UTCHAIL 13 W StockhamHamilton, NE
02:43 UTCHAIL 14 Ese StockhamClay, NE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of August 6, 2018

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
August 67:12 PM EDTEF0Sanilac, MI0.225
August 68:27 PM EDTEF1Kosciusko, IN4.050

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.