Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2014
EF1 tornado, Elberon to Paul, Nebraska, September 9, 2014
From Elberon to Paul, this EF1 tornado ran 7.7 miles across Otoe County on September 9, 2014, touching down at 4:29 PM CDT and reaching 965 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- September 9, 2014
- Touchdown
- 4:29 PM CDT (21:29 UTC)
- Lifted
- 4:51 PM CDT (21:51 UTC)
- On the ground
- 22 minutes
- Path length
- 7.7 miles (12.4 km)
- Path width
- 965 yards (882 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $50,000
- Crop damage
- $100,000
- County
- Otoe County
- Touchdown point
- 40.624, -95.988
- Lift-off point
- 40.595, -95.841
- Record number
- 1409091529-01
The damage survey
52 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 108 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A surface warm front extending west to east across northern Kansas the afternoon of September 9th slowly moved north into southeastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Surface based storms developed along and just north of this front, and quickly became supercellular. One HP supercell developed over Otoe county produced an EF1 tornado. Elevated storms formed during the afternoon well north of the surface boundary on the leading edge of an 850 mb front. This was ahead of a strong shortwave moving into the central plains. A moisture rich environment led to very heavy rain with several reports of flash flooding.
The tornado developed from a slow moving supercell across rural Otoe County. The tornado initially developed near County Road 50, and between County Road M and L. Initial damage was mainly to crops and snapped tree limbs. The slow-moving tornado traveled generally east southeast exhibiting a slightly erratic path through rural Otoe County. The tornado impacted a couple of farmsteads along County Road 56, and also along County Road M. At these locations outbuildings were damaged or destroyed, as well as considerable tree damage. The tornado cross U.S. Highway 75 at the intersection of Nebraska Highway 128 where tree and power line damage occurred. The tornado continued east along Highway 128 continuing to do tree and crop damage for 1 mile before dissipating.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:34 UTC and running to 01:28 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:34 UTC | 01:28 UTC | Tornado Watch | OAX |
| 21:05 UTC | 21:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 21:23 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 21:34 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | OAX |
| 21:56 UTC | 22:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX |
| 22:33 UTC | 01:30 UTC | Flood Advisory | OAX |
| 00:00 UTC | 05:32 UTC | Flash Flood Watch | OAX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:53 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z
9.5 hours before the tornado, 88 km from the path. September 9, 2014.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1246 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -266 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 748 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1436 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 4 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.8 K/km
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z
2.5 hours after it, 88 km from the path. September 10, 2014.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 81 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -243 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 212 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 845 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 12 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 117 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 594 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.4 K/km
The surface observations
Nebraska City (AFK), 4 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:35 UTC | 76.64 | 72.14 | 50° 7 kt | 1006.4 | ||
| 19:55 UTC | 77.18 | 72.5 | 70° 6 kt | 1006.1 | ||
| 20:15 UTC | 76.64 | 72.68 | 70° 5 kt | 1005.8 | ||
| 20:35 UTC | 76.46 | 73.4 | 90° 8 kt | 1004.7 | -VCTSRA | |
| 20:55 UTC | 77.36 | 73.76 | 110° 8 kt | 1003.7 | ||
| 21:15 UTC | 77 | 73.58 | 90° 9 kt | 1003 | TS BR | |
| 21:35 UTC | 76 | 75.74 | 50° 21 kt | 24 | 1001.7 | -TSRA |
| 21:55 UTC | 72.68 | 72.68 | 10° 20 kt | 41 | 1004.1 | +TSRA |
| 22:15 UTC | 70.88 | 70.88 | 50° 23 kt | 31 | 1003.4 | +TSRA |
| 22:35 UTC | 69.8 | 69.8 | 60° 12 kt | 29 | 1004.1 | +VCTSRA |
| 22:55 UTC | 70.34 | 70.34 | 60° 9 kt | 1003.7 | -RA | |
| 23:15 UTC | 71.24 | 71.24 | 110° 13 kt | 21 | 1004.1 | -RA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Omaha radar (KOAX), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:36 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:30 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 2 W Nebraska City | Otoe, NE | |
| 21:34 UTC | HAIL 1 | 2 W Nebraska City | Otoe, NE |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2014 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of September 9, 2014
6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 9 | 5:50 PM CDT | EF0 | Atchison, MO | 4.9 | 25 | |||
| September 9 | 7:10 PM CDT | EF0 | Holt, MO | 3.0 | 30 | |||
| September 9 | 7:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Holt, MO | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| September 9 | 7:40 PM CDT | EF0 | Holt, MO | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| September 9 | 9:10 PM CDT | EF0 | Saint Charles, MO | 1.7 | 25 | |||
| September 9 | 10:22 PM CDT | EF0 | DeKalb, MO | 0.8 | 25 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.