Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2014

EF1 tornado, Elberon to Paul, Nebraska, September 9, 2014

From Elberon to Paul, this EF1 tornado ran 7.7 miles across Otoe County on September 9, 2014, touching down at 4:29 PM CDT and reaching 965 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
September 9, 2014
Touchdown
4:29 PM CDT (21:29 UTC)
Lifted
4:51 PM CDT (21:51 UTC)
On the ground
22 minutes
Path length
7.7 miles (12.4 km)
Path width
965 yards (882 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
Crop damage
$100,000
County
Otoe County
Touchdown point
40.624, -95.988
Lift-off point
40.595, -95.841
Record number
1409091529-01

The damage survey

52 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 108 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A surface warm front extending west to east across northern Kansas the afternoon of September 9th slowly moved north into southeastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa. Surface based storms developed along and just north of this front, and quickly became supercellular. One HP supercell developed over Otoe county produced an EF1 tornado. Elevated storms formed during the afternoon well north of the surface boundary on the leading edge of an 850 mb front. This was ahead of a strong shortwave moving into the central plains. A moisture rich environment led to very heavy rain with several reports of flash flooding.

The tornado developed from a slow moving supercell across rural Otoe County. The tornado initially developed near County Road 50, and between County Road M and L. Initial damage was mainly to crops and snapped tree limbs. The slow-moving tornado traveled generally east southeast exhibiting a slightly erratic path through rural Otoe County. The tornado impacted a couple of farmsteads along County Road 56, and also along County Road M. At these locations outbuildings were damaged or destroyed, as well as considerable tree damage. The tornado cross U.S. Highway 75 at the intersection of Nebraska Highway 128 where tree and power line damage occurred. The tornado continued east along Highway 128 continuing to do tree and crop damage for 1 mile before dissipating.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:34 UTC and running to 01:28 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:34 UTC01:28 UTCTornado WatchOAX
21:05 UTC21:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:23 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
21:34 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningOAX
21:56 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX
22:33 UTC01:30 UTCFlood AdvisoryOAX
00:00 UTC05:32 UTCFlash Flood WatchOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:53 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

9.5 hours before the tornado, 88 km from the path. September 9, 2014.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-09-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1246 joules per kilogram, CIN -266, lifted condensation level 1436 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2014-09-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 71 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1246 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-266 J/kg
Surface CAPE
748 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1436 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
96 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

2.5 hours after it, 88 km from the path. September 10, 2014.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2014-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 81 joules per kilogram, CIN -243, lifted condensation level 845 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2014-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
81 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-243 J/kg
Surface CAPE
212 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
845 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
594 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Nebraska City (AFK), 4 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:35 UTC76.6472.1450° 7 kt1006.4
19:55 UTC77.1872.570° 6 kt1006.1
20:15 UTC76.6472.6870° 5 kt1005.8
20:35 UTC76.4673.490° 8 kt1004.7-VCTSRA
20:55 UTC77.3673.76110° 8 kt1003.7
21:15 UTC7773.5890° 9 kt1003TS BR
21:35 UTC7675.7450° 21 kt241001.7-TSRA
21:55 UTC72.6872.6810° 20 kt411004.1+TSRA
22:15 UTC70.8870.8850° 23 kt311003.4+TSRA
22:35 UTC69.869.860° 12 kt291004.1+VCTSRA
22:55 UTC70.3470.3460° 9 kt1003.7-RA
23:15 UTC71.2471.24110° 13 kt211004.1-RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 88 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:36 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:30 UTCHAIL 1.752 W Nebraska CityOtoe, NE
21:34 UTCHAIL 12 W Nebraska CityOtoe, NE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2014 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 9, 2014

6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 95:50 PM CDTEF0Atchison, MO4.925
September 97:10 PM CDTEF0Holt, MO3.030
September 97:35 PM CDTEF0Holt, MO0.125
September 97:40 PM CDTEF0Holt, MO0.125
September 99:10 PM CDTEF0Saint Charles, MO1.725
September 910:22 PM CDTEF0DeKalb, MO0.825

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.