Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2021

Unrated tornado, Avoca to Dovray, Minnesota, August 28, 2021

From Avoca to Dovray, this Unrated tornado ran 2.2 miles across Murray County on August 28, 2021, touching down at 5:53 PM CDT and reaching 20 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
August 28, 2021
Touchdown
5:53 PM CDT (22:53 UTC)
Lifted
5:56 PM CDT (22:56 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
2.2 miles (3.6 km)
Path width
20 yards (18 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Murray County
Touchdown point
44.062, -95.475
Lift-off point
44.094, -95.474
Record number
2108281653-01

What the Weather Service recorded

An unstable warm sector with MUCAPE up to 2000-2500 J/kg developed during the afternoon between an advancing cold front across southeast South Dakota, and a gangly warm front extending into southwest Minnesota. An approaching weak impulse spurred rapid development of multiple rounds of storms near the warm front, initially discrete, with upscale growth into short bowing segments. Secondary development occurred during the evening along the cold front, which evolved into a slow-moving linear system with hail, wind, and heavy rainfall with shear vectors increasingly parallel to the boundary.

A brief tornado started around 3 miles north-northeast of Avoca near 101st St., one-quarter mile west of 220th Avenue. The tornado traveled north-northeast over open farmland for just under two miles with damage limited to crops, then lifted just southwest of the intersection of 121st Street and 225th Avenue. Based on Sentinel satellite imagery, the average path width was 20 yards.

Identified from Sentinel satellite imagery and confirmed by ground survey, a tornado spun up one-half mile southwest of Dovray just east of 250th Avenue. The tornado moved north over marsh and farmland, and caused damage to crops and cattails. The tornado dissipated one-half mile west of Dovray, just north of State Highway 30. The average path width was 20 yards.

Another brief tornado spun up 4 miles east-northeast of Dovray, around one-third mile southeast of the intersection of 151st Street and 290th Avenue. The tornado traveled north over open fields causing damage to crops, and dissipated just south of 171st Street, 5 miles northeast of Dovray. From Sentinel satellite imagery, the average path width was found to be 20 yards.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

27 minutes of warning. NWS FSD issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:26 UTC, 27 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:44 UTC and running to 01:51 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:44 UTC01:51 UTCTornado WatchFSD
22:06 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningFSD
22:26 UTC23:00 UTCTornado WarningFSD
22:26 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
22:29 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
22:43 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningFSD
22:45 UTC23:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
22:49 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningFSD
00:00 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
00:34 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
01:03 UTC07:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningFSD
01:17 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
01:51 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchFSD
01:52 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningFSD
02:29 UTC04:35 UTCFlash Flood WarningFSD
03:04 UTC07:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningFSD

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:51 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

10.9 hours before the tornado, 172 km from the path. August 28, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1550 joules per kilogram, CIN -130, lifted condensation level 676 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2021-08-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 29 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1550 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Surface CAPE
216 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
676 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
193 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.3
0-3 km lapse rate
3.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

1.1 hours after it, 172 km from the path. August 29, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1990 joules per kilogram, CIN -120, lifted condensation level 977 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2021-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 31 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1990 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-120 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2831 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
977 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
227 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
5.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Sioux Falls radar (KFSD), 114 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:21 UTCTSTM WND DMGChandlerMurray, MN4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN BY WIND GUSTS.
22:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 E IonaMurray, MNTREES SNAPPED BY WINDS.
22:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGAvocaMurray, MNMACHINE SHED DAMAGED.
22:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 601 W SlaytonMurray, MN
22:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGAvocaMurray, MNREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF HEAVY TREE DAMAGE IN AVOCA.
22:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 55WorthingtonNobles, MNWALL CLOUD PUSHED ACROSS TOWN, SWITCHING WINDS FROM NEARLY CALM TO GUSTY AT 44 TO 55 MPH.
22:46 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S WestbrookCottonwood, MNGRAIN BIN DAMAGED 1/2 MILE SOUTH OF WESTBROOK. DAMAGE ALSO TO OLD BARN 1 SOUTH OF WESTBROOK.
22:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGWestbrookCottonwood, MNDAMAGE TO WESTBROOK LUMBER BUILDING. WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED AT 70 MPH.
22:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S StordenCottonwood, MNGRAIN BIN DAMAGE 1/2 MILE SOUTH OF STORDEN.
22:58 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E SlaytonMurray, MNREPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF TREE DAMAGE EAST OF SLAYTON.
23:03 UTCTSTM WND DMGJeffersCottonwood, MNLARGE TREE, ROUGHLY ONE TO TWO FEET IN DIAMETER, SNAPPED IN HALF. PICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
23:06 UTCTSTM WND DMGWindomCottonwood, MNREPORT FROM MPING: TREES UPROOTED OR SNAPPED; ROOF BLOWN OFF.
23:06 UTCTSTM WND GST 662 Nne WindomCottonwood, MNDELAYED REPORT. AWOS STATION KMWM WINDOM MUNICIPAL AIRPORT REPORTED GUST OF 66 MPH.
23:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 S WestbrookCottonwood, MNNUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND LAYING ACROSS ROAD.
23:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 N ComfreyBrown, MNLARGE TREE SNAPPED AND SMALLER TREES DOWN. PICS SENT VIA TWITTER.
23:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGComfreyBrown, MNLARGE TREE UPROOTED. PIC SENT VIA TWITTER.
23:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Nnw SveadahlBrown, MNLARGE TREE DOWN.
23:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGSveadahlWatonwan, MNTREES DOWN IN SVEADAHL.
23:58 UTCTSTM WND DMGComfreyBrown, MNREPORT FROM MPING: 1-INCH TREE LIMBS BROKEN; SHINGLES BLOWN OFF.
00:36 UTCHAIL 3.52 Ssw Current LakeMurray, MNPICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
00:40 UTCHAIL 23 Ssw Current LakeMurray, MNDELAYED REPORT. MEASURED HAIL AT 2.25 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
00:41 UTCHAIL 42 Ssw Current LakeMurray, MNDELAYED REPORT. SOCIAL MEDIA REPORTS LARGE HAIL MEASURED AT 3.75 INCHES.
01:21 UTCHAIL 1.754 N CurrieMurray, MNLOTS OF GOLF BALL SIZED HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL 3.40 INCHES SO FAR.
01:39 UTCTSTM WND GST 593 W DovrayMurray, MNDELAYED REPORT FROM MESONET STATION MN038 DOVRAY MN-30 MILE POST 49.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of August 28, 2021

16 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
August 2811:26 AM CDTEF0Stearns, MN2.125
August 284:21 PM CDTUnratedTurner, SD0.540
August 284:22 PM CDTEF1Lincoln, SD2.3150$200,000
August 284:25 PM CDTUnratedLincoln, SD0.920
August 284:30 PM CDTUnratedLincoln, SD1.620
August 284:35 PM CDTUnratedLincoln, SD1.130
August 285:29 PM CDTUnratedMurray, MN1.240
August 285:40 PM CDTUnratedMurray, MN1.920
August 285:48 PM CDTUnratedMurray, MN0.620
August 286:04 PM CDTUnratedCottonwood, MN3.520
August 286:29 PM CDTEF0Brown, MN3.320
August 286:29 PM CDTEF0Brown, MN4.325
August 286:47 PM CDTEF0Brown, MN0.925
August 286:52 PM CDTUnratedBrown, MN0.620
August 288:12 PM CDTEF0Waseca, MN0.725
August 288:14 PM CDTEF0Waseca, MN0.425

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.