Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2015

EF2 tornado, Verndale to Staples, Minnesota, July 12, 2015

From Verndale to Staples, this EF2 tornado ran 12.1 miles across Wadena and Todd counties on July 12, 2015, touching down at 6:38 PM CDT and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.4 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
July 12, 2015
Touchdown
6:38 PM CDT (23:38 UTC)
Lifted
6:58 PM CDT (23:58 UTC)
On the ground
20 minutes
Path length
12.1 miles (19.5 km)
Path width
400 yards (366 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.4 million
Crop damage
$400,000
Counties
Wadena and Todd counties
Touchdown point
46.380, -95.070
Lift-off point
46.350, -94.822
Record number
1507121738-01

The damage survey

21 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DLH and NWS FGF and NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 118 mph.

  • some shingles and tin roofing off.
  • steel bins dented and doors popped off.
  • multiple breaks along H system.
  • small shed destroyed at England prairie pioneer farm.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

After some thunderstorms rolled through the U. S. Highway 2 corridor during the evening of the 11th and early morning hours of the 12th, conditions set up for a larger outbreak of severe weather on the afternoon of the 12th. Afternoon temperatures along the Red River Valley into portions of west central Minnesota topped out in the lower 90s with dew points in the low to mid 70s. A stationary boundary set up from northeast North Dakota into west central Minnesota and upper level winds were very favorable to sustain storms. Numerous thunderstorms formed during the late afternoon and evening which produced large hail, tornadoes, and funnel clouds.

A very unstable atmosphere combined with ample wind shear to result in the development of storms with large hail, severe winds, a tornado, and very heavy rainfall from Alexandria to Lake Mille Lacs...then southeast along Interstate 94. ||Initially, a severe thunderstorm developed near Fergus Falls during the afternoon of Sunday, July 12th. As the afternoon progressed, several severe thunderstorms developed south toward Wheaton, then spread east-southeast toward Alexandria. One severe storm moved rapidly eastward across the Todd, Wadena county line and eventually produced a tornado and widespread straight-line wind damage. This tornado moved from Wadena County and into Todd County, destroying a barn south of Aldrich and causing numerous downed trees and power lines. The tornado was accompanied by damaging rear flank downdraft and downburst winds, and the same storm produced wind damage in northwest Morrison County. ||Severe storms moved into the area west of Alexandria and produced winds greater than 80 mph in some locations. Near Brandon, there was structural damage to a large shed, a large pontoon boat was flipped on Maple Lake, and there were numerous downed trees and power lines. ||Severe storms merged in west central and central Minnesota and then developed more into a line of storms and produced periodic downed trees, power lines, and occasional estimated winds of 60-70 mph as the storms moved southeast along Interstate 94 and into the Twin Cities metro area. Damage was not as widespread after it moved out of central Minnesota and into east central Minnesota, due to less wind shear and instability.

A tornado wrapped in heavy rain and damaging downburst winds tracked across southern Wadena and Aldrich townships. The tornado tore down four sets of H-pole high voltage power poles and demolished outbuildings and a storage barn at the England Prairie Pioneer Farms. The tornado also demolished a silo and ripped through sections of center pivot irrigation systems at multiple locations. Peak winds were estimated at 120 mph.

A tornado moved out of Wadena County (where it was rated EF2) and into Todd County. A barn was collapsed just south of Aldrich, with roofing material blown 1/2 mile downwind. Dozens of trees were broken or uprooted in this area. Several wooden power poles were snapped. An outbuilding was also destroyed. Farther east, an outbuilding was destroyed along with a roof partially blown off near the intersection of 500th street and 223rd Avenue, just northwest of Dower Lake. Significant tree damage was noted on the northeast side of Dower Lake, and concentrated damage continued in a path to about two miles west of Staples. Separate entries have also been made for numerous trees blown down due to the rear flank downdraft and downbursts north of the tornado track.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

13 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:25 UTC, 13 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:15 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:06 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:06 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchFGF
22:18 UTC23:00 UTCTornado WarningFGF
22:49 UTC23:30 UTCTornado WarningFGF
23:25 UTC00:15 UTCTornado WarningFGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

11.6 hours before the tornado, 198 km from the path. July 12, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1730 joules per kilogram, CIN -145, lifted condensation level 756 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2015-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 21 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 24 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1730 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-145 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1063 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
756 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
60 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

0.4 hours after it, 198 km from the path. July 13, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-07-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 3598 joules per kilogram, CIN -75, lifted condensation level 1040 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2015-07-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 124 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
3598 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Surface CAPE
5684 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1040 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
12.7
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Staples (SAZ), 11 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:53 UTC80.673.4140° 3 kt1008.1-VCTSRA
22:14 UTC80.673.4130° 3 kt1007.8VCTS
22:33 UTC80.673.460° 3 kt1008.1VCTS
22:53 UTC78.873.470° 4 kt1008.5-VCTSRA
23:13 UTC78.873.490° 9 kt141006.8+TSRA
23:33 UTC7773.480° 3 kt1006.8-VCTSRA
23:50 UTC TS
23:59 UTC TS
00:42 UTC
00:55 UTC
01:17 UTC
01:36 UTC60.860.8130° 7 kt1007.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 200 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:38 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:48 UTCTORNADO5 N ViningOtter Tail, MNBETWEEN OTTER TAIL AND VINING.
23:03 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDDeer CreekOtter Tail, MN
23:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGDeer CreekOtter Tail, MNTREES BROKEN DOWN AND GARDENS FLATTENED. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
23:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGBerthaTodd, MNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
23:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGHewittTodd, MNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
23:30 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDHewittTodd, MNUNCONFIRMED POSSIBLE TOUCHDOWN NEAR HEWITT
23:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGVerndaleWadena, MNTREES BLOWN DOWN AND A ROOF BLOWN OFF IN TOWN. NUMEROUS TREES AND AND LEAST 8 TO 10 POWER POLES SNAPPED OFF EAST OF TOWN.
23:44 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 N VerndaleWadena, MNPERSISTENT WALL CLOUD WITH BRIEF FUNNEL.
23:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGAldrichWadena, MNTREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN ALDRICH AND BETWEEN ALDRICH AND STAPLES ALONG CR2.
23:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Wsw StaplesTodd, MNBARN DESTROYED SOUTH OF ALDRICH MN
23:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 E HewittTodd, MNBARN DESTROYED SOUTH OF ALDRICH MN
23:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGClarissaTodd, MNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
23:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 E VerndaleWadena, MNWIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE ALONG CR2... NORTH OF THE STAPLES AIRPORT.
23:54 UTCTSTM WND DMGBrowervilleTodd, MNTREES AND POWER LINES DOWN
00:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 E BrandonDouglas, MNLARGE SHED UNDER CONTRUCTION PARTIALLY DESTROYED. DAMAGE OCCURRED ON HALVERSON ROAD A FEW BLOCKS SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD 82. TIME ESTIMATED.
00:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wnw GarfieldDouglas, MNLARGE SHED UNDER CONTRUCTION PARTIALLY DESTROYED. DAMAGE OCCURRED ON HALVERSON ROAD A FEW BLOCKS SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD 82. TIME ESTIMATED.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw MotleyCass, MNLOST PART OF GARAGE ROOF.
00:17 UTCTSTM WND DMGBaxterCrow Wing, MNTWO TO THREE EIGHT TO TWELVE INCH DIAMETER LIVE PINE TREES TOPPED.
00:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N PillagerCass, MN3-4 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES DOWN ON A LIVE OAK TREE.
00:20 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N PillagerCass, MNTREES BLOWN DOWN...ONE BIG OAK AND OTHERS...TV ANTENNA AND TOWER BLOWN DOWN.
00:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGStaplesTodd, MNTWO 6 INCH TREES UPROOTED
00:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG7 Nw BrainerdCrow Wing, MNREPORT OF LOTS OF LIVE TREES DOWN. 12 TO 24 INCH IN DIAMETER. TREE FELL DOWN ON HOUSE AND CAUSED ROOF DAMAGE.
00:24 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ne GarfieldDouglas, MNPOWER LINES DOWN
00:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E MotleyCass, MNLARGE TREES FELL HITTING POWERLINES. ESTIMATED 18 INCH DIAMETER TREES.
00:27 UTCTSTM WND DMGBaxterCrow Wing, MNCART CORRALS UPENDED AT WALMART
00:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGBreezy PointCrow Wing, MNTREES DOWN
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N BrainerdCrow Wing, MN6 LARGE HEALTHY OAK TREES DOWN IN YARD. MANY OTHER TREES DOWN ACROSS NEIGHBOORHOOD. POWER WAS OUT UNTIL 230 AM. ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF RAIN - GAGE WAS TAKEN OUT BY FALLING TREE.
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nw BrainerdCrow Wing, MNTREES DOWN
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N MotleyCass, MN31...32 AND 40 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN. DELAYED REPORT.
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nnw BrainerdCrow Wing, MN5 HEALTHY OAK TREES DOWN...LARGEST ABOUT 12 INCHES IN DIAMETER.
00:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGBaxterCrow Wing, MNCOUNTLESS TREES DOWN WITH MANY BLOCKING ROADWAYS AS WELL AS POWER LINES DOWN. STATE HIGHWAY371 NORTH OF BAXTER IS BLOCKED AND REDUCED. TIME ESTIMATED.
00:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGBrainerdCrow Wing, MNLARGE TREE DOWN ON HOUSE. ALSO HAIL BETWEEN QUARTER AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE
00:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 70BrainerdCrow Wing, MNSIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO THE BLEACHERS AT BRAINERD INTERNATIONAL RACEWAY. TIME ESTIMATED.
00:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGBrainerdCrow Wing, MNBRAINERD PUBLIC UTILITIES ESTIMATES 75 TO 80 POWER LINES DOWN THROUGHOUT CROW WING COUNTY. BLOCKED ROADWAYS DUE TO NUMEROUS TREES DOWN.
01:06 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 653 W WoodrowCrow Wing, MNWAKE LOW WINDS MEASURED FROM BIRM5.
01:30 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.691 Sw Little FallsMorrison, MN90 MINUTES. PEAK WIND GUST MEASURED 41 MPH.
02:30 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.691 Sw Little FallsMorrison, MN90 MINUTES. PEAK WIND GUST MEASURED 41 MPH.
02:30 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.691 Wsw Little FallsMorrison, MN90 MINUTES. PEAK WIND GUST MEASURED 41 MPH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 12, 2015

11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 123:38 AM EDTEF0Johnson, IN6.4125$75,000
July 124:07 PM CDTEF0Traill, ND0.125
July 124:35 PM CDTEF0Grand Forks, ND0.110
July 124:59 PM CDTEF0Otter Tail, MN3.0100
July 125:07 PM CDTEF0Wilkin, MN0.125
July 125:14 PM CDTEF0Wilkin, MN0.110
July 125:31 PM CDTEF0Grant, MN1.9100
July 125:44 PM CDTEF0Otter Tail, MN0.5150
July 125:48 PM CDTEF1Otter Tail, MN2.0150
July 126:00 PM CDTEF1Otter Tail, MN0.130
July 126:21 PM CDTEF1Grant, MN2.0100

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.