Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2015
EF1 tornado, Balmoral to Vining, Minnesota, July 12, 2015
From Balmoral to Vining, this EF1 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Otter Tail County on July 12, 2015, touching down at 5:48 PM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- July 12, 2015
- Touchdown
- 5:48 PM CDT (22:48 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:55 PM CDT (22:55 UTC)
- On the ground
- 7 minutes
- Path length
- 2.0 miles (3.2 km)
- Path width
- 150 yards (137 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Otter Tail County
- Touchdown point
- 46.340, -95.530
- Lift-off point
- 46.337, -95.488
- Record number
- 1507121648-01
What the Weather Service recorded
After some thunderstorms rolled through the U. S. Highway 2 corridor during the evening of the 11th and early morning hours of the 12th, conditions set up for a larger outbreak of severe weather on the afternoon of the 12th. Afternoon temperatures along the Red River Valley into portions of west central Minnesota topped out in the lower 90s with dew points in the low to mid 70s. A stationary boundary set up from northeast North Dakota into west central Minnesota and upper level winds were very favorable to sustain storms. Numerous thunderstorms formed during the late afternoon and evening which produced large hail, tornadoes, and funnel clouds.
This tornado tracked for about two miles along and north of county road 16. The tornado snapped numerous pine trees and broke down large oak branches and limbs along its path. Peak winds were estimated at 90 mph. The tornado was viewed and photographed by spotters near Vining.
A brief touchdown was viewed and photographed by spotters located near Vining. A few trees in a shelterbelt were snapped roughly eight to ten feet above ground level. Peak winds were estimated at 80 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
30 minutes of warning. NWS FGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:18 UTC, 30 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:00 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:06 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:06 UTC | 03:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | FGF |
| 20:53 UTC | 21:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 21:21 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 21:36 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 22:07 UTC | 22:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 22:18 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 22:37 UTC | 23:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 22:49 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 23:08 UTC | 11:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | FGF |
| 23:15 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 23:25 UTC | 00:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | FGF |
| 03:50 UTC | 04:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z
10.8 hours before the tornado, 222 km from the path. July 12, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1730 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -145 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1063 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 756 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 8 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.4 K/km
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z
1.2 hours after it, 222 km from the path. July 13, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 3598 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -75 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 5684 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1040 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.4
- Supercell composite
- 12.7
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.9 K/km
The surface observations
Wadena Municipal (ADC), 26 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:53 UTC | 78.8 | 73.4 | 170° 13 kt | 1007.5 | TSRA | |
| 21:15 UTC | 77 | 75.2 | 160° 10 kt | 1007.1 | -RA | |
| 21:34 UTC | 78.8 | 75.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1007.8 | -VCTSRA | |
| 21:53 UTC | 77 | 75.2 | 350° 10 kt | 1008.5 | TSRA | |
| 22:14 UTC | 77 | 73.4 | 40° 5 kt | 1007.8 | +TSRA | |
| 22:35 UTC | 75.2 | 73.4 | 70° 10 kt | 1006.8 | -VCTSRA | |
| 22:53 UTC | 75.2 | 73.4 | 50° 8 kt | 1007.5 | TS BR | |
| 23:14 UTC | 75.2 | 73.4 | 50° 10 kt | 1007.1 | TS -RA | |
| 23:59 UTC | 64.4 | 60.8 | 70° 4 kt | 16 | 1008.8 | -TSRA |
| 00:14 UTC | 64.4 | 60.8 | 100° 13 kt | 17 | 1007.8 | -VCTSRA |
| 00:35 UTC | 64.4 | 59 | 120° 7 kt | 1007.1 | -TSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 191 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:49 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:01 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Elizabeth | Otter Tail, MN | POSSIBLE TOUCHDOWN NEAR ELIZABETH. |
| 22:25 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Se Elbow Lake | Grant, MN | PERSISTENT WALL CLOUD WITH POSSIBLE FUNNEL. |
| 22:31 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Nnw Wendell | Grant, MN | MULTIPLE SIGHTINGS OF A TORNADO NEAR THE GRANT COUNTY AND OTTER TAIL COUNTY LINE. |
| 22:48 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Wsw Wendell | Grant, MN | |
| 22:48 UTC | TORNADO | 5 N Vining | Otter Tail, MN | BETWEEN OTTER TAIL AND VINING. |
| 23:00 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 5 Sw Evansville | Douglas, MN | NSSL SHAVE |
| 23:03 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Deer Creek | Otter Tail, MN | |
| 23:10 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Deer Creek | Otter Tail, MN | TREES BROKEN DOWN AND GARDENS FLATTENED. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA. |
| 23:23 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Bertha | Todd, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN |
| 23:23 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hewitt | Todd, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN |
| 23:25 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 2 Se Elbow Lake | Grant, MN | PERSISTENT WALL CLOUD WITH POSSIBLE FUNNEL. |
| 23:30 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | Hewitt | Todd, MN | UNCONFIRMED POSSIBLE TOUCHDOWN NEAR HEWITT |
| 23:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Verndale | Wadena, MN | TREES BLOWN DOWN AND A ROOF BLOWN OFF IN TOWN. NUMEROUS TREES AND AND LEAST 8 TO 10 POWER POLES SNAPPED OFF EAST OF TOWN. |
| 23:44 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 N Verndale | Wadena, MN | PERSISTENT WALL CLOUD WITH BRIEF FUNNEL. |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Aldrich | Wadena, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES BLOWN DOWN IN ALDRICH AND BETWEEN ALDRICH AND STAPLES ALONG CR2. |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 6 Wsw Staples | Todd, MN | BARN DESTROYED SOUTH OF ALDRICH MN |
| 23:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 E Hewitt | Todd, MN | BARN DESTROYED SOUTH OF ALDRICH MN |
| 23:48 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Clarissa | Todd, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN |
| 23:50 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nw Hoffman | Grant, MN | NUMEROUS LARGE TREES BROKEN DOWN ALONG HIGHWAY 55 CORRIDOR...BETWEEN BARRETT AND HOFFMAN. |
| 23:52 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 8 E Verndale | Wadena, MN | WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE ALONG CR2... NORTH OF THE STAPLES AIRPORT. |
| 23:54 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Browerville | Todd, MN | TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN |
| 00:09 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 S Garfield | Douglas, MN | PINE TREES UP ROOTED |
| 00:09 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 6 W Alexandria | Douglas, MN | PINE TREES UP ROOTED |
| 00:09 UTC | TSTM WND GST 80 | 1 S Brandon | Douglas, MN | ESTIMATED |
| 00:09 UTC | TSTM WND GST 80 | 1 Ssw Brandon | Douglas, MN | ESTIMATED |
| 00:10 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Se Brandon | Douglas, MN | LARGE TREES SPLIT OPEN. OCCURRED SPORADICALLY FROM 3 TO 4 MILES SE OF TOWN ALONG COUNTY ROAD 82. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED. |
| 00:10 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Brandon | Douglas, MN | LARGE TREES SPLIT OPEN ON NORTH SIDE OF TOWN. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 00:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 E Brandon | Douglas, MN | LARGE SHED UNDER CONTRUCTION PARTIALLY DESTROYED. DAMAGE OCCURRED ON HALVERSON ROAD A FEW BLOCKS SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD 82. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 00:14 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Wnw Garfield | Douglas, MN | LARGE SHED UNDER CONTRUCTION PARTIALLY DESTROYED. DAMAGE OCCURRED ON HALVERSON ROAD A FEW BLOCKS SOUTH OF COUNTY ROAD 82. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 00:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Brandon | Douglas, MN | 2 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN EVENT TIME 1900-1930 CDT |
| 00:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Wnw Brandon | Douglas, MN | 2 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN EVENT TIME 1900-1930 CDT |
| 00:23 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Staples | Todd, MN | TWO 6 INCH TREES UPROOTED |
| 00:24 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ne Garfield | Douglas, MN | POWER LINES DOWN |
| 01:06 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 5 Ssw Evansville | Douglas, MN | NSSL SHAVE |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 12, 2015
11 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 12 | 3:38 AM EDT | EF0 | Johnson, IN | 6.4 | 125 | $75,000 | ||
| July 12 | 4:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Traill, ND | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| July 12 | 4:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Grand Forks, ND | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| July 12 | 4:59 PM CDT | EF0 | Otter Tail, MN | 3.0 | 100 | |||
| July 12 | 5:07 PM CDT | EF0 | Wilkin, MN | 0.1 | 25 | |||
| July 12 | 5:14 PM CDT | EF0 | Wilkin, MN | 0.1 | 10 | |||
| July 12 | 5:31 PM CDT | EF0 | Grant, MN | 1.9 | 100 | |||
| July 12 | 5:44 PM CDT | EF0 | Otter Tail, MN | 0.5 | 150 | |||
| July 12 | 6:00 PM CDT | EF1 | Otter Tail, MN | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| July 12 | 6:21 PM CDT | EF1 | Grant, MN | 2.0 | 100 | |||
| July 12 | 6:38 PM CDT | EF2 | Wadena, MN | 12.1 | 400 | $1.4 million |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.