Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2010

EF0 tornado, Forest Lake to Scandia, Minnesota, July 17, 2010

From Forest Lake to Scandia, this EF0 tornado ran 5.2 miles across Washington County on July 17, 2010, touching down at 8:44 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
July 17, 2010
Touchdown
8:44 PM CDT (01:44 UTC)
Lifted
8:52 PM CDT (01:52 UTC)
On the ground
8 minutes
Path length
5.2 miles (8.3 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
County
Washington County
Touchdown point
45.238, -92.959
Lift-off point
45.276, -92.868
Record number
1007171944-01

What the Weather Service recorded

The atmosphere became very unstable Saturday afternoon, and along with a strong wind shear, aided in the development of very large hail, isolated tornadoes and significant straight-line wind damage. ||The first storm developed near Alexandria and moved southeast along Interstate 94 before dying in the southwest part of the Twin Cities late that afternoon. Numerous reports of very large hail, up to the size of softballs, occurred near St. Cloud, southeast to Watertown. ||The next area of severe storms developed across central Minnesota, and far west-central Minnesota and moved east and southeast toward east-central Minnesota where a strong bow echo developed and moved across the northern portion of the Twin Cities Metropolitan Area. ||There was widespread damage along the leading edge of this bow echo where numerous trees, power lines and homes were either uprooted, blown down, or destroyed. ||These storms moved into west-central Wisconsin and also caused damage to trees before weakening toward the late evening.

Hundreds of trees were broken or toppled, including some that fell on sheds and houses. Shingles and soffits were removed from some houses.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

34 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:10 UTC, 34 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:17 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:17 UTC04:00 UTCTornado WatchMPX
01:00 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
01:10 UTC01:45 UTCTornado WarningMPX
01:21 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
01:34 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningMPX
01:51 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningMPX
02:08 UTC08:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryMPX
02:53 UTC03:16 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:54 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

1.7 hours before the tornado, 70 km from the path. July 18, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1779 joules per kilogram, CIN -139, lifted condensation level 1367 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 268 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1779 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-139 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2286 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1367 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
268 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
618 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
4.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

10.3 hours after it, 70 km from the path. July 18, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2010-07-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 256 joules per kilogram, CIN -150, lifted condensation level 642 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2010-07-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
256 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-150 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:42 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGElk RiverSherburne, MNSHEDS... RIDES... TENTS DOWN AND BLOWN OVER AT SHERBURNE COUNTY FAIR
01:12 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nnw Elk RiverSherburne, MN2 FOOT DIAMETER TREES DOWN WITH HALF A DOZEN OTHER TREES DOWN IN ADDITION TO A FENCE DOWN
01:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw RamseyAnoka, MNTIME ESTIMATED OF NUMEROUS 1 TO 2 FOOT DIAMETER HARDWOOD TREES DOWN ON GROUNDS OF NOWTHEN THRESHING SHOW. WIND ESTIMATED 70 MPH.
01:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 E Elk RiverAnoka, MNTREES DOWN
01:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGMaple GroveHennepin, MNABOUT A HALF DOZEN TREES WITH SIX INCH PLUS BRANCHES DOWN ALONG COUNTY RD 50. WIND ESTIMATED 60 MPH.
01:20 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDChamplinHennepin, MNROTATING WLL CALL AT US 169 AND ELM CREEK ST.
01:20 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDDaytonHennepin, MNOBSCURRED BY TREE LINE
01:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 50Maple GroveHennepin, MN
01:20 UTCTORNADODaytonHennepin, MNIN TOWN REPORTS TO BE MOVING EAST.
01:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Wnw RosevilleAnoka, MNMULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN... TIME ESTIMATED
01:26 UTCTSTM WND GST 58CrystalHennepin, MN
01:27 UTCTORNADOAnokaAnoka, MNUNCONFIRMED
01:29 UTCTSTM WND DMGCrystalHennepin, MN2 TO 3 INCH BRANCHES DOWN AT 42ND AND DOUGLAS
01:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGArden HillsRamsey, MN3 LARGE TREES FELL ON HOUSE
01:31 UTCTSTM WND DMGElk RiverSherburne, MN10 INCH TREE LIMBS CAME DOWN ON POWER LINES KNOCKING OUT POWER.
01:32 UTCTSTM WND DMGSt FrancisAnoka, MN4 INCH BRANCHES DOWN NORTH OF VIKING BLVD AND CLEANY RD
01:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGBlaineAnoka, MN18 TO 24 INCH TREES DOWN AT BLAINE CITY HALL RADISSON ROAD
01:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGNew BrightonRamsey, MNSOME LARGE LIMBS AND MANY SMALLER BRANCHES BLOWN DOWN.
01:33 UTCFLOOD2 Ssw Elk RiverSherburne, MNSTANDING WATER COVERING THE ROAD...PAST THE CURB LINE... STALLED VEHICLES ON THE ROAD.
01:36 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDHugoWashington, MNROTATING WALL CLOUD ON I 35
01:36 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDRosevilleRamsey, MNROTATING WALL CLOUD AT SNELLING AND LARPENTEUR
01:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S Elk RiverSherburne, MN4 INCH TREE SEVERED IN HALF
01:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ne MinneapolisRamsey, MNTREE LIMBS SNAPPING
01:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGVadnais HeightsRamsey, MN8 INCH DIAMETER LIMBS DOWN
01:41 UTCTSTM WND GST 701 Nne Vadnais HeightsRamsey, MN
01:42 UTCTSTM WND DMGAnokaAnoka, MN8 INCH TRESS SNAPPED ON VIKING BLVD
01:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 63MaplewoodRamsey, MNWIND DAMAGE INCLUDES NUMEROUS 8 TO 12 INCH LARGE BRANCHES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES. SPOTTER HAS A WEATHER STATION.
01:44 UTCTSTM WND GST 63.6MaplewoodRamsey, MNWIND DAMAGE INCLUDES NUMEROUS 8 TO 12 INCH LARGE BRANCHES DOWN WITH POWER OUTAGES. SPOTTER HAS A WEATHER STATION.
01:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N White Bear LakeRamsey, MNSEVERAL 6 TO 12 INCH DIAMETER TREES DOWN ALONG HWY 61 AND CITY WITHOUT POWER. TIME ESTIMATED
01:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGAndoverAnoka, MNMULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN
01:46 UTCTSTM WND GST 63St PaulRamsey, MN
01:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N RosevilleRamsey, MN8 INCH TREES DOWN
01:48 UTCTSTM WND DMGBlaineAnoka, MN20 TO 24 INCH TREE DOWN AT 242 AND HWY 65
01:48 UTCFLASH FLOODShoreviewRamsey, MN8 INCH TREES IN POWER LINES AT JUNCT OF LEXINGTON AND JOHNS RD
01:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nnw StillwaterWashington, MNSOME 2-3 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES BROKEN OFF
01:52 UTCTSTM WND DMGBlaineAnoka, MN5 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN
01:52 UTCTSTM WND DMGChamplinHennepin, MN8 INCH PINE TREE LIMB DOWN
01:52 UTCTSTM WND GST 604 Nnw StillwaterWashington, MN
01:57 UTCTSTM WND DMGLino LakesAnoka, MN6 INCH DIAMETER BRANCHES DOWN
01:57 UTCTORNADOLake ElmoWashington, MNON THE GROUND

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2010 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 17, 2010

6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 175:12 PM CDTEF0Wadena, MN0.415
July 176:50 PM CDTEF0Morrison, MN1.430$250,000
July 177:30 PM CDTEF0Stearns, MN0.130$50,000
July 177:48 PM CDTEF0Wright, MN4.250$100,000
July 178:22 PM CDTEF0Murray, MN0.550
July 178:23 PM CDTEF0Lincoln, NE0.15

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.