Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2023

EF2 tornado, Hardmoney to Fremont, Kentucky, March 3, 2023

From Hardmoney to Fremont, this EF2 tornado ran 1.5 miles across McCracken County on March 3, 2023, touching down at 11:08 AM CST and reaching 175 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.3 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
March 3, 2023
Touchdown
11:08 AM CST (17:08 UTC)
Lifted
11:10 AM CST (17:10 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
1.5 miles (2.4 km)
Path width
175 yards (160 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.3 million
County
McCracken County
Touchdown point
36.950, -88.610
Lift-off point
36.970, -88.600
Record number
2303031108-01

The damage survey

44 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 125 mph.

  • Several hardwood trees uprooted or snapped in close proximity.
  • Several large uprooted trees.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong storm system led to significant impacts. Heavy rainfall amounts of 3 to 4.5 inches produced areas of flash flooding, with numerous road closures. The heavy rain drove the Ohio River above flood stage at Uniontown. Very strong wind gusts occurred, ranging between 50 and about 70 mph. These were associated with both thunderstorms and gradient winds afterwards. The line of storms moved through during the late morning and early afternoon, and then very strong gradient winds continued for several hours afterwards through the afternoon. An indirect fatality occurred the following day during cleanup operations. A 69-year-old man in Calloway County was killed when a large branch landed on him while he was cutting up the tree. The magnitude and duration of this wind produced significant damage to trees, power lines, and other outdoor property such as fences. Soggy ground due to the excessive rainfall likely contributed to some trees being more susceptible to being blown over. Numerous power outages occurred, some lasting into the following day. Six tornadoes occurred along the line of thunderstorms across western Kentucky. The strongest was rated EF-2 just south of Paducah. Finally, the lowest barometric pressure of all-time was observed in Paducah (977.7 mb). The center of the record strong low pressure system tracked from the bootheel of extreme southeast Missouri northeast right along the Ohio River. Very strong southwest winds occurred on the back side of the low pressure system in the afternoon. Gusts were up to around 60 mph. A semi was blown over on Interstate 24 in Trigg County.

An EF-2 tornado began at 11:08 AM CST just west of the intersection of Old Mayfield Road and McNeil Road. Traveling north-northeast, the tornado paralleled Old Mayfield Road, doing significant roof, siding, and fascia damage to numerous homes and a few businesses. A few homes had most of their roofing structures completely removed. Several outbuildings were completely destroyed. County emergency management officials assessed the damage and found four homes were destroyed and 68 homes were damaged. Numerous wooden power poles were snapped or tilted by tornadic winds. After crossing Hardmoney Road, the tornado did damage to homes, trees, and outbuildings along Michael Drive West before dissipating around 11:10 AM CST. Dozens of trees were uprooted or snapped, and dozens more suffered major tree limb damage. Additionally, strong straight-line inflow winds of 80 to 90 mph caused tree damage and minor structural damage along Michael Drive East. Peak winds were estimated near 125 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 12:25 UTC and running to 17:52 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:00 UTC18:00 UTCFlood WatchPAH
10:55 UTC18:49 UTCFlash Flood WarningPAH
12:00 UTC18:55 UTCWind AdvisoryPAH
12:25 UTC17:52 UTCTornado WatchPAH
16:44 UTC17:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
16:55 UTC17:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
17:09 UTC17:30 UTCTornado WarningPAH
17:15 UTC17:37 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
18:49 UTC20:45 UTCFlood WarningPAH
18:55 UTC01:29 UTCHigh Wind WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:11 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

5.1 hours before the tornado, 201 km from the path. March 3, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -88587, lifted condensation level 594 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2023-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 624 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 85 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-88587 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
594 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
624 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
822 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

6.9 hours after it, 201 km from the path. March 4, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2023-03-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -104118, lifted condensation level 1446 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2023-03-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 90 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-104118 J/kg
Surface CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1446 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
90 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Paducah/Barkley (PAH), 18 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
15:08 UTC5654120° 9 kt984.8+RA BR
15:10 UTC110° 7 kt984.4+RA BR
15:15 UTC110° 7 kt984.4+RA BR
15:20 UTC120° 10 kt983.7+RA BR
15:25 UTC130° 10 kt983.7+RA BR
15:30 UTC130° 8 kt983.4+RA BR
15:30 UTC5754130° 8 kt983.4+RA BR
15:35 UTC130° 7 kt983.4+RA BR
15:40 UTC260° 7 kt984.4+RA BR
15:45 UTC190° 2 kt984.1+RA FG
15:50 UTC120° 7 kt982.7+RA FG
15:53 UTC5957130° 6 kt982.4RA BR
15:55 UTC140° 9 kt982.4-RA BR
15:56 UTC6058140° 9 kt982.4-RA BR
16:00 UTC140° 11 kt981.4-RA
16:03 UTC6259130° 16 kt980.7-RA
16:05 UTC120° 15 kt980.4-RA
16:10 UTC130° 14 kt980-RA
16:13 UTC6360130° 14 kt979.7
16:15 UTC 15 kt979.3
16:20 UTC130° 13 kt979
16:25 UTC130° 9 kt979
16:30 UTC160° 8 kt979
16:35 UTC170° 10 kt979.3
16:40 UTC160° 13 kt26979
16:45 UTC170° 11 kt979
16:50 UTC180° 15 kt23978.7
16:53 UTC6963170° 12 kt29978
16:55 UTC180° 8 kt978.3-RA
17:00 UTC180° 11 kt22978.7-RA
17:01 UTC6963180° 15 kt24978.7-RA
17:05 UTC200° 11 kt16978.3+RA
17:07 UTC6863210° 18 kt28979+RA
17:10 UTC220° 22 kt32979.7+RA BR
17:15 UTC220° 19 kt37979.7-RA
17:18 UTC6456230° 22 kt40980-RA
17:20 UTC230° 18 kt29980-RA
17:25 UTC240° 19 kt33980
17:30 UTC6455240° 16 kt34980.7
17:30 UTC240° 17 kt38980.7
17:35 UTC240° 22 kt980.7
17:40 UTC230° 21 kt38981
17:45 UTC230° 22 kt37981.4
17:50 UTC230° 22 kt38981
17:53 UTC5850240° 18 kt47981.4-RA
17:55 UTC230° 20 kt34981.4-RA
18:00 UTC220° 18 kt32981.4-RA
18:05 UTC230° 17 kt22981.7
18:10 UTC230° 15 kt32981.7
18:15 UTC230° 17 kt33981.7
18:20 UTC230° 20 kt36982.1
18:25 UTC230° 19 kt29982.4
18:30 UTC230° 21 kt38982.7
18:35 UTC240° 20 kt36982.7-RA
18:39 UTC5247250° 19 kt49983.4-RA
18:40 UTC250° 19 kt31983.4-RA
18:44 UTC5147260° 19 kt37983.7-RA BR
18:45 UTC260° 22 kt40984.1-RA BR
18:50 UTC260° 20 kt31984.1-RA
18:51 UTC51.846.4260° 20 kt40984.1-RA
18:53 UTC5046250° 15 kt40984.4-RA BR
18:55 UTC260° 14 kt27984.8-RA BR
19:00 UTC260° 14 kt28985.1-RA BR
19:05 UTC260° 17 kt32985.8-RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 19 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 17:07 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
14:38 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.262 S HickoryGraves, KY
15:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.84KevilBallard, KY
16:18 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 Sw Calvert CityMarshall, KYUS-62 BETWEEN CALVERT CITY AND POSSUM TROT IS EXPERIENCING LOCALIZED FLOODING WITH SOME SIDE ROADS COVERED.
16:20 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.414 S Grand RiversMarshall, KY
17:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E LynnvilleGraves, KY*** 1 INJ *** LATE REPORT FROM MAR 3. LARGE TREE LIMB PUNCHED THROUGH A TRUCK WINDSHIELD AND INJURED DRIVER. DRIVER EXTRICATED FROM TRUCK BY RESCUE WORKERS AND TRANSPORTED TO HOSPITAL.
17:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 656 Sw MayfieldGraves, KYMESONET STATION PRYB MAYFIELD KY 6 SW.
17:07 UTCTORNADO5 Wsw ReidlandMccracken, KYDAMAGED HOMES AND TREES DOWN IN THE FREMONT AREA REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE.
17:08 UTCTORNADO5 Nne BoazMccracken, KYCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 5 NNE BOAZ. AN EF-2 TORNADO BEGAN AT 1108 AM CST JUST WEST OF THE INTERSECTION OF OLD MAYFIELD ROAD AND MCNEIL ROAD. TRAVELING NNE, THE TORNADO PARALLELED OLD MAYFIELD ROAD, DOING SI
17:09 UTCTORNADO5 Wsw ReidlandMccracken, KYCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 5 WSW REIDLAND. DAMAGED HOMES AND TREES DOWN IN THE FREMONT AREA REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE. TIME DETERMINED FROM RADAR.
17:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGMurrayCalloway, KYMULTIPLE POWER POLES AND POWER LINES DOWN IN AND AROUND THE CITY.
17:26 UTCTSTM WND GST 70Calvert CityMarshall, KY
17:36 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 602 Se HeathMccracken, KYNON-THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST. ASOS STATION KPAH PADUCAH KY.
17:38 UTCTSTM WND GST 633 Se FaridealingMarshall, KYPERSONAL WEATHER STATION CWOP - DW6462 MURRAY.
17:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 561 W MurrayCalloway, KYNON-THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST. MESONET STATION MRRY MURRAY KY 1 W.
17:50 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMGMurrayCalloway, KYSHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF, TREES DOWN, SIGN DESTROYED.
17:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 515 Nne BentonMarshall, KYNON-THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST. MESONET STATION DRFN BENTON KY 4 N.
18:34 UTCNON-TSTM WND DMG4 Nw Lone OakMccracken, KYTREE DOWN OVER ROAD, ON POWER LINE.
19:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 623 Ese KirkseyCalloway, KYNON-THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST. AWOS STATION KCEY MURRAY KY.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 3, 2023

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 312:38 AM CSTEF0Bienville Parish, LA2.450$10,000
March 312:43 AM CSTEF0Dallas, AR4.3100
March 31:57 AM CSTEF0Jefferson, AR0.750
March 39:30 AM CSTEF1Itawamba, MS2.3125$75,000
March 312:00 PM CSTEF1Union, KY6.7100$115,000
March 312:02 PM CSTEF1Union, KY1.8100$50,000
March 312:04 PM CSTEF0Union, KY3.625$5,000
March 312:17 PM CSTEF1Henderson, KY2.1125$20,000
March 312:38 PM CSTEF1Vanderburgh, IN2.8100$150,000
March 312:39 PM CSTEF1Jackson, AL5.0105
March 312:45 PM CSTEF0Vanderburgh, IN2.150$25,000
March 312:47 PM CSTEF1Jackson, AL3.250
March 31:07 PM CSTEF1Spencer, IN5.3100$50,000
March 32:11 PM ESTEF1Dubois, IN7.3400
March 33:08 PM ESTEF1Gordon, GA3.7150
March 33:29 PM ESTEF1Jefferson, IN1.7120
March 35:05 PM ESTEF0Clermont, OH1.3200$100,000
March 35:26 PM ESTEF1Highland, OH14.2400$1.0 million
March 35:35 PM ESTEF0Highland, OH0.9150$100,000
March 36:13 PM ESTEF0Ross, OH0.850$15,000
March 37:14 PM ESTEF1Laurens, SC21.350$50,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.