Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2021

EF1 tornado, Tonieville to Roanoke, Kentucky, March 25, 2021

From Tonieville to Roanoke, this EF1 tornado ran 4.7 miles across Larue County on March 25, 2021, touching down at 10:44 PM EDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 25, 2021
Touchdown
10:44 PM EDT (02:44 UTC)
Lifted
10:49 PM EDT (02:49 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
4.7 miles (7.6 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Larue County
Touchdown point
37.626, -85.767
Lift-off point
37.668, -85.703
Record number
2103252044-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.

  • Multiple uprooted snapped and sheared trees . Garbage can and riding lawnmower Blown 50 yards ( lawn mower and 125 yards garbage can

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Early in the day, low level wind shear was very strong. A stable layer over the area allowed a warm front to bring sunshine and warmer temperatures to the region, but the warming surface temperatures caused the stable layer to erode and become unstable. The high shear environment allowed storms, ahead of a cold front, to become severe and severe hail, damaging winds, and three tornadoes resulted.

The National Weather Service in conjunction with Larue County Emergency Management went on a lengthy storm damage survey across northeast LaRue County. ||A bow echo moving at over 50 mph produced sporadic straight-line wind damage with a distinct tornadic path, primarily along Slack Rd in the Roanoke community. The tornado touched down about a half mile west of 1598 Carter Brothers Road. Aerial photography from a NOAA NWS drone shows distinct swirls along several farmers' properties with damage to a half dozen barns and numerous uprooted and snapped trees. Cedar trees were the most common tree that sustained damage during this tornado. ||At 1598 Carter Brothers Rd, a riding lawn mower was thrown about 50 yards and a garbage can flew 150 yards. There were snapped, twisted, and uprooted trees facing in nearly every direction. Winds at this location were between 90 and 95 miles an hour. ||There were indications that this was an intermittent skipping tornado. Along Dan Dunn Road several barns sustained significant roof and sidewall damage, and a 50 foot by 50 foot chain link fence was bent at 90 degrees along every support post.||The most significant damage of the tornado path was found at 3000 Slack Rd. It destroyed two barns and did significant roof and siding damage to a well-built one-story residential home. Insulation and metal siding were thrown in multiple directions. At the end of the property, aerial drone photography showed trees going in nearly every direction. Wind speeds in this location were estimated to be 100 mph. Residents at the house said they could feel the intense pressure and everything trying to suck out of the house. ||On the way to the next storm damage survey we found sporadic straight line wind damage in Hardin County. This included three mobile homes that sustained roof damage near the Hardin County Fairgrounds.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

23 minutes of warning. NWS LMK issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:21 UTC, 23 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:57 UTC and running to 03:27 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:57 UTC03:27 UTCTornado WatchLMK
22:51 UTC23:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
23:14 UTC23:19 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
00:00 UTC08:59 UTCWind AdvisoryLMK
02:12 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
02:21 UTC02:45 UTCTornado WarningLMK
02:42 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
02:45 UTC03:05 UTCTornado WarningLMK
03:01 UTC03:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

2.7 hours before the tornado, 185 km from the path. March 26, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-03-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 290 joules per kilogram, CIN -73, lifted condensation level 615 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-03-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 657 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 85 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
290 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Surface CAPE
500 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
615 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
657 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
631 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
7.4
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

9.3 hours after it, 185 km from the path. March 26, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -86683, lifted condensation level 950 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 7 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 77 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86683 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
950 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
7 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Elizabethtown (EKX), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:35 UTC62.862.8160° 11 kt1002.7-VCTSRA
00:55 UTC62.662.6190° 12 kt1002.4-RA
01:15 UTC63.563170° 11 kt1002.4
01:35 UTC6363160° 11 kt151002.4VCTS
01:55 UTC63.562.8170° 10 kt1001.7
02:15 UTC63.562.6160° 15 kt201001
02:35 UTC63.563210° 18 kt1002.4+RA
02:55 UTC6462240° 15 kt311003.4
03:15 UTC63.361240° 14 kt261004.1
03:35 UTC62.461230° 13 kt171004.4
03:55 UTC6258.5240° 17 kt241004.7
04:15 UTC6255.2240° 20 kt271005.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 41 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:18 UTCHAIL 14 Nne BostonNelson, KYQUARTER SIZED HAIL FROM NWS EMPLOYEE FAMILY MEMBER ON HURRICANE HILLS LAKE.
23:20 UTCHAIL 1DeatsvilleNelson, KYPHOTO OF ESTIMATE 1 INCH HAIL OUT OF DEATSVILLE.
23:23 UTCTSTM WND DMGCoxs CreekNelson, KYLARGE TREE BRANCH CAME DOWN AND DESTROYED A TRAMPOLINE. TIME BASED ON RADAR DATA.
23:38 UTCHAIL 1.53 Nw Elk CreekSpencer, KYGOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED ON BATTERY LN.
02:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw LeitchfieldGrayson, KYSHINGLES REMOVED FROM ROOF, DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDING.
02:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 E ClarksonGrayson, KYROOF OFF HOUSE AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT. ATTACHED GARAGE DAMAGED. OUTBUILDING DAMAGED. OLD BARN DAMAGED. POWER LINES AND POLES DOWN.
02:16 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 S Big CliftyGrayson, KYSEVERAL LARGE TREES DOWN.
02:16 UTCTORNADO4 Ese ClarksonGrayson, KY1 MILE LONG EF-0 TORNADO WITH MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 40 YARDS. BRIEF TORNADO THAT CAUSED DAMAGE IN THE 3900 BLOCK OF MILLERSTOWN ROAD. ALSO OF INTEREST WAS A VERY NOTICEABLE GROUND SWIRL...FROM DRONE FOOTAGE...IN OPEN FARMLAND
02:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nw MillerstownGrayson, KYNUMEROUS POWER OUTAGES IN THE MILLERSTOWN AREA OF GRAYSON COUNTY.
02:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw LeitchfieldGrayson, KYLARGE TREE ON HOUSE ABOUT ALONG HIGHWAY 737 WEST OF LEITCHFIELD.
02:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene GlendaleHardin, KYBROADCAST MEDIA REPORTED DAMAGE TO A HOUSE (ROOF BLOW AWAY) AND HEAVY DAMAGE TO A MOBILE HOME BOTH ALONG FIRST UNION CHURCH RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:44 UTCTORNADO3 Ne TonnievilleLarue, KY4.5 MILE LENGTH EF-1 TORNADO. MAXIMUM WIDTH 75 YARDS. DRONE FOOTAGE SHOWED DISTINCT SWIRLS ON FARMLAND. SEVERAL STRUCTURES WERE DAMAGED ALONG THE PATH AS WELL AS NUMEROUS UPROOTED/SNAPPED TREES. MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE I
02:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ne TonnievilleLarue, KYSEVERAL DAMAGE REPORTS FROM CARTER BROTHERS ROAD EAST TO SHEPHERDSVILLE ROAD AND THEN CONTINUING TO DAN DUN ROAD, SPENCER SCHOOL ROAD, AND INTERSECTION OF CISSAL HILL ROAD AND ROANOKE ROAD. AT LEAST 2 BUILDINGS WITH LOTS
02:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Wsw LyonsLarue, KYAPPROXIMATE END POINT OF DAMAGE MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:50 UTCTORNADO4 Wsw LyonsLarue, KYUPGRADES THIS STORM REPORT THAT WAS LISTED AS TSTM WIND DMG TO TORNADO. APPROXIMATE END POINT OF THE EF-1 TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 25, 2021

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 2512:16 PM CDTEF3Hale, AL11.11,400
March 2512:53 PM CDTEF3Centreville–Columbiana tornado, AL50.11,1405
March 251:35 PM CDTEF1Noxubee, MS to AL6.6515
March 252:31 PM CDTEF3Ohatchee–Piedmont tornado, AL38.21,700610
March 253:57 PM CDTEF1Greene, AL12.1600
March 254:59 PM EDTEF0Laurens, SC2.125
March 254:26 PM CDTEF3Hale, AL79.72,30013
March 254:48 PM CDTEF1Jefferson, AL4.8700
March 257:13 PM CDTEF2Choctaw, AL9.6250
March 257:30 PM CDTEF2Wayne, TN22.13501$350,000
March 259:08 PM EDTEF1Bartow, GA1.7125$100,000
March 258:11 PM CDTEF1Rutherford, TN2.2100$50,000
March 258:25 PM CDTEF0Wilson, TN3.275$50,000
March 258:32 PM CDTEF0Ohio, KY0.750
March 259:01 PM CDTEF2Chilton, AL14.7850
March 259:16 PM CDTEF0Grayson, KY1.040
March 259:55 PM CDTEF2Clay, AL31.31,000
March 2511:37 PM EDTEF4Newnan–Peachtree City tornado, GA38.61,850$21 million
March 2511:55 PM EDTEF1Bartow, GA2.8200$400,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.